Norrkoping vs Falkenbergs

Sweden - Allsvenskan - 23. Nov 2020 20:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-0
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (64.3%)

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Last games of Norrkoping

D
W
D
W
W
D
L
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
7. Nov Lose (2-0) Mjallby - Norrkoping Allsvenskan 
1. Nov Lose (2-1) Elfsborg - Norrkoping Allsvenskan 
26. Oct Draw (2-2) Norrkoping - AIK Allsvenskan 
18. Oct Win (1-3) Varbergs - Norrkoping Allsvenskan 
27. Sep Win (1-2) Djurgarden - Norrkoping Allsvenskan 
20. Sep Draw (1-1) Norrkoping - Malmo FF Allsvenskan 
14. Sep Win (0-2) Kalmar - Norrkoping Allsvenskan 
10. Sep Draw (2-2) Norrkoping - Ostersunds Allsvenskan 

Last games of Falkenbergs

L
W
L
L
W
D
W
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
7. Nov Lose (1-3) Falkenbergs - Elfsborg Allsvenskan 
1. Nov Win (3-2) Falkenbergs - Djurgarden Allsvenskan 
25. Oct Draw (0-0) Kalmar - Falkenbergs Allsvenskan 
17. Oct Win (2-1) Falkenbergs - Orebro Allsvenskan 
3. Oct Lose (3-0) Hacken - Falkenbergs Allsvenskan 
21. Sep Lose (2-1) Sirius - Falkenbergs Allsvenskan 
17. Sep Win (2-0) Falkenbergs - Varbergs Allsvenskan 
13. Sep Lose (0-3) Falkenbergs - Goteborg Allsvenskan 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Norrkoping
Falkenbergs
37.5%
Wins
37.5%
25%
Losses
50%
37.5 %
Draws
12.5 %
1.63
Goals scored per match
1.13
1.38
Goals conceded per match
1.75
1.67
Goals scored HOME
1.6
1.67
Goals conceded HOME
1.8
1.6
Goals scored AWAY
0.33
1.2
Goals conceded AWAY
1.67
87.5%
Chance to score goal next match
62.5%
87.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
75%
12.5%
Failure to score matches
37.5%
12.5%
Clean sheets
25%
62.5%
Matches over 2.5 goals
75%
37.5%
Matches over 3.5 goals
25%
1.67
Average Win margin
1.33
1.5
Average Loss margin
2.25
75 %
Both teams score YES
50 %
25 %
Both teams score NO
50 %
25 %
Matches ODD score
62.5 %
75 %
Matches EVEN score
37.5 %
3.17
Average win odd 1X2
2.56
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
50%
Matches WON as Favorite
100%
50%
Matches LOST as Favorite
0%
100%
Matches WON as Underdog
33.33%
0%
Matches LOST as Underdog
66.67%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Norrkoping (Medium Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Falkenbergs (Low Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
1.6
Goals Scored
0.9
0.7
Goals Conceded
1.8
60% (6)
WON
10% (1)
0% (0)
LOST
60% (6)
40% (4)
DRAW
30% (3)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Malmo FF
60
2.
Elfsborg
51
3.
Djurgarden
51
4.
Hacken
51
5.
Hammarby
46
6.
Orebro
43
7.
Mjallby
43
8.
Norrkoping
43
9.
Ostersunds
43
10.
AIK
42
11.
Varbergs
40
12.
Sirius
39
13.
Helsingborg
39
14.
Kalmar
35
15.
Falkenbergs
35
16.
Goteborg
34
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Norrkoping
Falkenbergs
Home Games
W
1-0
Halmstad
W
1-0
L
0-1
Hacken
D
1-1
W
2-1
Kalmar
L
0-2
D
2-2
Ostersunds
L
0-1
D
1-1
Malmo FF
L
0-1
D
2-2
AIK
D
1-1
W
3-1
Goteborg
L
0-3
W
2-0
Varbergs
W
2-0
W
2-0
Orebro
W
2-1
W
3-0
Djurgarden
W
3-2
D
1-1
Elfsborg
L
1-3
Away Games
L
2-1
Tvaakers
W
1-3
L
2-0
Mjallby
W
0-1
W
1-3
Varbergs
L
3-1
W
1-4
AIK
D
1-1
W
1-2
Djurgarden
L
1-0
W
1-3
Goteborg
D
2-2
L
4-3
Orebro
W
1-2
L
2-1
Elfsborg
L
4-2
D
1-1
Malmo FF
L
2-1
W
2-4
Ostersunds
L
2-1
L
4-2
Sirius
L
2-1
L
2-1
Hacken
L
3-0
W
0-2
Kalmar
D
0-0


Winner: Norrkoping - 67%, Falkenbergs - 21%, Draw 13%
Score prediction: 1.73 vs 1.21
O/U 2.5: OVER (58%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (65%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Game odds suggest its going to be a game where the favorite takes what it owns. Norrkoping has collected 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses during last 8 games. Last 3 HOME games show 0 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses. Their last HOME game was on 26. October against AIK and it ended up draw (2-2). Last 8 matches of Falkenbergs show us 3 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses. Last 3 AWAY games are: 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. The last AWAY game was on 25. October against Kalmar and that ended with draw (0-0). From this data, we see Norrkoping being a little bit stronger and has a bit more chances to win than their opponent. Our football tip for 1X2: Norrkoping to win! Medium confidence.

This will be a match involving Medium ranking team Norrkoping and Low ranking team Falkenbergs. Norrkoping's last 10 HOME games against Low ranking teams show 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses. At the same time Falkenbergs AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams shows 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Norrkoping's attacking performance is 1.6 goals per game. Same stats for Falkenbergs shows us 0.9. On the defensive side, we have Norrkoping with 0.7 and Falkenbergs with 1.8 goals conceded per game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts and analysis into consideration, we see Norrkoping being stronger and most likely winning this game. Our football prediction for 1X2: Norrkoping to win! High confidence.

When we look at the last 8 games of Norrkoping, we note 5 Overs and 3 Unders. Among the last 8 games of Falkenbergs, there have been 6 Overs and 2 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Norrkoping we see 4 Overs and 6 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Falkenbergs. Falkenbergs has seen 6 Overs and 4 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Norrkoping has. Norrkoping is averaging 1.67 goals in their home games while Falkenbergs makes about 0.33 goals away from home. Taking both numbers together we get 2 goals per match between the teams. Norrkoping concedes 1.67 goals on average and Falkenbergs 1.67. Both teams´s stats combined, we get a total of 3.34 goals conceded per match. With these statistics, we guess a total score of 2.7 goals per match. History shows that 62.5% of games end Over 2.5 for Norrkoping and 75% for Falkenbergs. When trying to give a proper Over/Under 2.5 football prediction , I would say it will clearly be OVER 2.5 match. Under Over 2.5 prediction: pick OVER 2.5!. High confidence.

Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Norrkoping's last 8 games, we see 6 ´both teams scored´ and 2 ´only one team/no score´. From Falkenbergs's last 8 games 4 have seen both teams scoring and 4 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Norrkoping had 5 BTTS YES and 5 NO's. For Falkenbergs, we have seen 7 BTTS YES and 3 NO's. There is a 87.5% chance of Norrkoping scoring in this game, the percent for Falkenbergs is 62.5% . Probability of conceding a goal is 87.5% for Norrkoping and 75% for Falkenbergs. Looking at the stats above, it is going to be a game where BOTH TEAMS have a great chance to score and thus the best BTTS football prediction would be BOTH TEAMS to Score. High stakes.