Game
Ended

Leeds United vs Derby County - 2:4 (Away Win)

England - Championship (soccer) 15. May 2019 19:45
FREE Score Prediction 2-0
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Under

Mathematical Probability of Result

Leeds United (56.2%)
Draw (24.3%)
Derby County (19.5%)

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Last games of Leeds United

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W
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W
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D
W
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W
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W
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W
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L
L
W
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
11. May Championship Derby County - Leeds United Win (0-1) 2.52 
5. May Championship Ipswich Town - Leeds United Lose (3-2) 6.25 
22. Apr Championship Brentford - Leeds United Lose (2-0) 3.76 
19. Apr Championship Leeds United - Wigan Athletic Lose (1-2) 9.5 
9. Apr Championship Preston North End - Leeds United Win (0-2) 2.17 
6. Apr Championship Birmingham City - Leeds United Lose (1-0) 4 
30. Mar Championship Leeds United - Millwall Win (3-2) 1.57 
16. Mar Championship Leeds United - Sheffield United Lose (0-1) 3.75 
12. Mar Championship Reading - Leeds United Win (0-3) 1.73 
9. Mar Championship Bristol City - Leeds United Win (0-1) 2.41 
1. Mar Championship Leeds United - West Bromwich Albion Win (4-0) 2.28 
26. Feb Championship Queens Park Rangers - Leeds United Lose (1-0) 4.2 
23. Feb Championship Leeds United - Bolton Wanderers Win (2-1) 1.29 
13. Feb Championship Leeds United - Swansea City Win (2-1) 1.74 
9. Feb Championship Middlesbrough - Leeds United Draw (1-1) 3.25 
2. Feb Championship Leeds United - Norwich City Lose (1-3) 4.2 
26. Jan Championship Rotherham United - Leeds United Win (1-2) 1.69 
19. Jan Championship Stoke City - Leeds United Lose (2-1) 3 
11. Jan Championship Leeds United - Derby County Win (2-0) 1.86 
6. Jan FA Cup Queens Park Rangers - Leeds United Lose (2-1) 2.82 

Last games of Derby County

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L
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
11. May Championship Derby County - Leeds United Lose (0-1) 2.52 
5. May Championship Derby County - West Bromwich Albion Win (3-1) 1.95 
1. May Championship Swansea City - Derby County Draw (1-1) 3.6 
27. Apr Championship Bristol City - Derby County Win (0-2) 3.25 
22. Apr Championship Derby County - Queens Park Rangers Win (2-0) 1.74 
19. Apr Championship Birmingham City - Derby County Draw (2-2) 3.44 
6. Apr Championship Brentford - Derby County Draw (3-3) 3.75 
30. Mar Championship Derby County - Rotherham United Win (6-1) 1.72 
13. Mar Championship Derby County - Stoke City Draw (0-0) 3.2 
9. Mar Championship Derby County - Sheffield Wednesday Draw (1-1) 3.4 
2. Mar Championship Aston Villa - Derby County Lose (4-0) 2.18 
25. Feb Championship Nottingham Forest - Derby County Lose (1-0) 2.55 
20. Feb Championship Derby County - Millwall Lose (0-1) 4 
16. Feb FA Cup Brighton and Hove Albion - Derby County Lose (2-1) 1.86 
13. Feb Championship Ipswich Town - Derby County Draw (1-1) 3.7 
9. Feb Championship Derby County - Hull City Win (2-0) 2.1 
1. Feb Championship Preston North End - Derby County Draw (0-0) 3.4 
26. Jan FA Cup Accrington Stanley - Derby County Win (0-1) 1.91 
16. Jan FA Cup Southampton - Derby County Draw (2-2) 4.1 
11. Jan Championship Leeds United - Derby County Lose (2-0) 1.86 

