GAME REVIEW
On 26. Mar 2017 UEFA . WC Qualifying Romania is having a meeting with Denmark. Lets discuss the game and lets try to find some good soccer predictions out of it. I am expecting this to be a game where both teams have similar chances to win and score. Lets make some basic conclusions from the past data: Romania has collected 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 15 games. Last 9 HOME games of Romania have shown us 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. Their last HOME game was on 13. June against Chile and it ended with home win (3-2). Looking at the last 10 games of Denmark we see 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. Last 4 AWAY games of Denmark show us 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. Most recent AWAY game they had was on 10. June against Kazakhstan and this one ended with away win (1-3). Taking all of this into consideration, we see Denmark having a little bit better chance to WIN.
Expecting an interesting game between Low ranking team Romania and Medium ranking team Denmark. Romania's last 3 HOME games against Medium ranking teams: 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. Denmark AWAY performance against Low ranking teams: 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from last 4 AWAY games. Romania's attacking performance is avg. 2 goals per game vs Denmark's 1. On the defensive side, we have Romania with 2 and Denmark with 0.8 goals conceded per game. Taking all the Rank-based facts into consideration we see that Denmark is a bit better and could win this match.
When we look at the last 15 games of Romania, we note 7 Overs and 8 Unders. Among the last 10 games of Denmark, there have been 5 Overs and 5 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Romania we see 2 Overs and 1 Unders in their last 3 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Denmark. Denmark has seen 1 Overs and 3 Unders in their last 4 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Romania has. Romania is scoring an average of 1.56 goals per game at home when Denmark scores 1.5 goals per game away. This makes an average of 3.06 goals per match between the teams. Romania concedes 1.44 goals on average per game and Denmark 1.5. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 2.94 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 3 goals per match. History shows that 46.67% of games end Over 2.5 for Romania and 50% for Denmark. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it can be 2-3 goals - OU 2.5 is a risky bet.
Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Romania's last 15 games, we see 8 ´both teams scored´ and 7 ´only one team/no score´. From Denmark's last 10 games 6 have seen both teams scoring and 4 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Romania had 2 BTTS YES and 1 NO's. For Denmark, we have seen 2 BTTS YES and 2 NO's. There is a 66.67% chance of Romania scoring in this game, the percent for Denmark is 80% . Probability of conceding a goal is 73.33% for Romania and 80% for Denmark. Looking at the stats above, it will be a game where BOTH TEAMS SCORE.