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De Graafschap vs Ajax - 1:4 (Away Win)

Netherlands - Eredivisie (soccer) 15. May 2019 18:30
FREE Score Prediction 0-3
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Over

Mathematical Probability of Result

Ajax (88.5%)

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Last games of De Graafschap

L
D
L
D
W
L
W
L
L
W
D
L
W
L
L
D
L
W
L
D
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
19. May Eredivisie Cambuur Leeuwarden - De Graafschap Draw (1-1) 3.6 
12. May Eredivisie Vitesse - De Graafschap Lose (6-1) 1.4 
23. Apr Eredivisie De Graafschap - FC Emmen Win (1-0) 2.15 
20. Apr Eredivisie VVV Venlo - De Graafschap Lose (4-1) 2.21 
6. Apr Eredivisie De Graafschap - AZ Alkmaar Draw (1-1) 4.63 
2. Apr Eredivisie FC Groningen - De Graafschap Lose (1-0) 1.56 
30. Mar Eredivisie De Graafschap - Heracles Almelo Lose (1-2) 2.52 
16. Mar Eredivisie SC Heerenveen - De Graafschap Win (0-3) 6.1 
9. Mar Eredivisie Willem II - De Graafschap Lose (3-2) 1.88 
1. Mar Eredivisie De Graafschap - ADO Den Haag Draw (1-1) 3.66 
23. Feb Eredivisie PEC Zwolle - De Graafschap Win (0-3) 6.1 
17. Feb Eredivisie De Graafschap - FC Utrecht Lose (0-1) 1.75 
9. Feb Eredivisie Feyenoord - De Graafschap Lose (4-0) 1.13 
1. Feb Eredivisie De Graafschap - NAC Breda Win (3-0) 2.38 
26. Jan Eredivisie Excelsior Rotterdam - De Graafschap Lose (2-0) 2.15 
20. Jan Eredivisie De Graafschap - Fortuna Sittard Win (5-1) 3.25 
23. Dec Eredivisie De Graafschap - Vitesse Draw (2-2) 4.7 
16. Dec Eredivisie Ajax - De Graafschap Lose (8-0) 1.05 
8. Dec Eredivisie ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap Draw (0-0) 4.75 
1. Dec Eredivisie De Graafschap - PEC Zwolle Lose (0-2) 2 

Last games of Ajax

D
D
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
12. May Eredivisie Ajax - FC Utrecht Win (4-1) 1.18 
8. May UEFA . Champions League Ajax - Tottenham Lose (2-3) 3.5 
5. May Cup Willem II - Ajax Win (0-4) 1.29 
23. Apr Eredivisie Ajax - Vitesse Win (4-2) 1.22 
20. Apr Eredivisie FC Groningen - Ajax Win (0-1) 1.34 
6. Apr Eredivisie Willem II - Ajax Win (1-4) 1.32 
3. Apr Eredivisie FC Emmen - Ajax Win (2-5) 1.13 
31. Mar Eredivisie Ajax - PSV Eindhoven Win (3-1) 1.72 
17. Mar Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar - Ajax Lose (1-0) 5 
13. Mar Eredivisie Ajax - PEC Zwolle Win (2-1) 1.06 
10. Mar Eredivisie Ajax - Fortuna Sittard Win (4-0) 1.04 
5. Mar UEFA . Champions League Real Madrid - Ajax Win (1-4) 5.5 
27. Feb Cup Feyenoord - Ajax Win (0-3) 1.85 
24. Feb Eredivisie ADO Den Haag - Ajax Win (1-5) 1.21 
17. Feb Eredivisie Ajax - NAC Breda Win (5-0) 1.06 
9. Feb Eredivisie Heracles Almelo - Ajax Lose (1-0) 13 
2. Feb Eredivisie Ajax - VVV Venlo Win (6-0) 1.08 
27. Jan Eredivisie Feyenoord - Ajax Lose (6-2) 4.2 
20. Jan Eredivisie Ajax - SC Heerenveen Draw (4-4) 15 
11. Jan Club Friendly Ajax - CR Flamengo Draw (2-2) 3.65 