Last games of Leeds United | Over/Under 2.5

O
U
O
U
O
O
U
O
U
O
U
O
U
U
O
U
O
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
5. May Championship Ipswich Town - Leeds United Over (3-2) 1.77 
22. Apr Championship Brentford - Leeds United Under (2-0) 2.26 
19. Apr Championship Leeds United - Wigan Athletic Over (1-2) 1.72 
9. Apr Championship Preston North End - Leeds United Under (0-2) 1.87 
6. Apr Championship Birmingham City - Leeds United Under (1-0) 1.78 
30. Mar Championship Leeds United - Millwall Over (3-2) 1.97 
16. Mar Championship Leeds United - Sheffield United Under (0-1) 1.81 
12. Mar Championship Reading - Leeds United Over (0-3) 1.96 
9. Mar Championship Bristol City - Leeds United Under (0-1) 1.91 
1. Mar Championship Leeds United - West Bromwich Albion Over (4-0) 1.94 
26. Feb Championship Queens Park Rangers - Leeds United Under (1-0) 2.9 
23. Feb Championship Leeds United - Bolton Wanderers Over (2-1) 1.84 
13. Feb Championship Leeds United - Swansea City Over (2-1) 1.8 
9. Feb Championship Middlesbrough - Leeds United Under (1-1) 1.67 
26. Jan Championship Rotherham United - Leeds United Over (1-2) 1.88 
11. Jan Championship Leeds United - Derby County Under (2-0) 2.23 
6. Jan FA Cup Queens Park Rangers - Leeds United Over (2-1) 1.93 

Last games of Derby County | Over/Under 2.5

U
O
U
U
U
U
U
O
U
U
O
O
O
U
O
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
5. May Championship Derby County - West Bromwich Albion Over (3-1) 1.67 
22. Apr Championship Derby County - Queens Park Rangers Under (2-0) 2.25 
19. Apr Championship Birmingham City - Derby County Over (2-2) 2.13 
6. Apr Championship Brentford - Derby County Over (3-3) 1.75 
30. Mar Championship Derby County - Rotherham United Over (6-1) 1.98 
13. Mar Championship Derby County - Stoke City Under (0-0) 1.58 
9. Mar Championship Derby County - Sheffield Wednesday Under (1-1) 1.84 
2. Mar Championship Aston Villa - Derby County Over (4-0) 1.88 
25. Feb Championship Nottingham Forest - Derby County Under (1-0) 1.85 
13. Feb Championship Ipswich Town - Derby County Under (1-1) 1.8 
9. Feb Championship Derby County - Hull City Under (2-0) 2.65 
1. Feb Championship Preston North End - Derby County Under (0-0) 1.93 
26. Jan FA Cup Accrington Stanley - Derby County Under (0-1) 1.95 
16. Jan FA Cup Southampton - Derby County Over (2-2) 1.86 
11. Jan Championship Leeds United - Derby County Under (2-0) 2.23 

Last games of Leeds United | Both Teams To Score

Y
N
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
N
N
N
N
N
Y
N
N
Y
N
Y
N
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
11. May Championship Derby County - Leeds United No (0-1) 1.95 
5. May Championship Ipswich Town - Leeds United Yes (3-2) 1.8 
22. Apr Championship Brentford - Leeds United No (2-0) 2.38 
19. Apr Championship Leeds United - Wigan Athletic Yes (1-2) 2 
9. Apr Championship Preston North End - Leeds United No (0-2) 2.04 
6. Apr Championship Birmingham City - Leeds United No (1-0) 1.95 
30. Mar Championship Leeds United - Millwall Yes (3-2) 2.01 
16. Mar Championship Leeds United - Sheffield United No (0-1) 2 
12. Mar Championship Reading - Leeds United No (0-3) 1.91 
9. Mar Championship Bristol City - Leeds United No (0-1) 2.1 
1. Mar Championship Leeds United - West Bromwich Albion No (4-0) 2.15 
26. Feb Championship Queens Park Rangers - Leeds United No (1-0) 2.1 
23. Feb Championship Leeds United - Bolton Wanderers Yes (2-1) 2.77 
13. Feb Championship Leeds United - Swansea City Yes (2-1) 1.74 
9. Feb Championship Middlesbrough - Leeds United Yes (1-1) 1.96 
2. Feb Championship Leeds United - Norwich City Yes (1-3) 1.68 
26. Jan Championship Rotherham United - Leeds United Yes (1-2) 1.88 
19. Jan Championship Stoke City - Leeds United Yes (2-1) 1.74 
11. Jan Championship Leeds United - Derby County No (2-0) 2.2 
6. Jan FA Cup Queens Park Rangers - Leeds United Yes (2-1) 1.67 

