Alaves vs Valencia - 2:2 (Draw)

Spain - LaLiga - 22. Nov 2020 22:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 1-2
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (36.7%)
Draw (30%)
Away (33.3%)

BETTING ODDS

Tipsters with correct prediction for this game:

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Last games of Alaves

L
L
D
L
L
W
D
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
8. Nov Draw (1-1) Levante - Alaves LaLiga 
31. Oct Draw (1-1) Alaves - Barcelona LaLiga 
25. Oct Win (0-2) Valladolid - Alaves LaLiga 
18. Oct Lose (0-2) Alaves - Elche LaLiga 
30. Sep Lose (3-1) Villarreal - Alaves LaLiga 
26. Sep Draw (0-0) Alaves - Getafe LaLiga 
20. Sep Lose (2-1) Granada CF - Alaves LaLiga 
13. Sep Lose (0-1) Alaves - Betis LaLiga 

Last games of Valencia

W
L
W
L
L
L
D
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
8. Nov Win (4-1) Valencia - Real Madrid LaLiga 
1. Nov Draw (2-2) Valencia - Getafe LaLiga 
23. Oct Lose (2-1) Elche - Valencia LaLiga 
18. Oct Lose (2-1) Villarreal - Valencia LaLiga 
3. Oct Lose (0-2) Valencia - Betis LaLiga 
29. Sep Win (0-1) Real Sociedad - Valencia LaLiga 
19. Sep Lose (2-1) Celta Vigo - Valencia LaLiga 
13. Sep Win (4-2) Valencia - Levante LaLiga 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Alaves
Valencia
12.5%
Wins
37.5%
50%
Losses
50%
37.5 %
Draws
12.5 %
0.75
Goals scored per match
1.75
1.25
Goals conceded per match
1.63
0.25
Goals scored HOME
2.5
1
Goals conceded HOME
1.75
1.25
Goals scored AWAY
1
1.5
Goals conceded AWAY
1.5
62.5%
Chance to score goal next match
87.5%
75%
Chance to concede goal next match
87.5%
37.5%
Failure to score matches
12.5%
25%
Clean sheets
12.5%
25%
Matches over 2.5 goals
75%
12.5%
Matches over 3.5 goals
37.5%
2
Average Win margin
2
1.5
Average Loss margin
1.25
50 %
Both teams score YES
75 %
50 %
Both teams score NO
25 %
25 %
Matches ODD score
62.5 %
75 %
Matches EVEN score
37.5 %
3.26
Average win odd 1X2
3.36
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
0%
Matches WON as Favorite
50%
100%
Matches LOST as Favorite
50%
25%
Matches WON as Underdog
40%
75%
Matches LOST as Underdog
60%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Alaves (Low Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Valencia (Low Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Low Ranking teams
1.1
Goals Scored
0.9
0.8
Goals Conceded
1.4
30% (3)
WON
20% (2)
20% (2)
LOST
50% (5)
50% (5)
DRAW
30% (3)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Villarreal
62
2.
Atl. Madrid
59
3.
Sevilla
59
4.
Real Madrid
56
5.
Granada CF
55
6.
Barcelona
55
7.
Leganes
51
8.
Real Sociedad
50
9.
Mallorca
48
10.
Elche
48
11.
Cadiz CF
46
12.
Huesca
46
13.
Ath Bilbao
42
14.
Osasuna
42
15.
Levante
40
16.
Eibar
40
17.
Celta Vigo
39
18.
Betis
38
19.
Espanyol
38
20.
Valencia
38
21.
Valladolid
35
22.
Getafe
35
23.
Alaves
31
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Alaves
Valencia
Home Games
L
1-2
Real Madrid
D
1-1
D
1-1
Betis
W
2-1
L
1-2
Villarreal
W
2-1
W
2-1
Eibar
W
1-0
W
2-1
Ath Bilbao
L
0-2
L
0-1
Osasuna
W
2-0
D
0-0
Getafe
D
2-2
L
0-5
Barcelona
W
2-0
Away Games
L
3-0
Granada CF
L
2-1
W
0-1
Levante
W
2-4
D
1-1
Sevilla
L
1-0
L
1-0
Mallorca
L
4-1
D
1-1
Leganes
L
1-0
L
6-0
Celta Vigo
L
2-1
L
1-0
Valladolid
D
1-1
L
2-0
Real Madrid
L
3-0
L
3-1
Villarreal
L
2-0


Winner: Alaves - 29%, Valencia - 53%, Draw 18%
Score prediction: 1.06 vs 1.5
O/U 2.5:
UNDER (53%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (50%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
This looks to be a fight between two unmatched teams. Alaves has collected 1 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses during last 8 games. Last 4 HOME games show 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. Their last HOME game was on 31. October against Barcelona and it ended up draw (1-1). If we look at the last 8 games of Valencia, we note 3 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses. Last 4 AWAY games are following: 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 23. October vs Elche and the outcome was home win (2-1). Looking at the data above, we at hintwise.com see two similar-performing teams and a likely chance of DRAW. Our football tip for 1X2: bet on DRAW!

This is a game between Low ranking Alaves and Low ranking Valencia. Alaves's last 10 HOME games against Low ranking teams show 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. Meanwhile Valencia AWAY performance against Low ranking teams shows 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Alaves's attacking performance is 1.1 goals per game. Same stats for Valencia shows us 0.7. On the defensive side, we have Alaves with 0.6 and Valencia with 1.4 goals conceded per game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts and analysis into consideration, we see Alaves being somewhat superior and probably wins the match. Our football prediction for 1X2: Alaves to win! Medium confidence.

From last 8 games of Alaves we see 2 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 6 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 games of Valencia have seen 6 Overs and 2 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Alaves it has been 3 Overs and 7 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to Valencia. Valencia has seen 4 Overs and 6 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Alaves. Alaves scores an average 0.25 goals each game at home stadium while Valencia has been scoring 1 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 1.25 goals per match between both teams. Alaves concedes 1 goals on average and Valencia 1.5 for a total of 2.5 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 1.9 goals per match. History shows that 25% of games end Over 2.5 for Alaves and 75% for Valencia. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it is close to 2 or 3 goals total - both are possible. Under Over 2.5 tip: none!

From Alaves's last 8 encounters 4 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 4 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Valencia's last 8 games, it is 6 with both teams scoring and 2 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Alaves had 4 games where both teams scored and 6 where at least one did not. For Valencia, we have seen 5 BTTS YES and 5 NO's. There is a 62.5% chance of Alaves scoring today and 87.5% for Valencia scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 75% for Alaves and 87.5% for Valencia. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it will probably be Both Teams to Score-YES match. Football tip for BTTS: pick BTTS-YES! Medium stakes.