GAME REVIEW
26. Sep 2018 Ligue 1 - Caen is playing against Montpellier - full review and soccer predictions. Likely, its gonna be a goal-filled game where favourite wins. Looking at the historical stats, Caen has collected 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 matches. Last 9 games at Caen HOME stadium have shown us 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. Last time they played at HOME was on 15. September against Lyon and that game ended with draw (2-2). Looking at the last 20 games of Montpellier we see 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses. Last 7 AWAY games of Montpellier show us 4 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. Most recent AWAY game they had was on 1. September against Reims and this one ended with away win (0-1). Taking all of this into consideration, we see Montpellier beating Caen with ease.
This will be a match involving Low ranking team Caen and Medium ranking team Montpellier (Rankings are based on hintwise.com algorithms). Caen's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. Montpellier AWAY performance against Low ranking teams shows 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Caen's scoring power is 0.8 goals/game vs Montpellier's 1.1. Looking at the defensive side, Caen performing 1.2 and Montpellier with 0.8 goals conceded on average per each game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts into account we expect the victory of Montpellier as they have a big advatage over Caen.
From last 20 games of Caen we see 9 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 11 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 20 games of Montpellier have seen 8 Overs and 12 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Caen it has been 3 Overs and 7 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to Montpellier. Montpellier has seen 3 Overs and 7 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Caen. Caen is averaging 1 goals in their home games while Montpellier makes about 1.14 goals away from home. Taking both numbers together we get 2.14 goals per match between the teams. Caen concedes 1.78 goals on average and Montpellier 0.86. Both teams´s stats combined, we get a total of 2.64 goals conceded per match. With these statistics, we guess a total score of 2.4 goals per match. History shows that 45% of games end Over 2.5 for Caen and 40% for Montpellier. When trying to give a proper Over/Under 2.5 football prediction ,I would say it is very clearly a match where we see UNDER 2.5 GOALS.
Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Caen's last 20 games, we see 9 ´both teams scored´ and 11 ´only one team/no score´. From Montpellier's last 20 games 13 have seen both teams scoring and 7 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Caen had 4 BTTS YES and 6 NO's. For Montpellier, we have seen 4 BTTS YES and 6 NO's. There is a 65% chance of Caen scoring in this game, the percent for Montpellier is 80% . Probability of conceding a goal is 75% for Caen and 80% for Montpellier. Looking at the stats above, it will probably be Both Teams to Score-YES match.