Game
Ended

Perugia vs Crotone - 2:1 (Home Win)

Italy - Serie B (soccer) 9. Nov 2018 20:00


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Last games of Perugia

L
L
L
D
D
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
D
D
D
W
L
L
DateHome vs AwayResultWinning Odd
19. January Perugia - Brescia Lose (0-2) 3.5 
30. December Cremonese - Perugia Lose (4-0) 2.55 
27. December Perugia - Foggia Win (3-0) 2.01 
23. December Cittadella - Perugia Draw (2-2) 3.22 
15. December Perugia - Spezia Draw (1-1) 3.2 
8. December Lecce - Perugia Draw (0-0) 3.22 
2. December Perugia - Pescara Win (2-1) 2.21 
24. November Benevento - Perugia Lose (2-1) 2.1 
4. November Livorno - Perugia Win (2-3) 2.8 
30. October Perugia - Calcio Padova Win (3-2) 2 

Last games of Crotone

W
W
L
W
W
L
L
D
L
W
L
D
L
L
L
D
L
L
L
D
DateHome vs AwayResultWinning Odd
19. January Crotone - Cittadella Draw (0-0) 3.08 
30. December Ascoli - Crotone Lose (3-2) 2.46 
27. December Crotone - Spezia Lose (0-3) 3.64 
23. December Benevento - Crotone Lose (3-0) 1.89 
16. December Crotone - Venezia Draw (1-1) 3.12 
4. December Bologna - Crotone Lose (3-0) 1.75 
1. December Cremonese - Crotone Lose (1-0) 2.52 
26. November Crotone - Cosenza Calcio Lose (0-1) 4.9 
4. November Crotone - Carpi Draw (1-1) 3.75 
31. October Lecce - Crotone Lose (1-0) 2.41 

Last games of Perugia | Over/Under 2.5

O
O
O
U
U
U
O
U
U
O
O
O
O
O
U
U
O
O
O
U
DateHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
19. January Perugia - Brescia Under (0-2) 1.84 
30. December Cremonese - Perugia Over (4-0) 2.29 
27. December Perugia - Foggia Over (3-0) 2 
23. December Cittadella - Perugia Over (2-2) 2.16 
15. December Perugia - Spezia Under (1-1) 1.69 
8. December Lecce - Perugia Under (0-0) 1.87 
2. December Perugia - Pescara Over (2-1) 2.07 
24. November Benevento - Perugia Over (2-1) 2.05 
4. November Livorno - Perugia Over (2-3) 2.38 
30. October Perugia - Calcio Padova Over (3-2) 2.3 

Last games of Crotone | Over/Under 2.5

O
U
O
O
U
O
O
O
U
O
U
U
U
U
O
U
O
O
O
U
DateHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
19. January Crotone - Cittadella Under (0-0) 1.73 
30. December Ascoli - Crotone Over (3-2) 2.44 
27. December Crotone - Spezia Over (0-3) 2.38 
23. December Benevento - Crotone Over (3-0) 2.15 
16. December Crotone - Venezia Under (1-1) 1.64 
4. December Bologna - Crotone Over (3-0) 2.12 
1. December Cremonese - Crotone Under (1-0) 1.69 
26. November Crotone - Cosenza Calcio Under (0-1) 1.75 
4. November Crotone - Carpi Under (1-1) 1.7 
31. October Lecce - Crotone Under (1-0) 1.72 

Last games of Perugia | Both Teams To Score

Y
N
Y
N
Y
N
Y
N
N
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
N
Y
Y
N
N
N
DateHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
19. January Perugia - Brescia No (0-2) 2.01 
30. December Cremonese - Perugia No (4-0) 1.95 
27. December Perugia - Foggia No (3-0) 2.02 
23. December Cittadella - Perugia Yes (2-2) 1.9 
15. December Perugia - Spezia Yes (1-1) 1.95 
8. December Lecce - Perugia No (0-0) 2.2 
2. December Perugia - Pescara Yes (2-1) 1.8 
24. November Benevento - Perugia Yes (2-1) 1.83 
4. November Livorno - Perugia Yes (2-3) 1.95 
30. October Perugia - Calcio Padova Yes (3-2) 2.05 

