Yamaga vs Okayama - 1:0 (Home Win)

Japan - J2 League - 21. Nov 2020 08:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 1-2
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (37%)
Draw (30.5%)
Away (32.5%)

BETTING ODDS

Tipsters with correct prediction for this game:

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Last games of Yamaga

L
D
D
L
D
W
L
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
15. Nov Win (1-2) Machida - Yamaga J2 League 
11. Nov Lose (2-3) Yamaga - Chiba J2 League 
1. Nov Win (2-1) Yamaga - Renofa Yamaguchi J2 League 
21. Oct Draw (1-1) Yamaga - Omiya Ardija J2 League 
17. Oct Lose (2-0) Ryukyu - Yamaga J2 League 
14. Oct Draw (2-2) Yamaga - Mito J2 League 
10. Oct Draw (0-0) Yamaga - Iwata J2 League 
30. Sep Lose (0-1) Yamaga - Kanazawa J2 League 

Last games of Okayama

W
D
W
D
D
W
L
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
15. Nov Draw (1-1) Okayama - Iwata J2 League 
11. Nov Lose (5-0) V-Varen Nagasaki - Okayama J2 League 
1. Nov Win (3-2) Okayama - Chiba J2 League 
24. Oct Draw (0-0) Kanazawa - Okayama J2 League 
21. Oct Draw (1-1) Albirex Niigata - Okayama J2 League 
18. Oct Win (3-2) Okayama - Omiya Ardija J2 League 
14. Oct Draw (1-1) Okayama - Tokushima J2 League 
11. Oct Win (0-1) Verdy - Okayama J2 League 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Yamaga
Okayama
25%
Wins
37.5%
37.5%
Losses
12.5%
37.5 %
Draws
50 %
1.13
Goals scored per match
1.25
1.38
Goals conceded per match
1.5
1.17
Goals scored HOME
2
1.33
Goals conceded HOME
1.5
1
Goals scored AWAY
0.5
1.5
Goals conceded AWAY
1.5
62.5%
Chance to score goal next match
75%
87.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
75%
37.5%
Failure to score matches
25%
12.5%
Clean sheets
25%
50%
Matches over 2.5 goals
37.5%
25%
Matches over 3.5 goals
37.5%
1
Average Win margin
1
1.33
Average Loss margin
5
62.5 %
Both teams score YES
62.5 %
37.5 %
Both teams score NO
37.5 %
50 %
Matches ODD score
50 %
50 %
Matches EVEN score
50 %
2.84
Average win odd 1X2
2.89
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
50%
Matches WON as Favorite
100%
50%
Matches LOST as Favorite
0%
33.33%
Matches WON as Underdog
66.67%
66.67%
Matches LOST as Underdog
33.33%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Yamaga (Low Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Okayama (Medium Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Low Ranking teams
1.1
Goals Scored
0.7
1.7
Goals Conceded
1.1
20% (2)
WON
20% (2)
40% (4)
LOST
50% (5)
40% (4)
DRAW
30% (3)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Avispa Fukuoka
60
2.
Tokushima
59
3.
Giravanz Kitakyushu
51
4.
Montedio Yamagata
50
5.
Kofu
49
6.
V-Varen Nagasaki
48
7.
Albirex Niigata
47
8.
Verdy
47
9.
Machida
46
10.
Mito
45
11.
Iwata
45
12.
Kyoto
42
13.
Okayama
41
14.
Chiba
41
15.
Kanazawa
40
16.
Tochigi
40
17.
Ryukyu
39
18.
Kusatsu
38
19.
Yamaga
38
20.
Omiya Ardija
36
21.
Ehime
32
22.
Renofa Yamaguchi
31
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Yamaga
Okayama
Home Games
L
0-1
Kanazawa
W
1-0
W
2-1
Renofa Yamaguchi
D
2-2
L
1-2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
L
0-2
D
2-2
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
1-2
L
1-6
Ryukyu
L
1-2
D
2-2
Mito
W
3-1
W
2-0
Kusatsu
L
0-1
D
1-1
Kofu
D
0-0
W
1-0
Montedio Yamagata
W
2-1
L
1-3
Tokushima
D
1-1
D
1-1
Omiya Ardija
W
3-2
L
2-3
Chiba
W
3-2
D
0-0
Iwata
D
1-1
Away Games
L
2-1
Iwata
D
1-1
W
1-2
Ehime
W
0-1
D
1-1
Tochigi
L
2-1
D
1-1
Tokushima
D
0-0
W
1-2
Machida
L
2-0
L
1-0
Omiya Ardija
D
1-1
L
3-0
Chiba
L
2-1
D
2-2
Renofa Yamaguchi
W
1-2
L
3-0
Verdy
W
0-1
L
1-0
Albirex Niigata
D
1-1
D
0-0
Kanazawa
D
0-0


Winner: Yamaga - 25%, Okayama - 50%, Draw 25%
Score prediction: 1.08 vs 1.35
O/U 2.5:
UNDER (52%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (63%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
This looks to be a fight between two unmatched teams. Looking at the historical data, Yamaga has collected 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 matches. Last 4 games at their HOME stadium shown us 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. Last HOME game was on 11. November against Chiba with the result away win (2-3). Last 6 matches of Okayama show us 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses. Last 3 AWAY games are: 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. The last AWAY game was on 11. November against V-Varen Nagasaki and that ended with home win (5-0). From this data, we see Okayama having a little bit better chance to WIN. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick Okayama! Medium confidence.

Expecting an interesting game between Low ranking Yamaga and Medium ranking team Okayama. Yamaga's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams: 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. Okayama AWAY performance against Low ranking teams: 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Yamaga's attacking performance shows us an average of 1 goals per game vs Okayama's 1. Rank-based (against similar ranking teams) defense power shows Yamaga with 1.8 and Okayama with 0.9 goals conceded per game. Looking at the the Rank-based (performace against similar ranking teams) factors, our analysts see the victory of Okayama as they have a big advatage over Yamaga. Our football prediction for 1X2: Okayama to win! High confidence.

When we look at the last 6 games of Yamaga, we note 4 Overs and 2 Unders. Among the last 6 games of Okayama, there have been 3 Overs and 3 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Yamaga we see 4 Overs and 6 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Okayama. Okayama has seen 3 Overs and 7 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Yamaga has. Yamaga is scoring an average of 1.75 goals per game at home when Okayama scores 0.33 goals per game away. This makes an average of 2.08 goals per match between the teams. Yamaga concedes 1.75 goals on average per game and Okayama 2. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 3.75 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 2.9 goals per match. History shows that 66.67% of games end Over 2.5 for Yamaga and 50% for Okayama. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it could be OVER 2.5 goals game! Under Over 2.5 prediction: back OVER 2.5! Medium stakes.

From Yamaga's last 6 encounters 5 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 1 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Okayama's last 6 games, it is 4 with both teams scoring and 2 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Yamaga had 5 games where both teams scored and 5 where at least one did not. For Okayama, we have seen 5 BTTS YES and 5 NO's. There is a 83.33% chance of Yamaga scoring today and 66.67% for Okayama scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 100% for Yamaga and 83.33% for Okayama. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it is going to be a game where BOTH TEAMS have a great chance to score and thus the best BTTS football prediction would be BOTH TEAMS to Score. High stakes.