Last games of De Graafschap | Over/Under 2.5

U
U
O
O
O
U
O
O
U
O
U
O
O
O
U
U
U
O
U
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
19. May Eredivisie Cambuur Leeuwarden - De Graafschap Under (1-1) 2.13 
12. May Eredivisie Vitesse - De Graafschap Over (6-1) 1.46 
23. Apr Eredivisie De Graafschap - FC Emmen Under (1-0) 2.51 
6. Apr Eredivisie De Graafschap - AZ Alkmaar Under (1-1) 2.75 
2. Apr Eredivisie FC Groningen - De Graafschap Under (1-0) 2.35 
30. Mar Eredivisie De Graafschap - Heracles Almelo Over (1-2) 1.52 
16. Mar Eredivisie SC Heerenveen - De Graafschap Over (0-3) 1.44 
9. Mar Eredivisie Willem II - De Graafschap Over (3-2) 1.68 
1. Mar Eredivisie De Graafschap - ADO Den Haag Under (1-1) 2.55 
23. Feb Eredivisie PEC Zwolle - De Graafschap Over (0-3) 1.54 
17. Feb Eredivisie De Graafschap - FC Utrecht Under (0-1) 2.8 
9. Feb Eredivisie Feyenoord - De Graafschap Over (4-0) 1.8 
1. Feb Eredivisie De Graafschap - NAC Breda Over (3-0) 1.76 
26. Jan Eredivisie Excelsior Rotterdam - De Graafschap Under (2-0) 2.48 
20. Jan Eredivisie De Graafschap - Fortuna Sittard Over (5-1) 1.53 
23. Dec Eredivisie De Graafschap - Vitesse Over (2-2) 1.57 
16. Dec Eredivisie Ajax - De Graafschap Over (8-0) 1.17 
8. Dec Eredivisie ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap Under (0-0) 2.6 
1. Dec Eredivisie De Graafschap - PEC Zwolle Under (0-2) 2.51 

Last games of Ajax | Over/Under 2.5

O
O
U
O
O
O
O
O
O
U
O
O
O
O
O
O
O
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
12. May Eredivisie Ajax - FC Utrecht Over (4-1) 1.26 
8. May UEFA . Champions League Ajax - Tottenham Over (2-3) 1.73 
5. May Cup Willem II - Ajax Over (0-4) 1.38 
23. Apr Eredivisie Ajax - Vitesse Over (4-2) 1.33 
6. Apr Eredivisie Willem II - Ajax Over (1-4) 1.67 
3. Apr Eredivisie FC Emmen - Ajax Over (2-5) 1.55 
31. Mar Eredivisie Ajax - PSV Eindhoven Over (3-1) 1.51 
17. Mar Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar - Ajax Under (1-0) 3.5 
13. Mar Eredivisie Ajax - PEC Zwolle Over (2-1) 1.15 
10. Mar Eredivisie Ajax - Fortuna Sittard Over (4-0) 1.62 
5. Mar UEFA . Champions League Real Madrid - Ajax Over (1-4) 1.42 
27. Feb Cup Feyenoord - Ajax Over (0-3) 1.45 
24. Feb Eredivisie ADO Den Haag - Ajax Over (1-5) 1.3 
17. Feb Eredivisie Ajax - NAC Breda Over (5-0) 1.18 
9. Feb Eredivisie Heracles Almelo - Ajax Under (1-0) 3.62 
27. Jan Eredivisie Feyenoord - Ajax Over (6-2) 1.5 
20. Jan Eredivisie Ajax - SC Heerenveen Over (4-4) 1.21 

Last games of De Graafschap | Both Teams To Score

N
N
N
Y
Y
N
N
N
N
N
Y
Y
N
Y
N
Y
N
Y
Y
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
19. May Eredivisie Cambuur Leeuwarden - De Graafschap Yes (1-1) 1.61 
12. May Eredivisie Vitesse - De Graafschap Yes (6-1) 1.7 
23. Apr Eredivisie De Graafschap - FC Emmen No (1-0) 2.75 
6. Apr Eredivisie De Graafschap - AZ Alkmaar Yes (1-1) 1.53 
2. Apr Eredivisie FC Groningen - De Graafschap No (1-0) 2.1 
30. Mar Eredivisie De Graafschap - Heracles Almelo Yes (1-2) 1.44 
16. Mar Eredivisie SC Heerenveen - De Graafschap No (0-3) 2.54 
9. Mar Eredivisie Willem II - De Graafschap Yes (3-2) 1.68 
1. Mar Eredivisie De Graafschap - ADO Den Haag Yes (1-1) 1.6 
23. Feb Eredivisie PEC Zwolle - De Graafschap No (0-3) 2.32 
17. Feb Eredivisie De Graafschap - FC Utrecht No (0-1) 2.37 
9. Feb Eredivisie Feyenoord - De Graafschap No (4-0) 1.83 
1. Feb Eredivisie De Graafschap - NAC Breda No (3-0) 2.38 
26. Jan Eredivisie Excelsior Rotterdam - De Graafschap No (2-0) 2.63 
20. Jan Eredivisie De Graafschap - Fortuna Sittard Yes (5-1) 1.5 
23. Dec Eredivisie De Graafschap - Vitesse Yes (2-2) 1.7 
16. Dec Eredivisie Ajax - De Graafschap No (8-0) 1.61 
8. Dec Eredivisie ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap No (0-0) 2.45 
1. Dec Eredivisie De Graafschap - PEC Zwolle No (0-2) 2.7 

