Ostersunds vs Varbergs - 0:4 (Away Win)

Sweden - Allsvenskan - 22. Nov 2020 18:30

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (33%)
Draw (29%)
Away (38%)

BETTING ODDS

Tipsters with correct prediction for this game:

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Last games of Ostersunds

W
D
D
D
W
L
L
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
7. Nov Lose (2-1) Hacken - Ostersunds Allsvenskan 
1. Nov Lose (3-0) Mjallby - Ostersunds Allsvenskan 
25. Oct Lose (1-3) Ostersunds - Hammarby Allsvenskan 
18. Oct Win (2-3) Sirius - Ostersunds Allsvenskan 
20. Sep Draw (1-1) Ostersunds - Djurgarden Allsvenskan 
14. Sep Draw (0-0) Ostersunds - Orebro Allsvenskan 
10. Sep Draw (2-2) Norrkoping - Ostersunds Allsvenskan 
29. Aug Win (2-1) Ostersunds - Falkenbergs Allsvenskan 

Last games of Varbergs

W
W
L
L
D
L
D
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
8. Nov Win (5-2) Varbergs - Hammarby Allsvenskan 
26. Oct Draw (0-0) Varbergs - Elfsborg Allsvenskan 
18. Oct Lose (1-3) Varbergs - Norrkoping Allsvenskan 
28. Sep Draw (1-1) Kalmar - Varbergs Allsvenskan 
21. Sep Lose (1-3) Varbergs - Helsingborg Allsvenskan 
17. Sep Lose (2-0) Falkenbergs - Varbergs Allsvenskan 
13. Sep Win (2-3) Mjallby - Varbergs Allsvenskan 
29. Aug Win (2-0) Varbergs - Sirius Allsvenskan 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Ostersunds
Varbergs
25%
Wins
37.5%
37.5%
Losses
37.5%
37.5 %
Draws
25 %
1.25
Goals scored per match
1.63
1.75
Goals conceded per match
1.63
1
Goals scored HOME
1.8
1.25
Goals conceded HOME
1.6
1.5
Goals scored AWAY
1.33
2.25
Goals conceded AWAY
1.67
75%
Chance to score goal next match
75%
87.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
75%
25%
Failure to score matches
25%
12.5%
Clean sheets
25%
75%
Matches over 2.5 goals
50%
37.5%
Matches over 3.5 goals
50%
1
Average Win margin
2
2
Average Loss margin
2
75 %
Both teams score YES
62.5 %
25 %
Both teams score NO
37.5 %
50 %
Matches ODD score
25 %
50 %
Matches EVEN score
75 %
3.04
Average win odd 1X2
3.15
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
100%
Matches WON as Favorite
0%
0%
Matches LOST as Favorite
100%
25%
Matches WON as Underdog
75%
75%
Matches LOST as Underdog
25%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Ostersunds (Medium Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Varbergs (Medium Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
0.9
Goals Scored
1.5
1.7
Goals Conceded
1.4
20% (2)
WON
30% (3)
50% (5)
LOST
50% (5)
30% (3)
DRAW
20% (2)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Malmo FF
60
2.
Elfsborg
54
3.
Djurgarden
52
4.
Hacken
48
5.
Hammarby
46
6.
Orebro
46
7.
Norrkoping
43
8.
Ostersunds
42
9.
AIK
42
10.
Mjallby
42
11.
Varbergs
41
12.
Helsingborg
39
13.
Sirius
38
14.
Kalmar
35
15.
Goteborg
34
16.
Falkenbergs
34
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Ostersunds
Varbergs
Home Games
L
0-2
Sirius
W
2-0
L
2-4
Norrkoping
L
1-3
L
0-1
Mjallby
W
1-0
D
2-2
Hacken
L
1-3
D
0-0
Helsingborg
L
1-3
L
0-1
Elfsborg
D
0-0
W
2-0
Kalmar
W
1-0
W
2-1
Falkenbergs
W
3-1
D
0-0
Orebro
W
2-1
D
1-1
Djurgarden
L
1-2
L
1-3
Hammarby
W
5-2
Away Games
L
2-0
Hacken
L
2-1
L
2-0
Hammarby
L
5-1
D
0-0
Orebro
L
1-0
W
1-2
Kalmar
D
1-1
W
0-1
Falkenbergs
L
2-0
W
0-1
Elfsborg
D
3-3
D
2-2
Norrkoping
L
2-0
W
2-3
Sirius
D
3-3
L
3-0
Mjallby
W
2-3


Winner: Ostersunds - 55%, Varbergs - 40%, Draw 5%
Score prediction: 1.38 vs 1.43
O/U 2.5: OVER (50%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (53%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Game odds suggest its going to be a game where the favorite takes what it owns. Lets have a look at the basic past data: Ostersunds has collected 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 games. Meanwhile their last 4 HOME games shown 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. Their last HOME game was on 25. October against Hammarby and it ended with away win (1-3). If we look at the last 8 games of Varbergs, we note 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. Last 3 AWAY games are following: 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 28. September vs Kalmar and the outcome was draw (1-1). Looking at the data above, we at hintwise.com see both teams being equal and a possible DRAW here. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick DRAW!

This is a game between Medium ranking Ostersunds and Low ranking Varbergs. Ostersunds's last 10 HOME games against Low ranking teams show 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses. Meanwhile Varbergs AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams shows 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Ostersunds's attacking performance shows us an average of 1.2 goals per game vs Varbergs's 1.4. Rank-based (against similar ranking teams) defense power shows Ostersunds with 1.3 and Varbergs with 1.7 goals conceded per game. Looking at the the Rank-based (performace against similar ranking teams) factors, our analysts see Ostersunds being somewhat superior and probably wins the match. Our football prediction for 1X2: Ostersunds to win! Medium confidence.

When we look at the last 8 games of Ostersunds, we note 6 Overs and 2 Unders. Among the last 8 games of Varbergs, there have been 4 Overs and 4 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Ostersunds we see 5 Overs and 5 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Varbergs. Varbergs has seen 5 Overs and 5 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Ostersunds has. Ostersunds is scoring an average of 1 goals per game at home when Varbergs scores 1.33 goals per game away. This makes an average of 2.33 goals per match between the teams. Ostersunds concedes 1.25 goals on average per game and Varbergs 1.67. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 2.92 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 2.6 goals per match. History shows that 75% of games end Over 2.5 for Ostersunds and 50% for Varbergs. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it will end up being OVER 2.5 match. Under Over 2.5 prediction: back OVER 2.5! High stakes.

From Ostersunds's last 8 encounters 6 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 2 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Varbergs's last 8 games, it is 5 with both teams scoring and 3 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Ostersunds had 4 games where both teams scored and 6 where at least one did not. For Varbergs, we have seen 5 BTTS YES and 5 NO's. There is a 75% chance of Ostersunds scoring today and 75% for Varbergs scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 87.5% for Ostersunds and 75% for Varbergs. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it will probably be Both Teams to Score-YES match. Football tip for BTTS: pick BTTS-YES! Medium stakes.