GAME REVIEW
On 4. May 2018 in the Ekstraklasa, Lechia Gdansk is playing against Nieciecza. According to odds it tends to become an open, attacking and goal filled game where one team rules. Lets make some basic conclusions from the past data: Lechia Gdansk has collected 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games. Last 10 HOME games of Lechia Gdansk have shown us 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses. Their last HOME game was on 23. April against Cracovia Krakow and it ended with draw (0-0). Last 20 matches of Nieciecza show us 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses. Last 12 AWAY games of Nieciecza are: 0 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses. The last AWAY game was on 29. April against Cracovia Krakow and that ended with home win (4-2). From this data, we see two similar-performing teams and a likely chance of DRAW.
Expecting an interesting game between Low ranking team Lechia Gdansk and Low ranking team Nieciecza. Lechia Gdansk's last 7 HOME games against Low ranking teams: 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. Nieciecza AWAY performance against Low ranking teams: 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Lechia Gdansk's scoring power is 2.1 goals/game vs Nieciecza's 1.2. Looking at the defensive side, Lechia Gdansk performing 0.9 and Nieciecza with 2 goals conceded on average per each game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts into account we expect Lechia Gdansk being stronger and most likely winning this game.
Last 20 games of Lechia Gdansk show us 12 Over 2.5 Goals and 8 Under 2.5 Goals. Last 20 matches of Nieciecza have seen 12 Over 2.5´s and 8 Under 2.5´s. When we look at the ranking-based O/U 2.5 stats of Lechia Gdansk it shows us 5 Overs and 2 Unders in the last 7 HOME games against teams who perform in similar way and who have same ranking as Nieciecza. Nieciecza has had 6 Over 2.5´s and 4 Under 2.5´s in their last 10 AWAY encounters against teams with ranking nearly the same as Lechia Gdansk. Lechia Gdansk is scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game at home when Nieciecza scores 0.75 goals per game away. This makes an average of 2.15 goals per match between the teams. Lechia Gdansk concedes 2 goals on average per game and Nieciecza 2.25. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 4.25 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 3.2 goals per match. History shows that 60% of games end Over 2.5 for Lechia Gdansk and 60% for Nieciecza. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it will be a sure OVER 2.5 game.
From Lechia Gdansk's last 20 encounters 11 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 9 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Nieciecza's last 20 games, it is 11 with both teams scoring and 9 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Lechia Gdansk had 4 games where both teams scored and 3 where at least one did not. For Nieciecza, we have seen 6 BTTS YES and 4 NO's. There is a 65% chance of Lechia Gdansk scoring today and 65% for Nieciecza scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 80% for Lechia Gdansk and 85% for Nieciecza. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it will be a game where BOTH TEAMS SCORE.