Game
Ended

Holstein Kiel vs Erzgebirge Aue - 5:1 (Home Win)

Germany - 2.Bundesliga (soccer) 15. Mar 2019 17:30
FREE Score Prediction 2-0
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Under

Mathematical Probability of Result

Holstein Kiel (54.4%)
Draw (25.1%)
Erzgebirge Aue (20.5%)

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Last games of Holstein Kiel

W
D
W
W
D
D
W
W
W
L
W
D
D
W
L
D
D
W
L
L
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
9. Mar 2.Bundesliga Darmstadt 98 - Holstein Kiel Lose (3-2) 3.1 
1. Mar 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Union Berlin Lose (0-2) 2.71 
23. Feb 2.Bundesliga Bochum - Holstein Kiel Win (1-3) 3.1 
17. Feb 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Greuther Furth Draw (2-2) 4.05 
10. Feb 2.Bundesliga Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel Draw (1-1) 3.48 
6. Feb FA Cup Holstein Kiel - Augsburg Lose (0-1) 2.25 
3. Feb 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Jahn Regensburg Win (2-0) 2.18 
30. Jan 2.Bundesliga FC Heidenheim 1846 - Holstein Kiel Draw (2-2) 3.6 
22. Jan Club Friendly Holstein Kiel - Hansa Rostock Draw (0-0) 4.75 
23. Dec 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Hamburger SV Win (3-1) 3.5 
14. Dec 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld Lose (1-2) 4.4 
9. Dec 2.Bundesliga Dynamo Dresden - Holstein Kiel Win (0-2) 2.78 
2. Dec 2.Bundesliga Duisburg - Holstein Kiel Win (0-4) 2.8 
24. Nov 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Sandhausen Win (2-1) 2.11 
9. Nov 2.Bundesliga Paderborn - Holstein Kiel Draw (4-4) 3.8 
3. Nov 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Ingolstadt Draw (2-2) 3.73 
31. Oct FA Cup Holstein Kiel - Freiburg Win (2-1) 2.88 
28. Oct 2.Bundesliga St. Pauli - Holstein Kiel Win (0-1) 3.2 
20. Oct 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - FC Koln Draw (1-1) 3.7 
28. Sep 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt 98 Win (4-2) 2 

Last games of Erzgebirge Aue

L
W
W
L
L
D
W
L
L
L
W
D
W
L
L
W
D
L
W
W
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
9. Mar 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Paderborn Win (2-1) 3.3 
2. Mar 2.Bundesliga Sandhausen - Erzgebirge Aue Win (0-3) 3.88 
27. Feb 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - FC Koln Lose (0-1) 1.53 
24. Feb 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Duisburg Draw (0-0) 3.3 
16. Feb 2.Bundesliga St. Pauli - Erzgebirge Aue Win (1-2) 5.5 
10. Feb 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt Lose (0-3) 2.52 
29. Jan 2.Bundesliga Magdeburg - Erzgebirge Aue Lose (1-0) 2.2 
23. Dec 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Union Berlin Win (3-0) 3.68 
16. Dec 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Darmstadt 98 Draw (2-2) 3.4 
8. Dec 2.Bundesliga Greuther Furth - Erzgebirge Aue Win (0-5) 3.6 
24. Nov 2.Bundesliga Bochum - Erzgebirge Aue Lose (2-1) 1.81 
10. Nov 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Hamburger SV Lose (1-3) 2.1 
4. Nov 2.Bundesliga FC Heidenheim 1846 - Erzgebirge Aue Lose (1-0) 2.21 
27. Oct 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Arminia Bielefeld Win (1-0) 2.65 
19. Oct 2.Bundesliga Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue Draw (1-1) 3.52 
29. Sep 2.Bundesliga Paderborn - Erzgebirge Aue Lose (1-0) 1.85 
26. Sep 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Sandhausen Lose (0-2) 3.25 
23. Sep 2.Bundesliga Duisburg - Erzgebirge Aue Win (1-2) 3.96 
16. Sep 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - St. Pauli Win (3-1) 2.9 
7. Sep Club Friendly Wolfsburg - Erzgebirge Aue Lose (3-1) 1.33 