Last games of Crotone | Both Teams To Score

N
N
N
Y
N
Y
Y
Y
N
Y
N
Y
N
N
N
Y
N
N
Y
N
DateHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
19. January Crotone - Cittadella No (0-0) 1.92 
30. December Ascoli - Crotone Yes (3-2) 2 
27. December Crotone - Spezia No (0-3) 1.9 
23. December Benevento - Crotone No (3-0) 1.87 
16. December Crotone - Venezia Yes (1-1) 2 
4. December Bologna - Crotone No (3-0) 1.85 
1. December Cremonese - Crotone No (1-0) 2 
26. November Crotone - Cosenza Calcio No (0-1) 1.85 
4. November Crotone - Carpi Yes (1-1) 2.25 
31. October Lecce - Crotone No (1-0) 1.95 

Last games of Perugia | Double chance

DateHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
19. January Perugia - Brescia D/A and H/A (0-2) 1.67 & 1.41 
30. December Cremonese - Perugia H/D and H/A (4-0) 1.41 & 1.45 
27. December Perugia - Foggia H/D and H/A (3-0) 1.27 & 1.34 
23. December Cittadella - Perugia H/D and D/A (2-2) 1.25 & 1.81 
15. December Perugia - Spezia H/D and D/A (1-1) 1.29 & 1.78 
8. December Lecce - Perugia H/D and D/A (0-0) 1.35 & 1.66 
2. December Perugia - Pescara H/D and H/A (2-1) 1.31 & 1.39 
24. November Benevento - Perugia H/D and H/A (2-1) 1.29 & 1.4 
4. November Livorno - Perugia D/A and H/A (2-3) 1.46 & 1.42 
30. October Perugia - Calcio Padova H/D and H/A (3-2) 1.23 & 1.35 

Last games of Crotone | Double chance

DateHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning OddOur prediction
19. January Crotone - Cittadella H/D and D/A (0-0) 1.4 & 1.57 H/D | Win 
30. December Ascoli - Crotone H/D and H/A (3-2) 1.37 & 1.42 H/D | Win 
27. December Crotone - Spezia D/A and H/A (0-3) 1.69 & 1.41 H/D | Loss 
23. December Benevento - Crotone H/D and H/A (3-0) 1.23 & 1.35 H/D | Win 
16. December Crotone - Venezia H/D and D/A (1-1) 1.26 & 1.79 H/D | Win 
4. December Bologna - Crotone H/D and H/A (3-0) 1.21 & 1.32 H/D | Win 
1. December Cremonese - Crotone H/D and H/A (1-0) 1.39 & 1.45 H/D | Win 
26. November Crotone - Cosenza Calcio D/A and H/A (0-1) 2.02 & 1.34 H/D | Loss 
4. November Crotone - Carpi H/D and D/A (1-1) 1.12 & 2.5 H/D | Win 
31. October Lecce - Crotone H/D and H/A (1-0) 1.37 & 1.37 H/D | Win 

STATISTICAL COMPARISON

Perugia
Achievement
Crotone
30%
% of Wins
25%
45%
% of Losses
55%
25 %
% of Draws
20 %
1.15
Goals scored per match
1
1.6
Goals conceded per match
1.45
1.3
Goals scored - HOME
1.5
1
Goals conceded - HOME
1.2
1
Goals scored - AWAY
0.5
2.2
Goals conceded - AWAY
1.7
70%
Chance to score goal next match
55%
75%
Chance to concede goal next match
80%
30%
Failure to score matches
45%
25%
Clean sheet matches
20%
60%
Matches over 2.5 goals
55%
30%
Matches over 3.5 goals
20%
1.5
Win margin
2
2
Losing margin
1.73
55 %
Both teams score - YES
40 %
45 %
Both teams score - NO
60 %
55 %
Matches with ODD score
75 %
45 %
Matches with EVEN score
25 %
2.75
Average win odd - 1X2
2.73
1.94
Average win odd - BTTS
1.94
1.99
Average win odd - O/U 2.5
1.95
66.67%
Matches WON being favorite
62.5%
33.33%
Matches LOST being favorite
37.5%
0%
Matches WON being underdog
0%
100%
Matches LOST being underdog
100%

