Azul Claro Numazu vs Nagano - 1:0 (Home Win)

Japan - J3 League - 22. Nov 2020 06:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 1-2
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (29.4%)
Draw (29.6%)
Away (41%)

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Last games of Azul Claro Numazu

L
W
W
L
D
D
W
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
18. Nov Lose (1-0) Fujieda MYFC - Azul Claro Numazu J3 League 
15. Nov Win (3-1) Azul Claro Numazu - Kagoshima Utd J3 League 
3. Nov Draw (1-1) Azul Claro Numazu - Gainare Tottori J3 League 
18. Oct Draw (0-0) Imabari - Azul Claro Numazu J3 League 
11. Oct Lose (1-0) Grulla Morioka - Azul Claro Numazu J3 League 
7. Oct Win (1-0) Azul Claro Numazu - Vanraure J3 League 
22. Sep Win (5-0) Azul Claro Numazu - C-Osaka U23 J3 League 
19. Sep Lose (0-2) Azul Claro Numazu - Fukushima Utd J3 League 

Last games of Nagano

W
W
W
W
D
W
W
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
18. Nov Lose (0-1) Nagano - Gainare Tottori J3 League 
15. Nov Win (1-2) Kamatamare - Nagano J3 League 
18. Oct Win (3-1) Nagano - Vanraure J3 League 
11. Oct Draw (0-0) Fujieda MYFC - Nagano J3 League 
7. Oct Win (1-0) Nagano - Kumamoto J3 League 
27. Sep Win (0-3) Kagoshima Utd - Nagano J3 League 
22. Sep Win (1-0) Nagano - Kamatamare J3 League 
19. Sep Win (0-2) Gifu - Nagano J3 League 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Azul Claro Numazu
Nagano
37.5%
Wins
75%
37.5%
Losses
12.5%
25 %
Draws
12.5 %
1.25
Goals scored per match
1.5
0.75
Goals conceded per match
0.38
2
Goals scored HOME
1.25
0.8
Goals conceded HOME
0.5
0
Goals scored AWAY
1.75
0.67
Goals conceded AWAY
0.25
50%
Chance to score goal next match
75%
62.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
37.5%
50%
Failure to score matches
25%
37.5%
Clean sheets
62.5%
25%
Matches over 2.5 goals
37.5%
25%
Matches over 3.5 goals
12.5%
2.67
Average Win margin
1.67
1.33
Average Loss margin
1
25 %
Both teams score YES
25 %
75 %
Both teams score NO
75 %
50 %
Matches ODD score
62.5 %
50 %
Matches EVEN score
37.5 %
2.65
Average win odd 1X2
2.5
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
60%
Matches WON as Favorite
80%
40%
Matches LOST as Favorite
20%
0%
Matches WON as Underdog
100%
100%
Matches LOST as Underdog
0%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Azul Claro Numazu (Low Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against High Ranking teams
VS
Nagano (High Ranking) last 7 AWAY games STATS against Low Ranking teams
0.3
Goals Scored
1.4
0.7
Goals Conceded
0.7
10% (1)
WON
43% (3)
30% (3)
LOST
29% (2)
60% (6)
DRAW
29% (2)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Blaublitz
63
2.
Nagano
56
3.
Imabari
52
4.
Toyama
52
5.
Kumamoto
50
6.
Gifu
49
7.
Sagamihara
48
8.
Fujieda MYFC
46
9.
Kagoshima Utd
45
10.
Gainare Tottori
45
11.
Grulla Morioka
43
12.
Fukushima Utd
39
13.
Kamatamare
39
14.
Azul Claro Numazu
39
15.
Vanraure
34
16.
YSCC
33
17.
G-Osaka U23
32
18.
C-Osaka U23
28
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Azul Claro Numazu
Nagano
Home Games
W
2-1
Fujieda MYFC
L
2-3
L
0-3
Kumamoto
W
1-0
L
0-2
Fukushima Utd
W
2-1
W
5-0
C-Osaka U23
W
2-0
W
1-0
Vanraure
W
3-1
D
1-1
Gainare Tottori
L
0-1
W
3-1
Kagoshima Utd
L
0-1
Away Games
W
0-1
Toyama
D
1-1
W
0-1
Kamatamare
W
1-2
L
3-2
Kagoshima Utd
W
0-3
L
3-1
Blaublitz
L
1-0
L
1-0
Gainare Tottori
D
1-1
L
1-0
Grulla Morioka
W
1-4
D
0-0
Imabari
D
1-1
L
1-0
Fujieda MYFC
D
0-0


Winner: Azul Claro Numazu - 33%, Nagano - 53%, Draw 13%
Score prediction: 1 vs 1.3
O/U 2.5:
UNDER (60%)

Both Teams Socre?: NO (57%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
It looks like an open, attack-oriented and goal filled game where one team has clear advantage. Looking at the historical data, Azul Claro Numazu has collected 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 matches. Last 5 games at their HOME stadium shown us 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. Last HOME game was on 15. November against Kagoshima Utd with the result home win (3-1). Last 8 matches of Nagano show us 6 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. Last 4 AWAY games are: 3 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses. The last AWAY game was on 15. November against Kamatamare and that ended with away win (1-2). From this data, we see Nagano taking a close win. Our football tip for 1X2: Nagano to win! Medium confidence.

Expecting an interesting game between Low ranking Azul Claro Numazu and High ranking team Nagano. Azul Claro Numazu's last 6 HOME games against High ranking teams: 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. Nagano AWAY performance against Low ranking teams: 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from last 6 AWAY games. Azul Claro Numazu's attacking performance shows us an average of 0.2 goals per game vs Nagano's 1.5. Rank-based (against similar ranking teams) defense power shows Azul Claro Numazu with 0.8 and Nagano with 0.7 goals conceded per game. Looking at the the Rank-based (performace against similar ranking teams) factors, our analysts see the victory of Nagano as they have a big advatage over Azul Claro Numazu. Our football prediction for 1X2: Nagano to win! High confidence.

From last 8 games of Azul Claro Numazu we see 2 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 6 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 games of Nagano have seen 3 Overs and 5 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Azul Claro Numazu it has been 1 Overs and 5 Unders in their last 6 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to Nagano. Nagano has seen 2 Overs and 4 Unders in their last 6 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Azul Claro Numazu. Azul Claro Numazu scores an average 2 goals each game at home stadium while Nagano has been scoring 1.75 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 3.75 goals per match between both teams. Azul Claro Numazu concedes 0.8 goals on average and Nagano 0.25 for a total of 1.05 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 2.4 goals per match. History shows that 25% of games end Over 2.5 for Azul Claro Numazu and 37.5% for Nagano. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it is obviously UNDER 2.5 GOALS goals match. Under Over 2.5 prediction: pick UNDER 2.5! High confidence.

Azul Claro Numazu's last 8 matches show us 2 games where both teams scored and 6 games where only one team scored or none. From Nagano's last 8 games 2 have seen both teams scoring and 6 only one team/no score. Ranking-based BTS stats of Azul Claro Numazu show us 1 BTS YES and 5 NO's. For Nagano, we have seen 3 BTS YES and 3 NO's. There is a 50% chance of Azul Claro Numazu scoring today, 75% for Nagano. Probability of conceding a goal is 62.5% for Azul Claro Numazu and 37.5% for Nagano. Considering all the numbers, it is going to be a 50-50 match and betting on BTTS bets is not reccomended. Football prediction for BTTS: none!