Sirius vs Mjallby - 0:1 (Away Win)

Sweden - Allsvenskan - 23. Nov 2020 20:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-2
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (47.6%)
Draw (25.3%)
Away (27.1%)

BETTING ODDS

Tipsters with correct prediction for this game:

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Last games of Sirius

D
W
L
L
L
D
D
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
8. Nov Lose (4-0) Malmo FF - Sirius Allsvenskan 
1. Nov Draw (2-2) Sirius - Kalmar Allsvenskan 
29. Oct Draw (0-0) Sirius - AIK Allsvenskan 
24. Oct Lose (4-0) Djurgarden - Sirius Allsvenskan 
18. Oct Lose (2-3) Sirius - Ostersunds Allsvenskan 
26. Sep Lose (2-1) Orebro - Sirius Allsvenskan 
21. Sep Win (2-1) Sirius - Falkenbergs Allsvenskan 
14. Sep Draw (1-1) Hacken - Sirius Allsvenskan 

Last games of Mjallby

L
D
W
L
L
D
W
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
7. Nov Win (2-0) Mjallby - Norrkoping Allsvenskan 
1. Nov Win (3-0) Mjallby - Ostersunds Allsvenskan 
24. Oct Draw (2-2) Hacken - Mjallby Allsvenskan 
18. Oct Lose (4-2) Hammarby - Mjallby Allsvenskan 
28. Sep Lose (1-0) AIK - Mjallby Allsvenskan 
21. Sep Win (1-0) Mjallby - Orebro Allsvenskan 
17. Sep Draw (2-2) Elfsborg - Mjallby Allsvenskan 
13. Sep Lose (2-3) Mjallby - Varbergs Allsvenskan 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Sirius
Mjallby
12.5%
Wins
37.5%
50%
Losses
37.5%
37.5 %
Draws
25 %
1
Goals scored per match
1.75
2.13
Goals conceded per match
1.5
1.5
Goals scored HOME
2
1.5
Goals conceded HOME
0.75
0.5
Goals scored AWAY
1.5
2.75
Goals conceded AWAY
2.25
62.5%
Chance to score goal next match
87.5%
87.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
62.5%
37.5%
Failure to score matches
12.5%
12.5%
Clean sheets
37.5%
75%
Matches over 2.5 goals
62.5%
50%
Matches over 3.5 goals
50%
1
Average Win margin
2
2.5
Average Loss margin
1.33
62.5 %
Both teams score YES
50 %
37.5 %
Both teams score NO
50 %
37.5 %
Matches ODD score
50 %
62.5 %
Matches EVEN score
50 %
3
Average win odd 1X2
2.84
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
33.33%
Matches WON as Favorite
66.67%
66.67%
Matches LOST as Favorite
33.33%
0%
Matches WON as Underdog
33.33%
100%
Matches LOST as Underdog
66.67%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Sirius (Low Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Mjallby (Medium Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Low Ranking teams
2.1
Goals Scored
1.3
1.5
Goals Conceded
1.3
50% (5)
WON
40% (4)
20% (2)
LOST
40% (4)
30% (3)
DRAW
20% (2)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Malmo FF
60
2.
Elfsborg
51
3.
Djurgarden
51
4.
Hacken
51
5.
Hammarby
46
6.
Norrkoping
43
7.
Ostersunds
43
8.
Orebro
43
9.
Mjallby
43
10.
AIK
42
11.
Varbergs
40
12.
Sirius
39
13.
Helsingborg
39
14.
Kalmar
35
15.
Falkenbergs
35
16.
Goteborg
34
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Sirius
Mjallby
Home Games
W
2-1
Falkenbergs
L
0-1
W
3-1
Hammarby
W
2-1
L
2-5
Malmo FF
D
0-0
D
2-2
Hacken
W
3-1
D
2-2
Kalmar
D
2-2
D
0-0
AIK
W
3-1
D
2-2
Goteborg
D
1-1
D
3-3
Varbergs
L
2-3
W
2-1
Orebro
W
1-0
L
2-3
Ostersunds
W
3-0
W
4-2
Norrkoping
W
2-0
Away Games
L
4-0
Djurgarden
W
1-2
L
4-0
Malmo FF
L
2-0
D
1-1
Goteborg
D
2-2
W
1-2
Helsingborg
W
0-1
W
0-2
Ostersunds
W
0-1
L
2-0
Varbergs
L
1-0
L
2-1
Orebro
L
3-1
D
1-1
Kalmar
W
1-4
D
3-3
Elfsborg
D
2-2
L
1-0
AIK
L
1-0
D
0-0
Hammarby
L
4-2
D
1-1
Hacken
D
2-2


Winner: Sirius - 26%, Mjallby - 35%, Draw 39%
Score prediction: 1.39 vs 1.7
O/U 2.5: OVER (61%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (63%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Basic analysis suggest this game to be a match between similar performing teams. Looking at the historical data, Sirius has collected 1 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 8 matches. Last 4 games at their HOME stadium shown us 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. Last HOME game was on 1. November against Kalmar with the result draw (2-2). Last 8 matches of Mjallby show us 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. Last 4 AWAY games are: 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. The last AWAY game was on 24. October against Hacken and that ended with draw (2-2). From this data, we see two teams with very similar stats and a possible DRAW. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick DRAW!

This is a game between Low ranking Sirius and Medium ranking Mjallby. Sirius's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses. Meanwhile Mjallby AWAY performance against Low ranking teams shows 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Sirius's attacking performance shows us an average of 2.3 goals per game vs Mjallby's 1.3. Rank-based (against similar ranking teams) defense power shows Sirius with 1.6 and Mjallby with 1.4 goals conceded per game. Looking at the the Rank-based (performace against similar ranking teams) factors, our analysts see Sirius being somewhat superior and probably wins the match. Our football prediction for 1X2: Sirius to win! Medium confidence.

From last 8 games of Sirius we see 6 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 2 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 games of Mjallby have seen 5 Overs and 3 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Sirius it has been 9 Overs and 1 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to Mjallby. Mjallby has seen 4 Overs and 6 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Sirius. Sirius is scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game at home when Mjallby scores 1.5 goals per game away. This makes an average of 3 goals per match between the teams. Sirius concedes 1.5 goals on average per game and Mjallby 2.25. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 3.75 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 3.4 goals per match. History shows that 75% of games end Over 2.5 for Sirius and 62.5% for Mjallby. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it will end up being OVER 2.5 match. Under Over 2.5 prediction: back OVER 2.5! High stakes.

From Sirius's last 8 encounters 5 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 3 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Mjallby's last 8 games, it is 4 with both teams scoring and 4 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Sirius had 9 games where both teams scored and 1 where at least one did not. For Mjallby, we have seen 6 BTTS YES and 4 NO's. There is a 62.5% chance of Sirius scoring today and 87.5% for Mjallby scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 87.5% for Sirius and 62.5% for Mjallby. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it is going to be a game where BOTH TEAMS have a great chance to score and thus the best BTTS football prediction would be BOTH TEAMS to Score. High stakes.