St. Pauli vs Nurnberg - 2:2 (Draw)

Germany - 2. Bundesliga (soccer) 19. Oct 2020 20:30
FREE Soccer Prediction 2-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (38.1%)
Draw (27.7%)
Away (34.2%)

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Last games of St. Pauli

D
L
W
L
D
L
L
D
W
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
2. Oct Lose (1-0) Sandhausen - St. Pauli 2. Bundesliga 
27. Sep Win (4-2) St. Pauli - Heidenheim 2. Bundesliga 
21. Sep Draw (2-2) Bochum - St. Pauli 2. Bundesliga 
13. Sep Lose (4-2) Elversberg - St. Pauli DFB Pokal 
28. Jun Lose (5-3) Wehen - St. Pauli 2. Bundesliga 
21. Jun Draw (1-1) St. Pauli - Regensburg 2. Bundesliga 
17. Jun Lose (4-0) Hannover - St. Pauli 2. Bundesliga 
14. Jun Win (2-1) St. Pauli - Aue 2. Bundesliga 
5. Jun Lose (2-0) Bochum - St. Pauli 2. Bundesliga 
30. May Draw (1-1) Karlsruher - St. Pauli 2. Bundesliga 

Last games of Nurnberg

W
L
D
W
L
L
D
W
L
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
23. Oct Draw (1-1) Nurnberg - Karlsruher 2. Bundesliga 
5. Oct Lose (2-3) Nurnberg - Darmstadt 2. Bundesliga 
27. Sep Win (1-0) Nurnberg - Sandhausen 2. Bundesliga 
18. Sep Draw (1-1) Regensburg - Nurnberg 2. Bundesliga 
12. Sep Lose (0-3) Nurnberg - RB Leipzig DFB Pokal 
11. Jul Lose (3-1) Ingolstadt - Nurnberg 2. Bundesliga 
7. Jul Win (2-0) Nurnberg - Ingolstadt 2. Bundesliga 
28. Jun Draw (1-1) Holstein Kiel - Nurnberg 2. Bundesliga 
21. Jun Lose (0-6) Nurnberg - Stuttgart 2. Bundesliga 
16. Jun Win (0-6) Wehen - Nurnberg 2. Bundesliga 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
St. Pauli
Nurnberg
20%
Wins
30%
50%
Losses
40%
30 %
Draws
30 %
1.5
Goals scored per match
1.5
2.3
Goals conceded per match
1.8
2.33
Goals scored HOME
1
1.33
Goals conceded HOME
2.17
1.14
Goals scored AWAY
2.25
2.71
Goals conceded AWAY
1.25
70%
Chance to score goal next match
80%
100%
Chance to concede goal next match
70%
30%
Failure to score matches
20%
0%
Clean sheets
30%
60%
Matches over 2.5 goals
50%
50%
Matches over 3.5 goals
40%
1.5
Average Win margin
3
2.2
Average Loss margin
3
70 %
Both teams score YES
50 %
30 %
Both teams score NO
50 %
20 %
Matches ODD score
30 %
80 %
Matches EVEN score
70 %
2.74
Average win odd 1X2
2.65
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
50%
Matches WON as Favorite
60%
50%
Matches LOST as Favorite
40%
20%
Matches WON as Underdog
0%
80%
Matches LOST as Underdog
100%
SIMILAR RANKING ANALYSIS
St. Pauli (Low Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Nurnberg (Low Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Low Ranking teams
39
Ranking Score
40
1.7
Goals Scored
1.6
0.9
Goals Conceded
1.2
50% (5)
Games WON
30% (3)
0% (0)
Games LOST
20% (2)
50% (5)
DRAWS
50% (5)
VIEW ALL GAMES
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Hannover
55
2.
Wurzburger Kickers
53
3.
Darmstadt
53
4.
Arminia Bielefeld
53
5.
Stuttgart
52
6.
Ingolstadt
51
7.
Holstein Kiel
49
8.
Braunschweig
49
9.
Bochum
47
10.
Hamburger SV
47
11.
Dusseldorf
43
12.
Heidenheim
43
13.
SG Dynamo Dresden
42
14.
Wehen
41
15.
Aue
41
16.
Karlsruher
40
17.
Sandhausen
40
18.
Regensburg
40
19.
Nurnberg
40
20.
St. Pauli
39
21.
VfL Osnabruck
38
22.
Greuther Furth
37
23.
Paderborn
33
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Football Tips Comparison
PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
St. Pauli
Nurnberg
Home Games
W
2-1
Aue
D
1-1
Away Games
L
5-3
Wehen
W
0-6


WHO WINS: St. Pauli - 50%, Nurnberg - 50%
SCORE PREDICTION: 1.5 vs 3.25
Over/Under 2.5: OVER (75%)

Both Teams to Score: YES (75%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Likely, its gonna be an open yet one-sided game. St. Pauli has collected 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses during last 10 games. Last 3 HOME games show 2 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses. Their last HOME game was on 27. September against Heidenheim and it ended up home win (4-2). Looking at the last 10 games of Nurnberg we see 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. Last 5 AWAY games show us 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 18. September against Regensburg and this one ended with draw (1-1). Taking all of this into consideration, we see St. Pauli is in a better form with more chances to win than their opponent. Our football tip for 1X2: St. Pauli to win! Medium confidence.

This is a game between Low ranking St. Pauli and Medium ranking Nurnberg. St. Pauli's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. Meanwhile Nurnberg AWAY performance against Low ranking teams shows 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from last 10 AWAY games. St. Pauli's scoring ability is 1.6 goals scored per game vs Nurnberg's 1.4. Defensive performance shows St. Pauli with 1.1 and Nurnberg with 1.8 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say St. Pauli being somewhat superior and probably wins the match. Our football prediction for 1X2: St. Pauli to win! Medium confidence.

When we look at the last 10 games of St. Pauli, we note 6 Overs and 4 Unders. Among the last 10 games of Nurnberg, there have been 5 Overs and 5 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of St. Pauli we see 5 Overs and 5 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Nurnberg. Nurnberg has seen 6 Overs and 4 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as St. Pauli has. St. Pauli is averaging 2.33 goals in their home games while Nurnberg makes about 2 goals away from home. Taking both numbers together we get 4.33 goals per match between the teams. St. Pauli concedes 1.33 goals on average and Nurnberg 1.2. Both teams´s stats combined, we get a total of 2.53 goals conceded per match. With these statistics, we guess a total score of 3.4 goals per match. History shows that 60% of games end Over 2.5 for St. Pauli and 50% for Nurnberg. When trying to give a proper Over/Under 2.5 football prediction , I would say it will be a sure OVER 2.5 game. Under Over 2.5 tip: bet on OVER 2.5! High confidence.

St. Pauli's last 10 matches show us 7 games where both teams scored and 3 games where only one team scored or none. From Nurnberg's last 10 games 5 have seen both teams scoring and 5 only one team/no score. Ranking-based BTS stats of St. Pauli show us 7 BTS YES and 3 NO's. For Nurnberg, we have seen 5 BTS YES and 5 NO's. There is a 70% chance of St. Pauli scoring today, 80% for Nurnberg. Probability of conceding a goal is 100% for St. Pauli and 70% for Nurnberg. Considering all the numbers, it is going to be a game where BOTH TEAMS have a great chance to score and thus the best BTTS football prediction would be BOTH TEAMS to Score. High stakes.