H2H vs SIMILAR RANKING TEAMS

Perugia - Medium Rank
Vs
Crotone - Low Rank
41
Rank
33
Perugia last 10 home games against Low rank teams
Crotone last 10 away games against Medium rank teams
1.8
AVG Goals Scored
0.7
0.9
AVG Goals Conceded
1.5
60% (6)
Games WON
30% (3)
20% (2)
Games LOST
70% (7)
20% (2)
DRAWS
0% (0)
VIEW ALL GAMES

Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms

1.
Palermo
54
2.
Pescara
53
3.
Benevento
52
4.
Brescia
50
5.
Lecce
47
6.
Cittadella
47
7.
Cremonese
43
8.
Spezia
43
9.
Ascoli
43
10.
Perugia
41
11.
Venezia
41
12.
Cosenza Calcio
40
13.
Salernitana
39
14.
Foggia
39
15.
Calcio Padova
36
16.
Livorno
34
17.
Crotone
33
18.
Carpi
33

GAME REVIEW

A great game for predicting coming up at 9. Nov 2018 Serie B where Perugia is playing against Crotone. Looking at the odds provided by major bookmakers, this game tends to be 2.5+ goals game where favorite takes its own. Lets make some basic conclusions from the past data: Perugia has collected 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games. Last 9 HOME games of Perugia have shown us 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. Their last HOME game was on 30. October against Calcio Padova and it ended with home win (3-2). Looking at the last 20 games of Crotone we see 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses. Last 10 AWAY games of Crotone show us 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses. Most recent AWAY game they had was on 31. October against Lecce and this one ended with home win (1-0). Taking all of this into consideration, we see Perugia is somewhat stronger and probably gets a close win.

This will be a match involving Low ranking team Perugia and Medium ranking team Crotone (Rankings are based on hintwise.com algorithms). Perugia's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. Crotone AWAY performance against Low ranking teams shows 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Perugia's scoring ability is 1.3 goals scored per game vs Crotone's 0.8. Defensive performance shows Perugia with 1.2 and Crotone with 1.5 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say Perugia being somewhat superior and probably wins the match.

From last 20 games of Perugia we see 10 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 10 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 20 games of Crotone have seen 12 Overs and 8 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Perugia it has been 4 Overs and 6 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to Crotone. Crotone has seen 4 Overs and 6 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Perugia. Perugia is averaging 1.22 goals in their home games while Crotone makes about 0.7 goals away from home. Taking both numbers together we get 1.92 goals per match between the teams. Perugia concedes 1.11 goals on average and Crotone 1.5. Both teams´s stats combined, we get a total of 2.61 goals conceded per match. With these statistics, we guess a total score of 2.3 goals per match. History shows that 50% of games end Over 2.5 for Perugia and 60% for Crotone. When trying to give a proper Over/Under 2.5 football prediction ,I would say it is close to 2 or 3 goals total - both are possible.

From Perugia's last 20 encounters 12 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 8 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Crotone's last 20 games, it is 12 with both teams scoring and 8 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Perugia had 5 games where both teams scored and 5 where at least one did not. For Crotone, we have seen 4 BTTS YES and 6 NO's. There is a 80% chance of Perugia scoring today and 80% for Crotone scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 75% for Perugia and 80% for Crotone. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it will probably be Both Teams to Score-YES match.

H2H vs SAME TEAMS

Perugia
Crotone
Home Games
W
3-0
Foggia
W
4-1
L
0-2
Brescia
D
2-2
W
3-2
Calcio Padova
W
2-1
L
0-1
Carpi
D
1-1
W
1-0
Venezia
D
1-1
D
1-1
Spezia
L
0-3
Away Games
W
2-3
Livorno
W
0-1
D
2-2
Cittadella
L
3-0
L
4-1
Palermo
L
1-0
D
0-0
Lecce
L
1-0
L
4-0
Cremonese
L
1-0
L
2-1
Benevento
L
3-0


WHO WINS: Perugia 42%, Crotone 33%, Draw 25%
SCORE PREDICTION: 1.38 vs 1.29
Over/Under 2.5: OVER (54%)

Both Teams Socre: NO (54%)