Millwall vs Cardiff - 1:1 (Draw)

England - Championship - 21. Nov 2020 17:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 1-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (38%)
Draw (30.5%)
Away (31.5%)

BETTING ODDS

Tipsters with correct prediction for this game:

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Last games of Millwall

W
W
D
W
L
D
D
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
25. Nov Draw (1-1) Millwall - Reading Championship 
7. Nov Draw (0-0) Sheffield Wed - Millwall Championship 
3. Nov Draw (0-0) Norwich - Millwall Championship 
31. Oct Lose (0-3) Millwall - Huddersfield Championship 
28. Oct Win (0-2) Preston - Millwall Championship 
24. Oct Draw (1-1) Millwall - Barnsley Championship 
20. Oct Win (2-0) Millwall - Luton Championship 
17. Oct Win (1-2) Wycombe - Millwall Championship 

Last games of Cardiff

W
D
D
D
L
W
L
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
25. Nov Lose (1-0) Coventry - Cardiff Championship 
6. Nov Lose (0-1) Cardiff - Bristol City Championship 
3. Nov Win (3-0) Cardiff - Barnsley Championship 
31. Oct Lose (3-2) QPR - Cardiff Championship 
28. Oct Draw (1-1) Derby - Cardiff Championship 
24. Oct Draw (1-1) Cardiff - Middlesbrough Championship 
21. Oct Draw (1-1) Cardiff - Bournemouth Championship 
18. Oct Win (0-1) Preston - Cardiff Championship 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Millwall
Cardiff
37.5%
Wins
25%
12.5%
Losses
37.5%
50 %
Draws
37.5 %
1
Goals scored per match
1.13
0.75
Goals conceded per match
1
1
Goals scored HOME
1.25
1.25
Goals conceded HOME
0.75
1
Goals scored AWAY
1
0.25
Goals conceded AWAY
1.25
62.5%
Chance to score goal next match
75%
50%
Chance to concede goal next match
75%
37.5%
Failure to score matches
25%
50%
Clean sheets
25%
25%
Matches over 2.5 goals
25%
0%
Matches over 3.5 goals
12.5%
1.67
Average Win margin
2
3
Average Loss margin
1
37.5 %
Both teams score YES
50 %
62.5 %
Both teams score NO
50 %
25 %
Matches ODD score
62.5 %
75 %
Matches EVEN score
37.5 %
3.07
Average win odd 1X2
3.08
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
66.67%
Matches WON as Favorite
25%
33.33%
Matches LOST as Favorite
75%
100%
Matches WON as Underdog
100%
0%
Matches LOST as Underdog
0%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Millwall (Medium Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Cardiff (Medium Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
1.1
Goals Scored
1.3
1.2
Goals Conceded
0.7
30% (3)
WON
60% (6)
30% (3)
LOST
20% (2)
40% (4)
DRAW
20% (2)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Leeds
60
2.
Stoke
58
3.
Bristol City
54
4.
Hull
52
5.
Swansea
52
6.
Brentford
51
7.
Millwall
50
8.
Charlton
49
9.
Reading
49
10.
Bournemouth
48
11.
Coventry
46
12.
Barnsley
46
13.
Luton
46
14.
Middlesbrough
46
15.
Fulham
44
16.
Rotherham
44
17.
Preston
43
18.
Cardiff
43
19.
Blackburn
43
20.
Birmingham
41
21.
West Brom
40
22.
Huddersfield
40
23.
Watford
40
24.
Wycombe
38
25.
QPR
38
26.
Wigan
37
27.
Norwich
37
28.
Sheffield Wed
37
29.
Nottingham
35
30.
Derby
30
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Millwall
Cardiff
Home Games
L
1-2
Barnsley
W
3-2
D
1-1
Swansea
D
0-0
L
0-2
West Brom
W
2-1
W
2-0
Reading
D
1-1
D
2-2
Nottingham
L
0-1
W
1-0
Brentford
D
2-2
W
1-0
Blackburn
L
2-3
L
2-3
Derby
W
2-1
D
1-1
Fulham
L
0-2
L
0-2
Middlesbrough
D
1-1
D
1-1
Bristol City
L
0-1
Away Games
W
0-3
Nottingham
W
0-1
L
3-2
Leeds
D
3-3
D
0-0
Sheffield Wed
W
1-2
L
4-3
QPR
L
6-1
D
1-1
Birmingham
D
1-1
D
0-0
Stoke
L
2-0
D
0-0
Barnsley
W
0-2
W
0-1
Preston
W
1-3
W
1-2
Bristol City
W
0-1
W
0-1
Derby
D
1-1


Winner: Millwall - 48%, Cardiff - 38%, Draw 14%
Score prediction: 1.31 vs 1.21
O/U 2.5:
UNDER (62%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (55%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Looking at the odds provided by major bookmakers, this game tends to be a close match with both teams having good opportunities. Millwall has gained 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses from the last 6 games. Last 3 HOME games show us 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. Their last game at HOME was on 31. October against Huddersfield, resulting in away win (0-3). Looking at the last 6 games of Cardiff we see 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. Last 2 AWAY games show us 0 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 31. October against QPR and this one ended with home win (3-2). Taking all of this into consideration, we see Millwall being a little bit stronger and has a bit more chances to win than their opponent. Our football tip for 1X2: Millwall to win! Medium confidence.

This will be a match involving High ranking team Millwall and Medium ranking team Cardiff. Millwall's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. At the same time Cardiff AWAY performance against High ranking teams shows 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Millwall's attacking performance is 1.1 goals per game. Same stats for Cardiff shows us 1.5. On the defensive side, we have Millwall with 1.2 and Cardiff with 1.4 goals conceded per game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts and analysis into consideration, we see that Cardiff is a bit better and could win this match. Our football prediction for 1X2: Cardiff to win! Medium confidence.

When we look at the last 6 games of Millwall, we note 1 Overs and 5 Unders. Among the last 6 games of Cardiff, there have been 2 Overs and 4 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Millwall we see 2 Overs and 8 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Cardiff. Cardiff has seen 5 Overs and 5 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Millwall has. Millwall scores an average 1 goals each game at home stadium while Cardiff has been scoring 1.5 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 2.5 goals per match between both teams. Millwall concedes 1.33 goals on average and Cardiff 2 for a total of 3.33 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 2.9 goals per match. History shows that 16.67% of games end Over 2.5 for Millwall and 33.33% for Cardiff. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it is possibly a match where we see UNDER 2.5 goals scored. Under Over 2.5 prediction: pick UNDER 2.5! Medium confidence.

From Millwall's last 6 encounters 1 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 5 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Cardiff's last 6 games, it is 4 with both teams scoring and 2 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Millwall had 5 games where both teams scored and 5 where at least one did not. For Cardiff, we have seen 6 BTTS YES and 4 NO's. There is a 50% chance of Millwall scoring today and 83.33% for Cardiff scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 33.33% for Millwall and 83.33% for Cardiff. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it could be both teams scoring. Football tip for BTTS: pick BTTS-YES! Medium confidence.