On 9. Feb 2019 in the Ekstraklasa, Lechia Gdansk is playing against Pogon Szczecin. We expect to see a goal-filled game where favourite wins. Looking at the historical stats, Lechia Gdansk has collected 12 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 matches. Last 9 games at Lechia Gdansk HOME stadium have shown us 7 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses. Last time they played at HOME was on 22. December against Gornik Zabrze and that game ended with home win (4-0). Looking at the last 20 games of Pogon Szczecin we see 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. Last 10 AWAY games of Pogon Szczecin show us 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. Most recent AWAY game they had was on 15. December against Cracovia Krakow and this one ended with home win (2-1). Taking all of this into consideration, we see Lechia Gdansk being a little bit stronger and has a bit more chances to win than their opponent.
It is a game between High ranking team Lechia Gdansk and Medium ranking team Pogon Szczecin. Lechia Gdansk's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. Pogon Szczecin AWAY performance against High ranking teams shows 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Lechia Gdansk's scoring ability is 1.2 goals scored per game vs Pogon Szczecin's 0.9. Defensive performance shows Lechia Gdansk with 1.2 and Pogon Szczecin with 2 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say Lechia Gdansk being stronger and most likely winning this game.
Last 20 games of Lechia Gdansk show us 9 Over 2.5 Goals and 11 Under 2.5 Goals. Last 20 matches of Pogon Szczecin have seen 10 Over 2.5´s and 10 Under 2.5´s. When we look at the ranking-based O/U 2.5 stats of Lechia Gdansk it shows us 4 Overs and 6 Unders in the last 10 HOME games against teams who perform in similar way and who have same ranking as Pogon Szczecin. Pogon Szczecin has had 7 Over 2.5´s and 3 Under 2.5´s in their last 10 AWAY encounters against teams with ranking nearly the same as Lechia Gdansk. Lechia Gdansk is scoring an average of 2.33 goals per game at home when Pogon Szczecin scores 1.1 goals per game away. This makes an average of 3.43 goals per match between the teams. Lechia Gdansk concedes 0.78 goals on average per game and Pogon Szczecin 1.3. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 2.08 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 2.8 goals per match. History shows that 45% of games end Over 2.5 for Lechia Gdansk and 50% for Pogon Szczecin. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it could be OVER 2.5 goals game!.
From Lechia Gdansk's last 20 encounters 10 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 10 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Pogon Szczecin's last 20 games, it is 12 with both teams scoring and 8 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Lechia Gdansk had 4 games where both teams scored and 6 where at least one did not. For Pogon Szczecin, we have seen 4 BTTS YES and 6 NO's. There is a 80% chance of Lechia Gdansk scoring today and 80% for Pogon Szczecin scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 55% for Lechia Gdansk and 75% for Pogon Szczecin. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it could be both teams scoring.