Willem II vs Venlo - 2:1 (Home Win)

Netherlands - Eredivisie - 21. Nov 2020 19:45

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-0
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (58.6%)
Draw (22.2%)

BETTING ODDS

Tipsters with correct prediction for this game:

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Last games of Willem II

L
L
W
D
L
D
L
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
8. Nov Lose (3-0) PSV - Willem II Eredivisie 
31. Oct Lose (1-3) Willem II - Vitesse Eredivisie 
24. Oct Draw (0-0) Zwolle - Willem II Eredivisie 
17. Oct Lose (0-3) Willem II - Twente Eredivisie 
27. Sep Draw (1-1) FC Emmen - Willem II Eredivisie 
20. Sep Win (4-0) Willem II - Heracles Eredivisie 
12. Sep Lose (2-0) Heerenveen - Willem II Eredivisie 
8. Mar Lose (2-0) Feyenoord - Willem II Eredivisie 

Last games of Venlo

D
L
L
D
L
W
L
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
7. Nov Win (3-2) Venlo - Heracles Eredivisie 
31. Oct Lose (2-1) Groningen - Venlo Eredivisie 
27. Oct Win (4-2) Venlo - Den Bosch KNVB Beker 
24. Oct Lose (0-13) Venlo - Ajax Eredivisie 
17. Oct Draw (2-2) AZ Alkmaar - Venlo Eredivisie 
3. Oct Lose (1-2) Venlo - Den Haag Eredivisie 
26. Sep Lose (1-0) Heerenveen - Venlo Eredivisie 
18. Sep Draw (1-1) Venlo - Utrecht Eredivisie 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Willem II
Venlo
12.5%
Wins
25%
62.5%
Losses
50%
25 %
Draws
25 %
0.75
Goals scored per match
1.5
1.75
Goals conceded per match
3.13
1.67
Goals scored HOME
1.8
2
Goals conceded HOME
4
0.2
Goals scored AWAY
1
1.6
Goals conceded AWAY
1.67
37.5%
Chance to score goal next match
75%
75%
Chance to concede goal next match
100%
62.5%
Failure to score matches
25%
25%
Clean sheets
0%
50%
Matches over 2.5 goals
75%
25%
Matches over 3.5 goals
50%
4
Average Win margin
1.5
2.4
Average Loss margin
4
25 %
Both teams score YES
75 %
75 %
Both teams score NO
25 %
25 %
Matches ODD score
62.5 %
75 %
Matches EVEN score
37.5 %
2.51
Average win odd 1X2
2.83
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
50%
Matches WON as Favorite
50%
50%
Matches LOST as Favorite
50%
0%
Matches WON as Underdog
25%
100%
Matches LOST as Underdog
75%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Willem II (Medium Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Venlo (Medium Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
2
Goals Scored
1.1
0.6
Goals Conceded
2.3
80% (8)
WON
20% (2)
10% (1)
LOST
70% (7)
10% (1)
DRAW
10% (1)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Feyenoord
65
2.
Vitesse
63
3.
Ajax
58
4.
AZ Alkmaar
56
5.
Utrecht
53
6.
PSV
53
7.
Twente
45
8.
Willem II
43
9.
Heerenveen
43
10.
Venlo
43
11.
Heracles
43
12.
Groningen
40
13.
FC Emmen
38
14.
Sparta Rotterdam
36
15.
Sittard
35
16.
Zwolle
34
17.
Waalwijk
30
18.
Den Haag
26
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Willem II
Venlo
Home Games
D
0-0
Zwolle
L
1-2
D
1-1
Utrecht
D
1-1
W
1-0
Heracles
W
1-0
D
0-0
Sittard
D
0-0
Away Games
W
1-3
AZ Alkmaar
L
1-0
W
1-2
Heerenveen
D
1-1
L
4-2
FC Emmen
L
3-0


Winner: Willem II - 57%, Venlo - 0%, Draw 43%
Score prediction: 1.21 vs 0.79
O/U 2.5:
UNDER (64%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (50%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Likely, its gonna be an open, attack-oriented and goal filled game where one team has clear advantage. Lets have a look at the basic past data: Willem II has collected 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 games. Meanwhile their last 3 HOME games shown 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses. Their last HOME game was on 31. October against Vitesse and it ended with away win (1-3). Last 6 matches of Venlo show us 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. Last 2 AWAY games are: 0 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. The last AWAY game was on 31. October against Groningen and that ended with home win (2-1). From this data, we see a high chance of DRAW as both teams have similar past performance. Our football tip for 1X2: bet on DRAW!

This is a game between Medium ranking Willem II and Medium ranking Venlo. Willem II's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. Meanwhile Venlo AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams shows 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Willem II's scoring power is 1.9 goals per game vs Venlo's 1.2. Looking at the defensive side, Willem II is performing 0.6 and Venlo 2.3 goals conceded on average per each game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts into account, we expect Willem II being somewhat superior and probably wins the match. Our football prediction for 1X2: Willem II to win! Medium confidence.

When we look at the last 6 games of Willem II, we note 4 Overs and 2 Unders. Among the last 6 games of Venlo, there have been 6 Overs and 0 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Willem II we see 6 Overs and 4 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Venlo. Venlo has seen 6 Overs and 4 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Willem II has. Willem II is scoring an average of 1.67 goals per game at home when Venlo scores 1.5 goals per game away. This makes an average of 3.17 goals per match between the teams. Willem II concedes 2 goals on average per game and Venlo 2. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 4 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 3.6 goals per match. History shows that 66.67% of games end Over 2.5 for Willem II and 100% for Venlo. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it will clearly be OVER 2.5 match. Under Over 2.5 prediction: pick OVER 2.5!. High confidence.

Willem II's last 6 matches show us 2 games where both teams scored and 4 games where only one team scored or none. From Venlo's last 6 games 5 have seen both teams scoring and 1 only one team/no score. Ranking-based BTS stats of Willem II show us 3 BTS YES and 7 NO's. For Venlo, we have seen 6 BTS YES and 4 NO's. There is a 50% chance of Willem II scoring today, 83.33% for Venlo. Probability of conceding a goal is 66.67% for Willem II and 100% for Venlo. Considering all the numbers, it could be both teams scoring. Football tip for BTTS: pick BTTS-YES! Medium confidence.