Last games of Derby County | Both Teams To Score

N
Y
N
N
N
Y
Y
N
N
N
Y
N
Y
Y
Y
N
Y
N
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
11. May Championship Derby County - Leeds United No (0-1) 1.95 
5. May Championship Derby County - West Bromwich Albion Yes (3-1) 1.6 
22. Apr Championship Derby County - Queens Park Rangers No (2-0) 2.2 
19. Apr Championship Birmingham City - Derby County Yes (2-2) 1.8 
6. Apr Championship Brentford - Derby County Yes (3-3) 1.62 
30. Mar Championship Derby County - Rotherham United Yes (6-1) 1.91 
13. Mar Championship Derby County - Stoke City No (0-0) 1.8 
9. Mar Championship Derby County - Sheffield Wednesday Yes (1-1) 1.85 
2. Mar Championship Aston Villa - Derby County No (4-0) 2.24 
25. Feb Championship Nottingham Forest - Derby County No (1-0) 2.12 
20. Feb Championship Derby County - Millwall No (0-1) 2.02 
16. Feb FA Cup Brighton and Hove Albion - Derby County Yes (2-1) 1.9 
13. Feb Championship Ipswich Town - Derby County Yes (1-1) 1.95 
9. Feb Championship Derby County - Hull City No (2-0) 2.14 
1. Feb Championship Preston North End - Derby County No (0-0) 2.16 
26. Jan FA Cup Accrington Stanley - Derby County No (0-1) 2 
16. Jan FA Cup Southampton - Derby County Yes (2-2) 1.87 
11. Jan Championship Leeds United - Derby County No (2-0) 2.2 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Leeds United
Achievement
Derby County
50%
% of Wins
30%
45%
% of Losses
30%
5 %
% of Draws
40 %
1.45
Goals scored per match
1.35
1.15
Goals conceded per match
1.15
1.88
Goals scored - HOME
1.75
1.25
Goals conceded - HOME
0.63
1.17
Goals scored - AWAY
1.08
1.08
Goals conceded - AWAY
1.5
80%
Chance to score goal next match
65%
70%
Chance to concede goal next match
70%
20%
Failure to score matches
35%
30%
Clean sheet matches
30%
55%
Matches over 2.5 goals
35%
20%
Matches over 3.5 goals
30%
1.7
Win margin
2.33
1.22
Losing margin
1.67
50 %
Both teams score - YES
45 %
50 %
Both teams score - NO
55 %
70 %
Matches with ODD score
30 %
30 %
Matches with EVEN score
70 %
3.2
Average win odd - 1X2
2.81
2
Average win odd - BTTS
1.96
1.96
Average win odd - O/U 2.5
1.98
52.63%
Matches WON being favorite
83.33%
47.37%
Matches LOST being favorite
16.67%
0%
Matches WON being underdog
16.67%
0%
Matches LOST being underdog
83.33%
H2H vs SIMILAR RANKING TEAMS
Leeds United last 10 home games against Medium rank teams
Vs
Derby County last 10 away games against Medium rank teams
Medium
Rank
Medium
48
Rank Score
45
2
AVG Goals Scored
1.3
1.3
AVG Goals Conceded
1.5
70% (7)
Games WON
30% (3)
30% (3)
Games LOST
30% (3)
0% (0)
DRAWS
40% (4)
VIEW ALL GAMES
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
England - Championship
1.
Sheffield United
61
2.
Norwich City
58
3.
Brentford
52
4.
Bristol City
52
5.
Aston Villa
51
6.
Swansea City
50
7.
Hull City
49
8.
Preston North End
48
9.
Leeds United
48
10.
Sheffield Wednesday
48
11.
Derby County
45
12.
West Bromwich Albion
43
13.
Middlesbrough
42
14.
Nottingham Forest
41
15.
Millwall
40
16.
Reading
40
17.
Wigan Athletic
40
18.
Birmingham City
39
19.
Blackburn Rovers
39
20.
Stoke City
34
21.
Rotherham United
32
22.
Bolton Wanderers
30
23.
Ipswich Town
28
24.
Queens Park Rangers
27
H2H vs SAME TEAMS
Leeds United
Derby County
Home Games
W
2-1
Swansea City
W
2-1
W
2-0
Bristol City
D
1-1
L
0-2
Hull City
W
2-0
W
3-2
Millwall
L
0-1
W
4-0
West Bromwich Albion
W
3-1
Away Games
L
2-1
Stoke City
L
2-1
W
0-1
Sheffield United
L
3-1
W
0-2
Preston North End
D
0-0
L
3-2
Ipswich Town
D
1-1
L
4-2
Nottingham Forest
L
1-0
W
2-3
Aston Villa
L
4-0
L
2-0
Brentford
D
3-3
L
1-0
Birmingham City
D
2-2
W
0-1
Bristol City
W
0-2


