Aue vs Darmstadt - 3:0 (Home Win)

Germany - 2. Bundesliga - 22. Nov 2020 14:30

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-2
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (34%)
Draw (28.2%)
Away (37.8%)

BETTING ODDS

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Last games of Aue

L
W
D
W
L
L
D
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
7. Nov Draw (0-0) Hannover - Aue 2. Bundesliga 
31. Oct Draw (1-1) Aue - Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga 
25. Oct Lose (2-0) Bochum - Aue 2. Bundesliga 
21. Oct Lose (3-0) Hamburger SV - Aue 2. Bundesliga 
18. Oct Win (2-1) Aue - Heidenheim 2. Bundesliga 
25. Sep Draw (1-1) Aue - Greuther Furth 2. Bundesliga 
19. Sep Win (0-3) Wurzburger Kickers - Aue 2. Bundesliga 
12. Sep Lose (2-0) Ulm - Aue DFB Pokal 

Last games of Darmstadt

D
L
D
W
D
D
W
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
8. Nov Lose (0-4) Darmstadt - Paderborn 2. Bundesliga 
1. Nov Win (3-4) Karlsruher - Darmstadt 2. Bundesliga 
28. Oct Draw (1-1) VfL Osnabruck - Darmstadt 2. Bundesliga 
24. Oct Draw (2-2) Darmstadt - St. Pauli 2. Bundesliga 
5. Oct Win (2-3) Nurnberg - Darmstadt 2. Bundesliga 
26. Sep Draw (0-0) Darmstadt - Regensburg 2. Bundesliga 
19. Sep Lose (3-2) Sandhausen - Darmstadt 2. Bundesliga 
13. Sep Draw (2-2) Magdeburg - Darmstadt DFB Pokal 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Aue
Darmstadt
25%
Wins
25%
37.5%
Losses
25%
37.5 %
Draws
50 %
0.88
Goals scored per match
1.75
1.25
Goals conceded per match
2.13
1.33
Goals scored HOME
0.67
1
Goals conceded HOME
2
0.6
Goals scored AWAY
2.4
1.4
Goals conceded AWAY
2.2
50%
Chance to score goal next match
75%
75%
Chance to concede goal next match
87.5%
50%
Failure to score matches
25%
25%
Clean sheets
12.5%
37.5%
Matches over 2.5 goals
75%
0%
Matches over 3.5 goals
75%
2
Average Win margin
1
2.33
Average Loss margin
2.5
37.5 %
Both teams score YES
75 %
62.5 %
Both teams score NO
25 %
37.5 %
Matches ODD score
37.5 %
62.5 %
Matches EVEN score
62.5 %
2.92
Average win odd 1X2
3.17
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
50%
Matches WON as Favorite
0%
50%
Matches LOST as Favorite
100%
33.33%
Matches WON as Underdog
66.67%
66.67%
Matches LOST as Underdog
33.33%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Aue (Medium Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Darmstadt (Medium Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
1.6
Goals Scored
1.8
1
Goals Conceded
2
50% (5)
WON
40% (4)
30% (3)
LOST
40% (4)
20% (2)
DRAW
20% (2)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Hannover
54
2.
Ingolstadt
52
3.
Bochum
51
4.
Darmstadt
50
5.
Stuttgart
49
6.
Braunschweig
49
7.
VfL Osnabruck
46
8.
SG Dynamo Dresden
45
9.
Hamburger SV
45
10.
Wurzburger Kickers
45
11.
Holstein Kiel
45
12.
Arminia Bielefeld
44
13.
Sandhausen
43
14.
Wehen
42
15.
Karlsruher
42
16.
Aue
42
17.
Dusseldorf
41
18.
Greuther Furth
41
19.
Regensburg
41
20.
Heidenheim
41
21.
Nurnberg
38
22.
St. Pauli
38
23.
Paderborn
37
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Aue
Darmstadt
Home Games
W
1-0
Regensburg
D
0-0
W
3-1
Greuther Furth
D
1-1
D
0-0
Arminia Bielefeld
L
1-3
W
3-0
Hamburger SV
D
2-2
W
3-1
Sandhausen
W
1-0
L
1-2
Bochum
D
0-0
W
2-1
Hannover
W
3-2
W
2-1
Heidenheim
W
2-0
Away Games
L
1-0
Wehen
D
0-0
L
3-0
Stuttgart
W
1-3
D
0-0
VfL Osnabruck
D
1-1
L
2-1
SG Dynamo Dresden
W
2-3
D
1-1
Nurnberg
W
1-2
W
1-2
Regensburg
L
3-0


Winner: Aue - 43%, Darmstadt - 43%, Draw 14%
Score prediction: 1.25 vs 1.18
O/U 2.5: OVER (57%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (57%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Looking at the odds provided by major bookmakers, this game tends to be an interesting and tight game. Aue has collected 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses during last 8 games. Last 3 HOME games show 1 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses. Their last HOME game was on 31. October against Holstein Kiel and it ended up draw (1-1). Looking at the last 8 games of Darmstadt we see 2 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. Last 5 AWAY games show us 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 1. November against Karlsruher and this one ended with away win (3-4). Taking all of this into consideration, we see both teams being equal and a possible DRAW here. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick DRAW!

Expecting an interesting game between Medium ranking Aue and Medium ranking team Darmstadt. Aue's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams: 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. Darmstadt AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams: 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Aue's scoring ability is 1.4 goals scored per game vs Darmstadt's 1.8. Defensive performance shows Aue with 1 and Darmstadt with 1.9 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say Aue being somewhat superior and probably wins the match. Our football prediction for 1X2: Aue to win! Medium confidence.

From last 8 games of Aue we see 3 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 5 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 games of Darmstadt have seen 6 Overs and 2 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Aue it has been 6 Overs and 4 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to Darmstadt. Darmstadt has seen 7 Overs and 3 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Aue. Aue is scoring an average of 1.33 goals per game at home when Darmstadt scores 2.4 goals per game away. This makes an average of 3.73 goals per match between the teams. Aue concedes 1 goals on average per game and Darmstadt 2.2. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 3.2 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 3.5 goals per match. History shows that 37.5% of games end Over 2.5 for Aue and 75% for Darmstadt. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it will clearly be OVER 2.5 match. Under Over 2.5 prediction: pick OVER 2.5!. High confidence.

From Aue's last 8 encounters 3 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 5 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Darmstadt's last 8 games, it is 6 with both teams scoring and 2 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Aue had 6 games where both teams scored and 4 where at least one did not. For Darmstadt, we have seen 7 BTTS YES and 3 NO's. There is a 50% chance of Aue scoring today and 75% for Darmstadt scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 75% for Aue and 87.5% for Darmstadt. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it is going to be a game where BOTH TEAMS have a great chance to score and thus the best BTTS football prediction would be BOTH TEAMS to Score. High stakes.