Kagoshima Utd vs Sagamihara - 0:1 (Away Win)

Japan - J3 League - 22. Nov 2020 06:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 1-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (45.6%)
Draw (27.2%)
Away (27.3%)

BETTING ODDS

Tipsters with correct prediction for this game:

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Last games of Kagoshima Utd

L
W
W
D
L
W
L
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
18. Nov Win (1-2) Kamatamare - Kagoshima Utd J3 League 
15. Nov Lose (3-1) Azul Claro Numazu - Kagoshima Utd J3 League 
7. Nov Win (4-1) Kagoshima Utd - Kumamoto J3 League 
3. Nov Lose (2-0) Toyama - Kagoshima Utd J3 League 
18. Oct Draw (0-0) Kagoshima Utd - C-Osaka U23 J3 League 
11. Oct Win (0-1) Gifu - Kagoshima Utd J3 League 
7. Oct Win (1-3) Gainare Tottori - Kagoshima Utd J3 League 
27. Sep Lose (0-3) Kagoshima Utd - Nagano J3 League 

Last games of Sagamihara

W
W
W
W
D
D
D
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
18. Nov Draw (1-1) Grulla Morioka - Sagamihara J3 League 
13. Nov Draw (0-0) Sagamihara - C-Osaka U23 J3 League 
3. Nov Draw (2-2) Sagamihara - Fujieda MYFC J3 League 
18. Oct Draw (1-1) Kamatamare - Sagamihara J3 League 
11. Oct Win (0-3) YSCC - Sagamihara J3 League 
7. Oct Win (1-0) Sagamihara - G-Osaka U23 J3 League 
27. Sep Win (3-2) Sagamihara - Toyama J3 League 
22. Sep Win (0-1) Gainare Tottori - Sagamihara J3 League 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Kagoshima Utd
Sagamihara
50%
Wins
50%
37.5%
Losses
0%
12.5 %
Draws
50 %
1.38
Goals scored per match
1.5
1.38
Goals conceded per match
0.75
1.33
Goals scored HOME
1.5
1.33
Goals conceded HOME
1
1.4
Goals scored AWAY
1.5
1.4
Goals conceded AWAY
0.5
62.5%
Chance to score goal next match
87.5%
75%
Chance to concede goal next match
50%
37.5%
Failure to score matches
12.5%
25%
Clean sheets
50%
62.5%
Matches over 2.5 goals
37.5%
37.5%
Matches over 3.5 goals
25%
1.75
Average Win margin
1.5
2.33
Average Loss margin
0
50 %
Both teams score YES
50 %
50 %
Both teams score NO
50 %
50 %
Matches ODD score
50 %
50 %
Matches EVEN score
50 %
2.75
Average win odd 1X2
2.94
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
66.67%
Matches WON as Favorite
100%
33.33%
Matches LOST as Favorite
0%
50%
Matches WON as Underdog
100%
50%
Matches LOST as Underdog
0%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Kagoshima Utd (Medium Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Sagamihara (Medium Ranking) last 8 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
0.9
Goals Scored
0.9
1.2
Goals Conceded
1.1
40% (4)
WON
38% (3)
40% (4)
LOST
25% (2)
20% (2)
DRAW
38% (3)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Blaublitz
63
2.
Nagano
56
3.
Imabari
52
4.
Toyama
52
5.
Kumamoto
50
6.
Gifu
49
7.
Sagamihara
48
8.
Fujieda MYFC
46
9.
Kagoshima Utd
45
10.
Gainare Tottori
45
11.
Grulla Morioka
43
12.
Fukushima Utd
39
13.
Kamatamare
39
14.
Azul Claro Numazu
39
15.
Vanraure
34
16.
YSCC
33
17.
G-Osaka U23
32
18.
C-Osaka U23
28
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Kagoshima Utd
Sagamihara
Home Games
W
1-0
Kamatamare
D
2-2
L
0-4
Gifu
W
3-1
D
1-1
Toyama
W
3-2
W
1-0
Grulla Morioka
L
0-1
W
2-1
Vanraure
W
2-1
L
1-2
YSCC
D
0-0
L
0-3
Nagano
D
0-0
D
0-0
C-Osaka U23
D
0-0
Away Games
L
3-2
Kumamoto
L
2-0
W
2-4
G-Osaka U23
L
3-0
W
0-5
C-Osaka U23
W
1-2
L
1-0
Fujieda MYFC
W
2-3
D
0-0
Blaublitz
L
3-1
W
1-3
Gainare Tottori
W
0-1
L
2-0
Toyama
L
3-0
L
3-1
Azul Claro Numazu
D
0-0
W
1-2
Kamatamare
D
1-1


Winner: Kagoshima Utd - 53%, Sagamihara - 35%, Draw 12%
Score prediction: 1.32 vs 1.24
O/U 2.5: OVER (56%)

Both Teams Socre?: NO (53%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Game odds suggest its going to be a close match with most probably at least 2.5+ goals scored. Lets have a look at the basic past data: Kagoshima Utd has collected 4 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 games. Meanwhile their last 3 HOME games shown 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. Their last HOME game was on 7. November against Kumamoto and it ended with home win (4-1). Last 8 matches of Sagamihara show us 4 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses. Last 4 AWAY games are: 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses. The last AWAY game was on 18. November against Grulla Morioka and that ended with draw (1-1). From this data, we see Sagamihara having a little bit better chance to WIN. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick Sagamihara! Medium confidence.

Expecting an interesting game between Medium ranking Kagoshima Utd and Medium ranking team Sagamihara. Kagoshima Utd's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams: 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. Sagamihara AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams: 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from last 5 AWAY games. Kagoshima Utd's attacking performance shows us an average of 0.9 goals per game vs Sagamihara's 1. Rank-based (against similar ranking teams) defense power shows Kagoshima Utd with 1.2 and Sagamihara with 1.6 goals conceded per game. Looking at the the Rank-based (performace against similar ranking teams) factors, our analysts see both teams being equal and a possible DRAW here. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick DRAW!

When we look at the last 8 games of Kagoshima Utd, we note 5 Overs and 3 Unders. Among the last 8 games of Sagamihara, there have been 3 Overs and 5 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Kagoshima Utd we see 4 Overs and 6 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Sagamihara. Sagamihara has seen 2 Overs and 3 Unders in their last 5 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Kagoshima Utd has. Kagoshima Utd is averaging 1.33 goals in their home games while Sagamihara makes about 1.5 goals away from home. Taking both numbers together we get 2.83 goals per match between the teams. Kagoshima Utd concedes 1.33 goals on average and Sagamihara 0.5. Both teams´s stats combined, we get a total of 1.83 goals conceded per match. With these statistics, we guess a total score of 2.3 goals per match. History shows that 62.5% of games end Over 2.5 for Kagoshima Utd and 37.5% for Sagamihara. When trying to give a proper Over/Under 2.5 football prediction , I would say it can be 2-3 goals - OU 2.5 is a risky bet. Under Over 2.5 prediction: no prediction!

Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Kagoshima Utd's last 8 games, we see 4 ´both teams scored´ and 4 ´only one team/no score´. From Sagamihara's last 8 games 4 have seen both teams scoring and 4 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Kagoshima Utd had 3 BTTS YES and 7 NO's. For Sagamihara, we have seen 2 BTTS YES and 3 NO's. There is a 62.5% chance of Kagoshima Utd scoring in this game, the percent for Sagamihara is 87.5% . Probability of conceding a goal is 75% for Kagoshima Utd and 50% for Sagamihara. Looking at the stats above, it could be both teams scoring. Football tip for BTTS: pick BTTS-YES! Medium confidence.