AEK Larnaca vs Apollon - 1:2 (Away Win)

Cyprus - First Division - 22. Nov 2020 20:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 1-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (35.2%)
Draw (29.5%)
Away (35.2%)

BETTING ODDS

Tipsters with correct prediction for this game:

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Last games of AEK Larnaca

W
D
L
W
L
W
W
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
8. Nov Lose (1-0) Anorthosis - AEK Larnaca First Division 
24. Oct Win (0-2) Ermis - AEK Larnaca First Division 
17. Oct Win (2-0) AEK Larnaca - Doxa First Division 
2. Oct Lose (2-1) Paralimni - AEK Larnaca First Division 
26. Sep Win (2-1) AEK Larnaca - AEL Limassol First Division 
20. Sep Lose (2-1) Omonia - AEK Larnaca First Division 
13. Sep Draw (0-0) Karmiotissa - AEK Larnaca First Division 
30. Aug Win (3-0) AEK Larnaca - APOEL First Division 

Last games of Apollon

W
W
W
W
W
W
D
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
6. Nov Lose (1-2) Apollon - Karmiotissa First Division 
31. Oct Draw (1-1) APOEL - Apollon First Division 
24. Oct Win (3-0) Apollon - Nea Salamis First Division 
19. Oct Win (0-1) Ol. Nicosia - Apollon First Division 
3. Oct Win (2-1) Apollon - Achnas First Division 
20. Sep Win (1-3) Anorthosis - Apollon First Division 
12. Sep Win (1-0) Apollon - Paphos First Division 
30. Aug Win (0-6) Ermis - Apollon First Division 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
AEK Larnaca
Apollon
50%
Wins
75%
37.5%
Losses
12.5%
12.5 %
Draws
12.5 %
1.38
Goals scored per match
2.25
0.75
Goals conceded per match
0.63
2.33
Goals scored HOME
1.75
0.33
Goals conceded HOME
0.75
0.8
Goals scored AWAY
2.75
1
Goals conceded AWAY
0.5
75%
Chance to score goal next match
100%
50%
Chance to concede goal next match
50%
25%
Failure to score matches
0%
50%
Clean sheets
50%
50%
Matches over 2.5 goals
62.5%
0%
Matches over 3.5 goals
25%
2
Average Win margin
2.33
1
Average Loss margin
1
37.5 %
Both teams score YES
50 %
62.5 %
Both teams score NO
50 %
62.5 %
Matches ODD score
62.5 %
37.5 %
Matches EVEN score
37.5 %
2.7
Average win odd 1X2
3.85
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
75%
Matches WON as Favorite
83.33%
25%
Matches LOST as Favorite
16.67%
33.33%
Matches WON as Underdog
100%
66.67%
Matches LOST as Underdog
0%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
AEK Larnaca (High Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against High Ranking teams
VS
Apollon (High Ranking) last 8 AWAY games STATS against High Ranking teams
1.4
Goals Scored
1.8
1
Goals Conceded
1.4
50% (5)
WON
38% (3)
20% (2)
LOST
50% (4)
30% (3)
DRAW
13% (1)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Anorthosis
54
2.
Apollon
54
3.
AEK Larnaca
51
4.
AEL Limassol
50
5.
Paphos
47
6.
Omonia
47
7.
Ermis
43
8.
Ol. Nicosia
41
9.
Achnas
38
10.
APOEL
38
11.
Paralimni
37
12.
Nea Salamis
36
13.
Doxa
35
14.
Karmiotissa
31
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
AEK Larnaca
Apollon
Home Games
L
1-2
Anorthosis
W
2-0
W
1-0
Paphos
W
1-0
W
3-0
Karmiotissa
L
1-2
W
1-0
APOEL
W
1-0
D
0-0
Nea Salamis
W
4-1
W
2-0
Doxa
W
3-2
Away Games
W
2-5
Achnas
D
1-1
D
0-0
AEL Limassol
L
2-0
W
1-2
Anorthosis
W
1-3
W
1-2
Nea Salamis
W
1-3
W
0-2
Ermis
W
0-6


Winner: AEK Larnaca - 36%, Apollon - 45%, Draw 18%
Score prediction: 1.32 vs 1.41
O/U 2.5: OVER (50%)

Both Teams Socre?: NO (55%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
This looks to be a close match with both teams having good opportunities. AEK Larnaca has gained 4 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from the last 8 games. Last 3 HOME games show us 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. Their last game at HOME was on 17. October against Doxa, resulting in home win (2-0). Last 8 matches of Apollon show us 6 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. Last 4 AWAY games are: 3 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses. The last AWAY game was on 31. October against APOEL and that ended with draw (1-1). From this data, we see two similar-performing teams and a likely chance of DRAW. Our football tip for 1X2: bet on DRAW!

This will be a match involving High ranking team AEK Larnaca and High ranking team Apollon. AEK Larnaca's last 10 HOME games against High ranking teams show 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses. At the same time Apollon AWAY performance against High ranking teams shows 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from last 6 AWAY games. AEK Larnaca's scoring ability is 1.6 goals scored per game vs Apollon's 1. Defensive performance shows AEK Larnaca with 1.1 and Apollon with 1.7 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say AEK Larnaca being somewhat superior and probably wins the match. Our football prediction for 1X2: AEK Larnaca to win! Medium confidence.

Last 8 games of AEK Larnaca show us 4 Over 2.5 Goals and 4 Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 matches of Apollon have seen 5 Over 2.5´s and 3 Under 2.5´s. When we look at the ranking-based O/U 2.5 stats of AEK Larnaca it shows us 6 Overs and 4 Unders in the last 10 HOME games against teams who perform in similar way and who have same ranking as Apollon. Apollon has had 3 Over 2.5´s and 3 Under 2.5´s in their last 6 AWAY encounters against teams with ranking nearly the same as AEK Larnaca. AEK Larnaca scores an average 2.33 goals each game at home stadium while Apollon has been scoring 2.75 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 5.08 goals per match between both teams. AEK Larnaca concedes 0.33 goals on average and Apollon 0.5 for a total of 0.83 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 3 goals per match. History shows that 50% of games end Over 2.5 for AEK Larnaca and 62.5% for Apollon. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it will be a sure OVER 2.5 game. Under Over 2.5 tip: bet on OVER 2.5! High confidence.

AEK Larnaca's last 8 matches show us 3 games where both teams scored and 5 games where only one team scored or none. From Apollon's last 8 games 4 have seen both teams scoring and 4 only one team/no score. Ranking-based BTS stats of AEK Larnaca show us 7 BTS YES and 3 NO's. For Apollon, we have seen 3 BTS YES and 3 NO's. There is a 75% chance of AEK Larnaca scoring today, 100% for Apollon. Probability of conceding a goal is 50% for AEK Larnaca and 50% for Apollon. Considering all the numbers, it will probably be Both Teams to Score-YES match. Football tip for BTTS: pick BTTS-YES! Medium stakes.