Leuven vs St. Truiden - 2:2 (Draw)

Belgium - Jupiler League - 23. Nov 2020 21:45

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (47.6%)
Draw (25.9%)
Away (26.6%)

BETTING ODDS

Tipsters with correct prediction for this game:

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Last games of Leuven

L
W
W
L
W
D
W
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
31. Oct Lose (4-2) Beerschot VA - Leuven Jupiler League 
24. Oct Win (2-1) Leuven - Club Brugge KV Jupiler League 
18. Oct Draw (2-2) Anderlecht - Leuven Jupiler League 
3. Oct Win (2-1) Leuven - Waregem Jupiler League 
19. Sep Lose (3-1) Oostende - Leuven Jupiler League 
12. Sep Win (1-0) Leuven - St. Liege Jupiler League 
29. Aug Win (1-3) Waasland-Beveren - Leuven Jupiler League 
22. Aug Lose (1-3) Leuven - Charleroi Jupiler League 

Last games of St. Truiden

D
L
L
L
D
L
W
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
7. Nov Lose (1-2) St. Truiden - Genk Jupiler League 
25. Oct Win (2-0) St. Truiden - St. Liege Jupiler League 
17. Oct Lose (6-3) Beerschot VA - St. Truiden Jupiler League 
3. Oct Draw (0-0) St. Truiden - Kortrijk Jupiler League 
26. Sep Lose (2-0) KV Mechelen - St. Truiden Jupiler League 
21. Sep Lose (3-0) Cercle Brugge KSV - St. Truiden Jupiler League 
13. Sep Lose (2-3) St. Truiden - Antwerp Jupiler League 
29. Aug Draw (1-1) Eupen - St. Truiden Jupiler League 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Leuven
St. Truiden
50%
Wins
12.5%
37.5%
Losses
62.5%
12.5 %
Draws
25 %
1.75
Goals scored per match
1.13
1.88
Goals conceded per match
2.13
1.5
Goals scored HOME
1.25
1.25
Goals conceded HOME
1.25
2
Goals scored AWAY
1
2.5
Goals conceded AWAY
3
100%
Chance to score goal next match
62.5%
87.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
75%
0%
Failure to score matches
37.5%
12.5%
Clean sheets
25%
87.5%
Matches over 2.5 goals
50%
62.5%
Matches over 3.5 goals
25%
1.25
Average Win margin
2
2
Average Loss margin
2
87.5 %
Both teams score YES
50 %
12.5 %
Both teams score NO
50 %
37.5 %
Matches ODD score
50 %
62.5 %
Matches EVEN score
50 %
3.31
Average win odd 1X2
2.63
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
100%
Matches WON as Favorite
0%
0%
Matches LOST as Favorite
0%
40%
Matches WON as Underdog
16.67%
60%
Matches LOST as Underdog
83.33%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Leuven (Low Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
St. Truiden (Low Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Low Ranking teams
2
Goals Scored
0.8
0.9
Goals Conceded
2.2
70% (7)
WON
10% (1)
10% (1)
LOST
60% (6)
20% (2)
DRAW
30% (3)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Beerschot VA
58
2.
Charleroi
57
3.
Anderlecht
56
4.
Antwerp
53
5.
Genk
51
6.
Club Brugge KV
51
7.
Cercle Brugge KSV
45
8.
St. Liege
45
9.
Kortrijk
43
10.
KV Mechelen
40
11.
Leuven
38
12.
Eupen
38
13.
St. Truiden
37
14.
Gent
34
15.
Oostende
33
16.
Mouscron
32
17.
Waregem
30
18.
Waasland-Beveren
28
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Leuven
St. Truiden
Home Games
D
1-1
Eupen
W
5-2
W
1-0
St. Liege
W
2-0
W
2-1
Club Brugge KV
L
1-2
Away Games
L
2-1
Beerschot VA
L
6-3
D
1-1
Genk
W
1-2
W
1-3
Waasland-Beveren
L
1-0
L
3-1
Oostende
L
1-0
D
2-2
Anderlecht
L
3-1


Winner: Leuven - 50%, St. Truiden - 50%
Score prediction: 1.75 vs 1.56
O/U 2.5: OVER (63%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (75%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Basic analysis suggest this game to be an open, attack-oriented and goal filled game where one team has clear advantage. Leuven has gained 4 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from the last 8 games. Last 4 HOME games show us 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. Their last game at HOME was on 24. October against Club Brugge KV, resulting in home win (2-1). Looking at the last 8 games of St. Truiden we see 1 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses. Last 4 AWAY games show us 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 17. October against Beerschot VA and this one ended with home win (6-3). Taking all of this into consideration, we see Leuven being superior and most likely takes a confident WIN. Our football tip for 1X2: Leuven!

This will be a match involving Low ranking team Leuven and Low ranking team St. Truiden. Leuven's last 9 HOME games against Low ranking teams show 7 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. At the same time St. Truiden AWAY performance against Low ranking teams shows 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Leuven's scoring ability is 2 goals scored per game vs St. Truiden's 0.7. Defensive performance shows Leuven with 0.8 and St. Truiden with 2.2 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say Leuven being stronger and most likely winning this game. Our football prediction for 1X2: Leuven to win! High confidence.

From last 8 games of Leuven we see 7 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 1 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 games of St. Truiden have seen 4 Overs and 4 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Leuven it has been 6 Overs and 3 Unders in their last 9 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to St. Truiden. St. Truiden has seen 6 Overs and 4 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Leuven. Leuven scores an average 1.5 goals each game at home stadium while St. Truiden has been scoring 1 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 2.5 goals per match between both teams. Leuven concedes 1.25 goals on average and St. Truiden 3 for a total of 4.25 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 3.4 goals per match. History shows that 87.5% of games end Over 2.5 for Leuven and 50% for St. Truiden. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it will clearly be OVER 2.5 match. Under Over 2.5 prediction: pick OVER 2.5!. High confidence.

Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Leuven's last 8 games, we see 7 ´both teams scored´ and 1 ´only one team/no score´. From St. Truiden's last 8 games 4 have seen both teams scoring and 4 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Leuven had 5 BTTS YES and 4 NO's. For St. Truiden, we have seen 5 BTTS YES and 5 NO's. There is a 100% chance of Leuven scoring in this game, the percent for St. Truiden is 62.5% . Probability of conceding a goal is 87.5% for Leuven and 75% for St. Truiden. Looking at the stats above, it is going to be a game where BOTH TEAMS have a great chance to score and thus the best BTTS football prediction would be BOTH TEAMS to Score. High stakes.