Bristol City vs Derby - 1:0 (Home Win)

England - Championship - 21. Nov 2020 17:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-2
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (42.9%)
Draw (28.3%)
Away (28.9%)

BETTING ODDS

Tipsters with correct prediction for this game:

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Last games of Bristol City

D
L
D
L
L
W
W
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
25. Nov Draw (0-0) Bristol City - Watford Championship 
6. Nov Win (0-1) Cardiff - Bristol City Championship 
3. Nov Win (1-2) Huddersfield - Bristol City Championship 
31. Oct Lose (1-3) Bristol City - Norwich Championship 
28. Oct Lose (1-0) Bournemouth - Bristol City Championship 
24. Oct Draw (1-1) Bristol City - Swansea Championship 
20. Oct Lose (0-1) Bristol City - Middlesbrough Championship 
17. Oct Draw (2-2) Barnsley - Bristol City Championship 

Last games of Derby

W
L
L
D
D
D
L
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
25. Nov Lose (3-0) Middlesbrough - Derby Championship 
7. Nov Lose (0-2) Derby - Barnsley Championship 
31. Oct Draw (1-1) Bournemouth - Derby Championship 
28. Oct Draw (1-1) Derby - Cardiff Championship 
23. Oct Draw (1-1) Nottingham - Derby Championship 
20. Oct Lose (1-0) Huddersfield - Derby Championship 
16. Oct Lose (0-1) Derby - Watford Championship 
3. Oct Win (0-1) Norwich - Derby Championship 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Bristol City
Derby
25%
Wins
12.5%
37.5%
Losses
50%
37.5 %
Draws
37.5 %
0.88
Goals scored per match
0.5
1.13
Goals conceded per match
1.25
0.5
Goals scored HOME
0.33
1.25
Goals conceded HOME
1.33
1.25
Goals scored AWAY
0.6
1
Goals conceded AWAY
1.2
62.5%
Chance to score goal next match
50%
75%
Chance to concede goal next match
87.5%
37.5%
Failure to score matches
50%
25%
Clean sheets
12.5%
37.5%
Matches over 2.5 goals
12.5%
25%
Matches over 3.5 goals
0%
1
Average Win margin
1
1.33
Average Loss margin
1.75
50 %
Both teams score YES
37.5 %
50 %
Both teams score NO
62.5 %
50 %
Matches ODD score
50 %
50 %
Matches EVEN score
50 %
2.86
Average win odd 1X2
3.09
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
50%
Matches WON as Favorite
0%
50%
Matches LOST as Favorite
100%
33.33%
Matches WON as Underdog
25%
66.67%
Matches LOST as Underdog
75%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Bristol City (High Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Derby (Low Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against High Ranking teams
1.5
Goals Scored
1.4
1.1
Goals Conceded
2.2
50% (5)
WON
20% (2)
20% (2)
LOST
60% (6)
30% (3)
DRAW
20% (2)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Leeds
60
2.
Stoke
58
3.
Bristol City
54
4.
Hull
52
5.
Swansea
52
6.
Brentford
51
7.
Millwall
50
8.
Charlton
49
9.
Reading
49
10.
Bournemouth
48
11.
Coventry
46
12.
Barnsley
46
13.
Luton
46
14.
Middlesbrough
46
15.
Fulham
44
16.
Rotherham
44
17.
Preston
43
18.
Cardiff
43
19.
Blackburn
43
20.
Birmingham
41
21.
West Brom
40
22.
Huddersfield
40
23.
Watford
40
24.
Wycombe
38
25.
QPR
38
26.
Wigan
37
27.
Norwich
37
28.
Sheffield Wed
37
29.
Nottingham
35
30.
Derby
30
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Bristol City
Derby
Home Games
W
5-2
Huddersfield
D
1-1
L
1-2
Millwall
L
0-1
L
0-2
Blackburn
W
3-0
L
0-4
Brentford
L
1-3
W
1-0
Barnsley
W
2-1
D
1-1
Fulham
D
1-1
L
1-2
Sheffield Wed
D
1-1
L
0-1
Cardiff
D
1-1
W
2-1
Hull
W
1-0
D
1-1
Stoke
W
4-0
D
1-1
Preston
L
1-2
W
4-0
Northampton
W
4-2
D
0-0
Watford
L
0-1
Away Games
L
1-0
Sheffield Wed
W
1-3
W
0-2
Wigan
D
1-1
W
0-1
Reading
L
3-0
W
0-1
QPR
L
2-1
L
2-1
Huddersfield
L
1-0
D
1-1
Millwall
W
2-3
L
3-1
Blackburn
L
1-0
L
1-0
Nottingham
D
1-1
W
1-3
Middlesbrough
D
2-2
L
1-0
Swansea
W
2-3
L
1-0
Bournemouth
D
1-1
W
0-1
Cardiff
L
2-1


Winner: Bristol City - 36%, Derby - 44%, Draw 20%
Score prediction: 1.22 vs 1.28
O/U 2.5:
UNDER (56%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (56%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Most likely its is going to be a pretty even game. Bristol City has collected 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses during last 6 games. Last 3 HOME games show 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. Their last HOME game was on 31. October against Norwich and it ended up away win (1-3). Looking at the last 6 games of Derby we see 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. Last 3 AWAY games show us 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 31. October against Bournemouth and this one ended with draw (1-1). Taking all of this into consideration, we see two teams with very similar stats and a possible DRAW. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick DRAW!

This is a game between High ranking Bristol City and Low ranking Derby. Bristol City's last 10 HOME games against Low ranking teams show 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. Meanwhile Derby AWAY performance against High ranking teams shows 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Bristol City's scoring ability is 1.9 goals scored per game vs Derby's 1.5. Defensive performance shows Bristol City with 1.7 and Derby with 2.3 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say Bristol City being somewhat superior and probably wins the match. Our football prediction for 1X2: Bristol City to win! Medium confidence.

Last 6 games of Bristol City show us 2 Over 2.5 Goals and 4 Under 2.5 Goals. Last 6 matches of Derby have seen 0 Over 2.5´s and 6 Under 2.5´s. When we look at the ranking-based O/U 2.5 stats of Bristol City it shows us 7 Overs and 3 Unders in the last 10 HOME games against teams who perform in similar way and who have same ranking as Derby. Derby has had 9 Over 2.5´s and 1 Under 2.5´s in their last 10 AWAY encounters against teams with ranking nearly the same as Bristol City. Bristol City is averaging 0.67 goals in their home games while Derby makes about 0.67 goals away from home. Taking both numbers together we get 1.34 goals per match between the teams. Bristol City concedes 1.67 goals on average and Derby 1. Both teams´s stats combined, we get a total of 2.67 goals conceded per match. With these statistics, we guess a total score of 2 goals per match. History shows that 33.33% of games end Over 2.5 for Bristol City and 0% for Derby. When trying to give a proper Over/Under 2.5 football prediction , I would say it is possibly a match where we see UNDER 2.5 goals scored. Under Over 2.5 prediction: pick UNDER 2.5! Medium confidence.

Bristol City's last 6 matches show us 3 games where both teams scored and 3 games where only one team scored or none. From Derby's last 6 games 3 have seen both teams scoring and 3 only one team/no score. Ranking-based BTS stats of Bristol City show us 7 BTS YES and 3 NO's. For Derby, we have seen 8 BTS YES and 2 NO's. There is a 66.67% chance of Bristol City scoring today, 50% for Derby. Probability of conceding a goal is 83.33% for Bristol City and 100% for Derby. Considering all the numbers, it will be a game where BOTH TEAMS SCORE. Football prediction for BTTS: bet on BTTS-YES! High confidence.