Freiburg vs Mainz - 1:3 (Away Win)

Germany - Bundesliga - 22. Nov 2020 16:30

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (46.1%)
Draw (26.6%)
Away (27.3%)

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Last games of Freiburg

W
W
D
L
D
D
L
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
7. Nov Lose (3-0) RB Leipzig - Freiburg Bundesliga 
1. Nov Lose (2-4) Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen Bundesliga 
24. Oct Draw (1-1) Union Berlin - Freiburg Bundesliga 
17. Oct Draw (1-1) Freiburg - Werder Bremen Bundesliga 
3. Oct Lose (4-0) Dortmund - Freiburg Bundesliga 
27. Sep Draw (1-1) Freiburg - Wolfsburg Bundesliga 
19. Sep Win (2-3) Stuttgart - Freiburg Bundesliga 
13. Sep Win (1-2) Mannheim - Freiburg DFB Pokal 

Last games of Mainz

W
L
L
L
L
L
L
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
7. Nov Draw (2-2) Mainz - Schalke Bundesliga 
31. Oct Lose (3-1) Augsburg - Mainz Bundesliga 
24. Oct Lose (2-3) Mainz - B. Monchengladbach Bundesliga 
17. Oct Lose (0-1) Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen Bundesliga 
2. Oct Lose (4-0) Union Berlin - Mainz Bundesliga 
26. Sep Lose (1-4) Mainz - Stuttgart Bundesliga 
20. Sep Lose (3-1) RB Leipzig - Mainz Bundesliga 
11. Sep Win (1-5) TSV Havelse - Mainz DFB Pokal 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Freiburg
Mainz
25%
Wins
12.5%
37.5%
Losses
75%
37.5 %
Draws
12.5 %
1.25
Goals scored per match
1.5
2.13
Goals conceded per match
2.63
1.33
Goals scored HOME
1.25
2
Goals conceded HOME
2.5
1.2
Goals scored AWAY
1.75
2.2
Goals conceded AWAY
2.75
75%
Chance to score goal next match
75%
100%
Chance to concede goal next match
100%
25%
Failure to score matches
25%
0%
Clean sheets
0%
62.5%
Matches over 2.5 goals
87.5%
37.5%
Matches over 3.5 goals
87.5%
1
Average Win margin
4
3
Average Loss margin
2.17
75 %
Both teams score YES
75 %
25 %
Both teams score NO
25 %
37.5 %
Matches ODD score
37.5 %
62.5 %
Matches EVEN score
62.5 %
2.45
Average win odd 1X2
2.05
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
100%
Matches WON as Favorite
50%
0%
Matches LOST as Favorite
50%
25%
Matches WON as Underdog
0%
75%
Matches LOST as Underdog
100%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Freiburg (Low Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Mainz (Low Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Low Ranking teams
1
Goals Scored
1.8
1.5
Goals Conceded
1.8
30% (3)
WON
40% (4)
50% (5)
LOST
40% (4)
20% (2)
DRAW
20% (2)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Bayern Munich
78
2.
Dortmund
58
3.
B. Monchengladbach
55
4.
RB Leipzig
55
5.
Bayer Leverkusen
55
6.
Hoffenheim
51
7.
Stuttgart
49
8.
Wolfsburg
46
9.
Arminia Bielefeld
44
10.
Werder Bremen
43
11.
Hertha Berlin
43
12.
Eintracht Frankfurt
42
13.
Heidenheim
41
14.
Dusseldorf
41
15.
Freiburg
40
16.
Augsburg
39
17.
Union Berlin
38
18.
FC Koln
37
19.
Paderborn
37
20.
Mainz
35
21.
Schalke
23
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Freiburg
Mainz
Home Games
L
1-3
Bayern Munich
L
1-3
L
0-2
Paderborn
W
2-0
W
1-0
Hoffenheim
L
0-1
L
0-2
Dusseldorf
D
1-1
L
0-1
Werder Bremen
W
3-1
L
0-1
Bayer Leverkusen
L
0-1
W
1-0
B. Monchengladbach
L
2-3
W
4-0
Schalke
D
0-0
Away Games
L
4-2
B. Monchengladbach
L
3-1
L
1-0
Hertha Berlin
W
1-3
L
4-0
FC Koln
D
2-2
D
1-1
Augsburg
L
2-1
L
1-0
Dortmund
W
0-2
D
1-1
RB Leipzig
L
3-1
D
3-3
Eintracht Frankfurt
W
0-2
D
1-1
Union Berlin
D
1-1


Winner: Freiburg - 31%, Mainz - 44%, Draw 25%
Score prediction: 1.16 vs 1.47
O/U 2.5:
UNDER (59%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (50%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Most likely its is going to be an open, attack-oriented and goal filled game where one team has clear advantage. Freiburg has gained 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from the last 8 games. Last 3 HOME games show us 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. Their last game at HOME was on 1. November against Bayer Leverkusen, resulting in away win (2-4). If we look at the last 8 games of Mainz, we note 1 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses. Last 4 AWAY games are following: 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 31. October vs Augsburg and the outcome was home win (3-1). Looking at the data above, we at hintwise.com see a high chance of DRAW as both teams have similar past performance. Our football tip for 1X2: bet on DRAW!

This will be a match involving Low ranking team Freiburg and Low ranking team Mainz. Freiburg's last 10 HOME games against Low ranking teams show 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses. At the same time Mainz AWAY performance against Low ranking teams shows 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Freiburg's attacking performance shows us an average of 1 goals per game vs Mainz's 1.5. Rank-based (against similar ranking teams) defense power shows Freiburg with 1.4 and Mainz with 1.8 goals conceded per game. Looking at the the Rank-based (performace against similar ranking teams) factors, our analysts see both teams being equal and a possible DRAW here. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick DRAW!

When we look at the last 8 games of Freiburg, we note 5 Overs and 3 Unders. Among the last 8 games of Mainz, there have been 7 Overs and 1 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Freiburg we see 4 Overs and 6 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Mainz. Mainz has seen 7 Overs and 3 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Freiburg has. Freiburg scores an average 1.33 goals each game at home stadium while Mainz has been scoring 1.75 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 3.08 goals per match between both teams. Freiburg concedes 2 goals on average and Mainz 2.75 for a total of 4.75 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 3.9 goals per match. History shows that 62.5% of games end Over 2.5 for Freiburg and 87.5% for Mainz. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it will end up being OVER 2.5 match. Under Over 2.5 prediction: back OVER 2.5! High stakes.

Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Freiburg's last 8 games, we see 6 ´both teams scored´ and 2 ´only one team/no score´. From Mainz's last 8 games 6 have seen both teams scoring and 2 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Freiburg had 6 BTTS YES and 4 NO's. For Mainz, we have seen 5 BTTS YES and 5 NO's. There is a 75% chance of Freiburg scoring in this game, the percent for Mainz is 75% . Probability of conceding a goal is 100% for Freiburg and 100% for Mainz. Looking at the stats above, it is going to be a game where BOTH TEAMS have a great chance to score and thus the best BTTS football prediction would be BOTH TEAMS to Score. High stakes.