Last games of Holstein Kiel | Over/Under 2.5

O
U
O
O
O
O
O
U
O
O
U
O
U
U
U
O
O
U
O
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
9. Mar 2.Bundesliga Darmstadt 98 - Holstein Kiel Over (3-2) 1.83 
1. Mar 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Union Berlin Under (0-2) 2.11 
23. Feb 2.Bundesliga Bochum - Holstein Kiel Over (1-3) 1.72 
17. Feb 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Greuther Furth Over (2-2) 1.69 
10. Feb 2.Bundesliga Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel Under (1-1) 2.09 
6. Feb FA Cup Holstein Kiel - Augsburg Under (0-1) 2.33 
3. Feb 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Jahn Regensburg Under (2-0) 2.61 
30. Jan 2.Bundesliga FC Heidenheim 1846 - Holstein Kiel Over (2-2) 1.73 
22. Jan Club Friendly Holstein Kiel - Hansa Rostock Under (0-0) 2.63 
23. Dec 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Hamburger SV Over (3-1) 1.81 
14. Dec 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld Over (1-2) 1.77 
9. Dec 2.Bundesliga Dynamo Dresden - Holstein Kiel Under (0-2) 2.33 
2. Dec 2.Bundesliga Duisburg - Holstein Kiel Over (0-4) 1.83 
24. Nov 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Sandhausen Over (2-1) 1.8 
9. Nov 2.Bundesliga Paderborn - Holstein Kiel Over (4-4) 1.55 
3. Nov 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Ingolstadt Over (2-2) 1.72 
31. Oct FA Cup Holstein Kiel - Freiburg Over (2-1) 1.95 
28. Oct 2.Bundesliga St. Pauli - Holstein Kiel Under (0-1) 2.07 
28. Sep 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt 98 Over (4-2) 1.91 

Last games of Erzgebirge Aue | Over/Under 2.5

O
O
O
U
U
U
U
U
O
O
O
O
U
O
O
U
U
O
O
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
9. Mar 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Paderborn Over (2-1) 1.65 
2. Mar 2.Bundesliga Sandhausen - Erzgebirge Aue Over (0-3) 2.39 
27. Feb 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - FC Koln Under (0-1) 2.1 
24. Feb 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Duisburg Under (0-0) 1.78 
16. Feb 2.Bundesliga St. Pauli - Erzgebirge Aue Over (1-2) 2.02 
10. Feb 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt Over (0-3) 2.38 
29. Jan 2.Bundesliga Magdeburg - Erzgebirge Aue Under (1-0) 1.79 
23. Dec 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Union Berlin Over (3-0) 2.26 
16. Dec 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Darmstadt 98 Over (2-2) 2.31 
8. Dec 2.Bundesliga Greuther Furth - Erzgebirge Aue Over (0-5) 1.96 
24. Nov 2.Bundesliga Bochum - Erzgebirge Aue Over (2-1) 2.05 
4. Nov 2.Bundesliga FC Heidenheim 1846 - Erzgebirge Aue Under (1-0) 1.81 
27. Oct 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Arminia Bielefeld Under (1-0) 1.82 
19. Oct 2.Bundesliga Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue Under (1-1) 1.85 
29. Sep 2.Bundesliga Paderborn - Erzgebirge Aue Under (1-0) 2.15 
26. Sep 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Sandhausen Under (0-2) 1.63 
23. Sep 2.Bundesliga Duisburg - Erzgebirge Aue Over (1-2) 2.1 
16. Sep 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - St. Pauli Over (3-1) 2.36 
7. Sep Club Friendly Wolfsburg - Erzgebirge Aue Over (3-1) 1.4 

Last games of Holstein Kiel | Both Teams To Score

Y
N
Y
Y
Y
Y
N
N
Y
Y
N
Y
N
N
Y
Y
Y
N
Y
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
9. Mar 2.Bundesliga Darmstadt 98 - Holstein Kiel Yes (3-2) 1.62 
1. Mar 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Union Berlin No (0-2) 2.3 
23. Feb 2.Bundesliga Bochum - Holstein Kiel Yes (1-3) 1.55 
17. Feb 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Greuther Furth Yes (2-2) 1.67 
10. Feb 2.Bundesliga Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel Yes (1-1) 1.61 
6. Feb FA Cup Holstein Kiel - Augsburg No (0-1) 2.45 
3. Feb 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Jahn Regensburg No (2-0) 2.77 
30. Jan 2.Bundesliga FC Heidenheim 1846 - Holstein Kiel Yes (2-2) 1.57 
22. Jan Club Friendly Holstein Kiel - Hansa Rostock No (0-0) 2.37 
23. Dec 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Hamburger SV Yes (3-1) 1.62 
14. Dec 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld Yes (1-2) 1.69 
9. Dec 2.Bundesliga Dynamo Dresden - Holstein Kiel No (0-2) 2.55 
2. Dec 2.Bundesliga Duisburg - Holstein Kiel No (0-4) 2.33 
24. Nov 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Sandhausen Yes (2-1) 1.69 
9. Nov 2.Bundesliga Paderborn - Holstein Kiel Yes (4-4) 1.5 
3. Nov 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Ingolstadt Yes (2-2) 1.63 
31. Oct FA Cup Holstein Kiel - Freiburg Yes (2-1) 1.77 
28. Oct 2.Bundesliga St. Pauli - Holstein Kiel No (0-1) 2.25 
28. Sep 2.Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt 98 Yes (4-2) 1.77 

