Omiya Ardija vs Machida - 0:0 (Draw)

Japan - J2 League - 21. Nov 2020 07:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (41.6%)
Draw (29.1%)
Away (29.3%)

BETTING ODDS

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Last games of Omiya Ardija

L
D
D
L
D
L
L
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
15. Nov Win (1-0) Omiya Ardija - Kanazawa J2 League 
11. Nov Lose (2-1) Montedio Yamagata - Omiya Ardija J2 League 
1. Nov Lose (0-3) Omiya Ardija - Ryukyu J2 League 
21. Oct Draw (1-1) Yamaga - Omiya Ardija J2 League 
18. Oct Lose (3-2) Okayama - Omiya Ardija J2 League 
14. Oct Draw (0-0) Omiya Ardija - Chiba J2 League 
10. Oct Draw (0-0) Omiya Ardija - Tochigi J2 League 
3. Oct Lose (3-1) Verdy - Omiya Ardija J2 League 

Last games of Machida

D
D
W
D
D
L
W
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
15. Nov Lose (1-2) Machida - Yamaga J2 League 
11. Nov Win (1-0) Machida - Renofa Yamaguchi J2 League 
1. Nov Lose (1-2) Machida - Ehime J2 League 
21. Oct Draw (0-0) Machida - Avispa Fukuoka J2 League 
17. Oct Draw (0-0) Chiba - Machida J2 League 
14. Oct Win (3-0) Machida - Kyoto J2 League 
11. Oct Draw (2-2) Machida - Kanazawa J2 League 
30. Sep Draw (1-1) Machida - Giravanz Kitakyushu J2 League 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Omiya Ardija
Machida
12.5%
Wins
25%
50%
Losses
25%
37.5 %
Draws
50 %
0.75
Goals scored per match
1.13
1.5
Goals conceded per match
0.88
0.25
Goals scored HOME
1.29
0.75
Goals conceded HOME
1
1.25
Goals scored AWAY
0
2.25
Goals conceded AWAY
0
62.5%
Chance to score goal next match
75%
62.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
50%
37.5%
Failure to score matches
25%
37.5%
Clean sheets
50%
50%
Matches over 2.5 goals
50%
25%
Matches over 3.5 goals
12.5%
1
Average Win margin
2
1.75
Average Loss margin
1
50 %
Both teams score YES
50 %
50 %
Both teams score NO
50 %
50 %
Matches ODD score
50 %
50 %
Matches EVEN score
50 %
3
Average win odd 1X2
3.15
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
0%
Matches WON as Favorite
33.33%
100%
Matches LOST as Favorite
66.67%
33.33%
Matches WON as Underdog
100%
66.67%
Matches LOST as Underdog
0%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Omiya Ardija (Low Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Machida (Medium Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Low Ranking teams
0.7
Goals Scored
0.8
1
Goals Conceded
0.7
30% (3)
WON
40% (4)
20% (2)
LOST
30% (3)
50% (5)
DRAW
30% (3)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Avispa Fukuoka
60
2.
Tokushima
59
3.
Giravanz Kitakyushu
51
4.
Montedio Yamagata
50
5.
Kofu
49
6.
V-Varen Nagasaki
48
7.
Albirex Niigata
47
8.
Verdy
47
9.
Machida
46
10.
Mito
45
11.
Iwata
45
12.
Kyoto
42
13.
Okayama
41
14.
Chiba
41
15.
Tochigi
40
16.
Kanazawa
40
17.
Ryukyu
39
18.
Yamaga
38
19.
Kusatsu
38
20.
Omiya Ardija
36
21.
Ehime
32
22.
Renofa Yamaguchi
31
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Omiya Ardija
Machida
Home Games
L
0-2
Montedio Yamagata
D
0-0
D
0-0
Tochigi
W
2-0
D
0-0
Chiba
L
0-2
L
1-2
Tokushima
L
0-1
D
2-2
Iwata
D
0-0
D
1-1
Okayama
W
2-0
L
0-3
Ryukyu
W
4-2
L
1-4
Giravanz Kitakyushu
D
1-1
W
1-0
Kanazawa
D
2-2
W
1-0
Kyoto
W
3-0
L
0-1
Avispa Fukuoka
D
0-0
W
1-0
Yamaga
L
1-2
Away Games
L
3-1
Verdy
D
1-1
W
1-2
Mito
L
4-0
D
1-1
Yamaga
W
0-2
W
2-4
Kyoto
L
1-0
L
1-0
Renofa Yamaguchi
W
0-2
L
2-1
Ehime
W
1-2
W
0-1
Kanazawa
D
1-1
L
1-0
Tochigi
L
2-0
W
0-1
Chiba
D
0-0


Winner: Omiya Ardija - 38%, Machida - 52%, Draw 10%
Score prediction: 0.93 vs 1.17
O/U 2.5:
UNDER (67%)

Both Teams Socre?: NO (62%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
This looks to be an open, attack-oriented and goal filled game where one team has clear advantage. Omiya Ardija has collected 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses during last 6 games. Last 3 HOME games show 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. Their last HOME game was on 15. November against Kanazawa and it ended up home win (1-0). Last 6 matches of Machida show us 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. Last 1 AWAY games are: 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses. The last AWAY game was on 17. October against Chiba and that ended with draw (0-0). From this data, we see a high chance of DRAW as both teams have similar past performance. Our football tip for 1X2: bet on DRAW!

This will be a match involving Low ranking team Omiya Ardija and Medium ranking team Machida. Omiya Ardija's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses. At the same time Machida AWAY performance against Low ranking teams shows 4 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from last 9 AWAY games. Omiya Ardija's scoring ability is 0.9 goals scored per game vs Machida's 0.9. Defensive performance shows Omiya Ardija with 1.2 and Machida with 1.1 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say both teams being equal and a possible DRAW here. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick DRAW!

When we look at the last 6 games of Omiya Ardija, we note 3 Overs and 3 Unders. Among the last 6 games of Machida, there have been 3 Overs and 3 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Omiya Ardija we see 4 Overs and 6 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Machida. Machida has seen 2 Overs and 7 Unders in their last 9 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Omiya Ardija has. Omiya Ardija is averaging 0.33 goals in their home games while Machida makes about 0 goals away from home. Taking both numbers together we get 0.33 goals per match between the teams. Omiya Ardija concedes 1 goals on average and Machida 0. Both teams´s stats combined, we get a total of 1 goals conceded per match. With these statistics, we guess a total score of 0.7 goals per match. History shows that 50% of games end Over 2.5 for Omiya Ardija and 50% for Machida. When trying to give a proper Over/Under 2.5 football prediction , I would say it can be 2-3 goals - OU 2.5 is a risky bet. Under Over 2.5 prediction: no prediction!

From Omiya Ardija's last 6 encounters 3 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 3 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Machida's last 6 games, it is 2 with both teams scoring and 4 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Omiya Ardija had 5 games where both teams scored and 5 where at least one did not. For Machida, we have seen 2 BTTS YES and 7 NO's. There is a 66.67% chance of Omiya Ardija scoring today and 66.67% for Machida scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 66.67% for Omiya Ardija and 33.33% for Machida. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it is quite unclear if BTTS-YES or NO. Hard to predict anything. Football prediction for BTTS: no bet!