Last games of Ajax | Both Teams To Score

Y
Y
Y
N
N
N
Y
N
Y
N
Y
N
Y
Y
Y
Y
N
Y
Y
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
12. May Eredivisie Ajax - FC Utrecht Yes (4-1) 1.73 
8. May UEFA . Champions League Ajax - Tottenham Yes (2-3) 1.62 
5. May Cup Willem II - Ajax No (0-4) 2.08 
23. Apr Eredivisie Ajax - Vitesse Yes (4-2) 1.8 
6. Apr Eredivisie Willem II - Ajax Yes (1-4) 1.5 
3. Apr Eredivisie FC Emmen - Ajax Yes (2-5) 2.1 
31. Mar Eredivisie Ajax - PSV Eindhoven Yes (3-1) 1.54 
17. Mar Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar - Ajax No (1-0) 2.98 
13. Mar Eredivisie Ajax - PEC Zwolle Yes (2-1) 2.05 
10. Mar Eredivisie Ajax - Fortuna Sittard No (4-0) 1.7 
5. Mar UEFA . Champions League Real Madrid - Ajax Yes (1-4) 1.45 
27. Feb Cup Feyenoord - Ajax No (0-3) 2.75 
24. Feb Eredivisie ADO Den Haag - Ajax Yes (1-5) 1.75 
17. Feb Eredivisie Ajax - NAC Breda No (5-0) 1.67 
9. Feb Eredivisie Heracles Almelo - Ajax No (1-0) 2.15 
2. Feb Eredivisie Ajax - VVV Venlo No (6-0) 1.63 
27. Jan Eredivisie Feyenoord - Ajax Yes (6-2) 1.48 
20. Jan Eredivisie Ajax - SC Heerenveen Yes (4-4) 2.38 
11. Jan Club Friendly Ajax - CR Flamengo Yes (2-2) 1.57 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
De Graafschap
Achievement
Ajax
25%
% of Wins
70%
50%
% of Losses
20%
25 %
% of Draws
10 %
1.25
Goals scored per match
3.2
1.95
Goals conceded per match
1.35
1.56
Goals scored - HOME
3.6
1.11
Goals conceded - HOME
1.4
1
Goals scored - AWAY
2.8
2.64
Goals conceded - AWAY
1.3
65%
Chance to score goal next match
90%
75%
Chance to concede goal next match
70%
35%
Failure to score matches
10%
25%
Clean sheet matches
30%
55%
Matches over 2.5 goals
85%
35%
Matches over 3.5 goals
75%
2.8
Win margin
3.14
2.8
Losing margin
1.75
45 %
Both teams score - YES
60 %
55 %
Both teams score - NO
40 %
50 %
Matches with ODD score
55 %
50 %
Matches with EVEN score
45 %
2.95
Average win odd - 1X2
3.32
2.02
Average win odd - BTTS
1.89
2
Average win odd - O/U 2.5
1.79
100%
Matches WON being favorite
76.47%
0%
Matches LOST being favorite
23.53%
23.08%
Matches WON being underdog
100%
76.92%
Matches LOST being underdog
0%
H2H vs SIMILAR RANKING TEAMS
De Graafschap last 5 home games against Top rank teams
Vs
Ajax last 10 away games against Low rank teams
Low
Rank
Top
34
Rank Score
65
1
AVG Goals Scored
2.9
2.2
AVG Goals Conceded
0.8
0% (0)
Games WON
80% (8)
40% (2)
Games LOST
10% (1)
60% (3)
DRAWS
10% (1)
VIEW ALL GAMES
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
Netherlands - Eredivisie
1.
Ajax
65
2.
PSV Eindhoven
63
3.
AZ Alkmaar
59
4.
Sparta Rotterdam
56
5.
FC Groningen
55
6.
RKC Waalwijk
55
7.
NEC Nijmegen
54
8.
Cambuur Leeuwarden
51
9.
Feyenoord
49
10.
Vitesse
48
11.
Almere City
48
12.
FC Utrecht
48
13.
Willem II
46
14.
SC Heerenveen
45
15.
FC Den Bosch
44
16.
ADO Den Haag
44
17.
Go Ahead Eagles
42
18.
PEC Zwolle
41
19.
Heracles Almelo
38
20.
VVV Venlo
35
21.
De Graafschap
34
22.
Excelsior Rotterdam
34
23.
FC Emmen
33
24.
Fortuna Sittard
31
25.
NAC Breda
27
H2H vs SAME TEAMS
De Graafschap
Ajax
Home Games
D
1-1
ADO Den Haag
W
5-1
W
3-0
NAC Breda
W
5-0
W
5-1
Fortuna Sittard
W
4-0
L
0-2
PEC Zwolle
W
2-1
D
2-2
Vitesse
W
4-2
L
0-1
FC Utrecht
W
4-1
Away Games
W
0-3
PEC Zwolle
W
1-4
L
5-0
FC Utrecht
W
1-3
L
4-0
Feyenoord
L
6-2
D
0-0
ADO Den Haag
W
1-5
L
3-2
Willem II
W
1-4
L
1-0
FC Groningen
W
0-1