Last games of Erzgebirge Aue | Both Teams To Score

Y
Y
Y
N
N
Y
N
N
Y
N
Y
N
N
N
Y
N
N
N
Y
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
9. Mar 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Paderborn Yes (2-1) 1.53 
2. Mar 2.Bundesliga Sandhausen - Erzgebirge Aue No (0-3) 1.75 
27. Feb 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - FC Koln No (0-1) 1.95 
24. Feb 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Duisburg No (0-0) 1.91 
16. Feb 2.Bundesliga St. Pauli - Erzgebirge Aue Yes (1-2) 1.93 
10. Feb 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt No (0-3) 1.88 
29. Jan 2.Bundesliga Magdeburg - Erzgebirge Aue No (1-0) 1.94 
23. Dec 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Union Berlin No (3-0) 1.91 
16. Dec 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Darmstadt 98 Yes (2-2) 1.87 
8. Dec 2.Bundesliga Greuther Furth - Erzgebirge Aue No (0-5) 2.15 
24. Nov 2.Bundesliga Bochum - Erzgebirge Aue Yes (2-1) 1.91 
4. Nov 2.Bundesliga FC Heidenheim 1846 - Erzgebirge Aue No (1-0) 2.05 
27. Oct 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Arminia Bielefeld No (1-0) 2.12 
19. Oct 2.Bundesliga Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue Yes (1-1) 1.8 
29. Sep 2.Bundesliga Paderborn - Erzgebirge Aue No (1-0) 2.15 
26. Sep 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Sandhausen No (0-2) 1.75 
23. Sep 2.Bundesliga Duisburg - Erzgebirge Aue Yes (1-2) 1.87 
16. Sep 2.Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - St. Pauli Yes (3-1) 2 
7. Sep Club Friendly Wolfsburg - Erzgebirge Aue Yes (3-1) 1.67 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Holstein Kiel
Achievement
Erzgebirge Aue
45%
% of Wins
40%
20%
% of Losses
45%
35 %
% of Draws
15 %
1.9
Goals scored per match
1.35
1.3
Goals conceded per match
1.2
1.58
Goals scored - HOME
1.2
1.25
Goals conceded - HOME
1.3
2.38
Goals scored - AWAY
1.5
1.38
Goals conceded - AWAY
1.1
85%
Chance to score goal next match
65%
75%
Chance to concede goal next match
75%
15%
Failure to score matches
35%
25%
Clean sheet matches
25%
60%
Matches over 2.5 goals
60%
45%
Matches over 3.5 goals
25%
1.89
Win margin
2.13
1.25
Losing margin
1.56
65 %
Both teams score - YES
45 %
35 %
Both teams score - NO
55 %
30 %
Matches with ODD score
65 %
70 %
Matches with EVEN score
35 %
3.21
Average win odd - 1X2
2.92
1.93
Average win odd - BTTS
1.9
1.97
Average win odd - O/U 2.5
1.99
50%
Matches WON being favorite
50%
50%
Matches LOST being favorite
50%
85.71%
Matches WON being underdog
46.67%
14.29%
Matches LOST being underdog
53.33%
H2H vs SIMILAR RANKING TEAMS
Holstein Kiel last 10 home games against Medium rank teams
Vs
Erzgebirge Aue last 10 away games against High rank teams
High
Rank
Medium
53
Rank Score
44
2.1
AVG Goals Scored
0.9
1.2
AVG Goals Conceded
1.5
50% (5)
Games WON
20% (2)
10% (1)
Games LOST
50% (5)
40% (4)
DRAWS
30% (3)
VIEW ALL GAMES
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
Germany - 2.Bundesliga
1.
FC Koln
56
2.
Union Berlin
55
3.
Paderborn
54
4.
Hamburger SV
53
5.
Holstein Kiel
53
6.
FC Heidenheim 1846
52
7.
St. Pauli
49
8.
Jahn Regensburg
47
9.
Erzgebirge Aue
44
10.
Dynamo Dresden
40
11.
Greuther Furth
40
12.
Magdeburg
40
13.
Bochum
39
14.
Duisburg
38
15.
Arminia Bielefeld
38
16.
Darmstadt 98
36
17.
Sandhausen
35
18.
Ingolstadt
30
H2H vs SAME TEAMS
Holstein Kiel
Erzgebirge Aue
Home Games
W
2-1
Sandhausen
L
0-2
L
1-2
Arminia Bielefeld
W
1-0
W
3-1
Hamburger SV
L
1-3
W
4-2
Darmstadt 98
D
2-2
L
0-2
Union Berlin
W
3-0
D
2-2
Ingolstadt
L
0-3
D
1-1
FC Koln
L
0-1
Away Games
W
0-4
Duisburg
W
1-2
D
4-4
Paderborn
L
1-0
W
0-2
Dynamo Dresden
D
1-1
D
2-2
FC Heidenheim 1846
L
1-0
W
1-3
Bochum
L
2-1
D
1-1
Magdeburg
L
1-0
W
0-1
St. Pauli
W
1-2