WHO WINS: Leeds United 43%, Derby County 43%, Draw 14%
SCORE PREDICTION: 1.54 vs 1.32
Over/Under 2.5: OVER (50%)

Both Teams to Score: YES (50%)
GAME REVIEW
15. May 2019 game on Championship with Leeds United facing Derby County. Likely, its gonna be an open and one-sided game where the favorite takes the win. Looking at the historical stats, Leeds United has collected 10 wins, 1 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 matches. Last 8 games at Leeds United HOME stadium have shown us 5 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. Last time they played at HOME was on 19. April against Wigan Athletic and that game ended with away win (1-2). Last 20 matches of Derby County show us 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. Last 12 AWAY games of Derby County are: 2 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses. The last AWAY game was on 1. May against Swansea City and that ended with draw (1-1). From this data, we see Leeds United being superior and most likely takes a confident WIN.

This will be a match involving Medium ranking team Leeds United and Medium ranking team Derby County (Rankings are based on hintwise.com algorithms). Leeds United's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. Derby County AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams shows 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Leeds United's attacking performance is avg. 1.9 goals per game vs Derby County's 1.1. On the defensive side, we have Leeds United with 1 and Derby County with 1.4 goals conceded per game. Taking all the Rank-based facts into consideration we see Leeds United being stronger and most likely winning this game.

When we look at the last 20 games of Leeds United, we note 11 Overs and 9 Unders. Among the last 20 games of Derby County, there have been 7 Overs and 13 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Leeds United we see 5 Overs and 5 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Derby County. Derby County has seen 4 Overs and 6 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Leeds United has. Leeds United is scoring an average of 1.88 goals per game at home when Derby County scores 1.08 goals per game away. This makes an average of 2.96 goals per match between the teams. Leeds United concedes 1.25 goals on average per game and Derby County 1.5. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 2.75 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 2.9 goals per match. History shows that 55% of games end Over 2.5 for Leeds United and 35% for Derby County. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it is close to 2 or 3 goals total - both are possible.

From Leeds United's last 20 encounters 10 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 10 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Derby County's last 20 games, it is 9 with both teams scoring and 11 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Leeds United had 5 games where both teams scored and 5 where at least one did not. For Derby County, we have seen 4 BTTS YES and 6 NO's. There is a 80% chance of Leeds United scoring today and 65% for Derby County scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 70% for Leeds United and 70% for Derby County. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it is quite unclear if BTTS-YES or NO. Hard to predict anything.