WHO WINS: De Graafschap 0%, Ajax 75%, Draw 25%
SCORE PREDICTION: 1.29 vs 2.63
Over/Under 2.5: OVER (75%)

Both Teams to Score: YES (54%)
GAME REVIEW
15. May 2019 Eredivisie - De Graafschap playing against Ajax - match review and football predictions. I am expecting this to be an open, attacking and goal filled game where one team rules. Looking at the historical stats, De Graafschap has collected 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 matches. Last 9 games at De Graafschap HOME stadium have shown us 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. Last time they played at HOME was on 23. April against FC Emmen and that game ended with home win (1-0). If we look at the last 20 games of Ajax, we note 14 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. Last 10 AWAY games of Ajax are following: 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 5. May vs Willem II and the outcome was away win (0-4). Looking at the data above, we at hintwise.com see Ajax beating De Graafschap with ease.

This will be a match involving Low ranking team De Graafschap and Top ranking team Ajax (Rankings are based on hintwise.com algorithms). De Graafschap's last 4 HOME games against Top ranking teams show 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses. Ajax AWAY performance against Low ranking teams shows 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from last 10 AWAY games. De Graafschap's scoring power is 1 goals/game vs Ajax's 2.6. Looking at the defensive side, De Graafschap performing 1.8 and Ajax with 0.7 goals conceded on average per each game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts into account we expect the victory of Ajax as they have a big advatage over De Graafschap.

When we look at the last 20 games of De Graafschap, we note 12 Overs and 8 Unders. Among the last 20 games of Ajax, there have been 17 Overs and 3 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of De Graafschap we see 1 Overs and 3 Unders in their last 4 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Ajax. Ajax has seen 5 Overs and 5 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as De Graafschap has. De Graafschap is averaging 1.56 goals in their home games while Ajax makes about 2.8 goals away from home. Taking both numbers together we get 4.36 goals per match between the teams. De Graafschap concedes 1.11 goals on average and Ajax 1.3. Both teams´s stats combined, we get a total of 2.41 goals conceded per match. With these statistics, we guess a total score of 3.4 goals per match. History shows that 60% of games end Over 2.5 for De Graafschap and 85% for Ajax. When trying to give a proper Over/Under 2.5 football prediction ,I would say it probably is an OVER 2.5 match.

De Graafschap's last 20 matches show us 8 games where both teams scored and 12 games where only one team scored or none. From Ajax's last 20 games 12 have seen both teams scoring and 8 only one team/no score. Ranking-based BTS stats of De Graafschap show us 4 BTS YES and 0 NO's. For Ajax, we have seen 5 BTS YES and 5 NO's. There is a 60% chance of De Graafschap scoring today, 90% for Ajax. Probability of conceding a goal is 75% for De Graafschap and 70% for Ajax. Considering all the numbers, it is going to be a game where BOTH TEAMS have a great chance to score and thus the best BTTS football prediction would be BOTH TEAMS to Score.