WHO WINS: Holstein Kiel 79%, Erzgebirge Aue 14%, Draw 7%
SCORE PREDICTION: 1.75 vs 1.14
Over/Under 2.5: OVER (57%)

Both Teams to Score: YES (57%)
GAME REVIEW
15. Mar 2019 2.Bundesliga - Holstein Kiel playing against Erzgebirge Aue - match review and football predictions. Game odds suggest its going to be a goal-filled game where favourite wins. Lets make some basic conclusions from the past data: Holstein Kiel has collected 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games. Last 12 HOME games of Holstein Kiel have shown us 5 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. Their last HOME game was on 1. March against Union Berlin and it ended with away win (0-2). Last 20 matches of Erzgebirge Aue show us 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses. Last 10 AWAY games of Erzgebirge Aue are: 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses. The last AWAY game was on 2. March against Sandhausen and that ended with away win (0-3). From this data, we see Holstein Kiel taking an easy WIN as they have much better historical records.

This will be a match involving High ranking team Holstein Kiel and Medium ranking team Erzgebirge Aue (Rankings are based on hintwise.com algorithms). Holstein Kiel's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses. Erzgebirge Aue AWAY performance against High ranking teams shows 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Holstein Kiel's attacking performance is avg. 1.9 goals per game vs Erzgebirge Aue's 0.9. On the defensive side, we have Holstein Kiel with 1.2 and Erzgebirge Aue with 1.1 goals conceded per game. Taking all the Rank-based facts into consideration we see Holstein Kiel being stronger and most likely winning this game.

Last 20 games of Holstein Kiel show us 12 Over 2.5 Goals and 8 Under 2.5 Goals. Last 20 matches of Erzgebirge Aue have seen 12 Over 2.5´s and 8 Under 2.5´s. When we look at the ranking-based O/U 2.5 stats of Holstein Kiel it shows us 7 Overs and 3 Unders in the last 10 HOME games against teams who perform in similar way and who have same ranking as Erzgebirge Aue. Erzgebirge Aue has had 4 Over 2.5´s and 6 Under 2.5´s in their last 10 AWAY encounters against teams with ranking nearly the same as Holstein Kiel. Holstein Kiel is scoring an average of 1.58 goals per game at home when Erzgebirge Aue scores 1.5 goals per game away. This makes an average of 3.08 goals per match between the teams. Holstein Kiel concedes 1.25 goals on average per game and Erzgebirge Aue 1.1. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 2.35 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 2.7 goals per match. History shows that 60% of games end Over 2.5 for Holstein Kiel and 60% for Erzgebirge Aue. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it will end up being OVER 2.5 match.

Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Holstein Kiel's last 20 games, we see 13 ´both teams scored´ and 7 ´only one team/no score´. From Erzgebirge Aue's last 20 games 9 have seen both teams scoring and 11 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Holstein Kiel had 8 BTTS YES and 2 NO's. For Erzgebirge Aue, we have seen 5 BTTS YES and 5 NO's. There is a 85% chance of Holstein Kiel scoring in this game, the percent for Erzgebirge Aue is 65% . Probability of conceding a goal is 75% for Holstein Kiel and 75% for Erzgebirge Aue. Looking at the stats above, it is going to be a game where BOTH TEAMS have a great chance to score and thus the best BTTS football prediction would be BOTH TEAMS to Score.