Villarreal vs Valencia - 2:1 (Home Win)

Spain - LaLiga (soccer) 18. Oct 2020 16:00
FREE Soccer Prediction 2-0
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (59.1%)
Draw (23.1%)

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Last games of Villarreal

W
L
W
L
L
W
D
W
W
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
3. Oct Draw (0-0) Atl. Madrid - Villarreal LaLiga 
30. Sep Win (3-1) Villarreal - Alaves LaLiga 
19. Sep Win (2-1) Villarreal - Eibar LaLiga 
13. Sep Draw (1-1) Villarreal - Huesca LaLiga 
19. Jul Win (4-0) Villarreal - Eibar LaLiga 
16. Jul Lose (2-1) Real Madrid - Villarreal LaLiga 
13. Jul Lose (1-2) Villarreal - Real Sociedad LaLiga 
8. Jul Win (1-3) Getafe - Villarreal LaLiga 
5. Jul Lose (1-4) Villarreal - Barcelona LaLiga 
1. Jul Win (0-2) Betis - Villarreal LaLiga 

Last games of Valencia

L
D
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
3. Oct Lose (0-2) Valencia - Betis LaLiga 
29. Sep Win (0-1) Real Sociedad - Valencia LaLiga 
19. Sep Lose (2-1) Celta Vigo - Valencia LaLiga 
13. Sep Win (4-2) Valencia - Levante LaLiga 
19. Jul Lose (1-0) Sevilla - Valencia LaLiga 
16. Jul Win (1-0) Valencia - Espanyol LaLiga 
12. Jul Lose (1-0) Leganes - Valencia LaLiga 
7. Jul Win (2-1) Valencia - Valladolid LaLiga 
4. Jul Draw (2-2) Granada CF - Valencia LaLiga 
1. Jul Lose (0-2) Valencia - Ath Bilbao LaLiga 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Villarreal
Valencia
50%
Wins
40%
30%
Losses
50%
20 %
Draws
10 %
1.8
Goals scored per match
1.1
1.2
Goals conceded per match
1.3
2
Goals scored HOME
1.4
1.5
Goals conceded HOME
1.4
1.5
Goals scored AWAY
0.8
0.75
Goals conceded AWAY
1.2
90%
Chance to score goal next match
60%
70%
Chance to concede goal next match
80%
10%
Failure to score matches
40%
30%
Clean sheets
20%
70%
Matches over 2.5 goals
40%
40%
Matches over 3.5 goals
20%
2.2
Average Win margin
1.25
1.67
Average Loss margin
1.4
70 %
Both teams score YES
40 %
30 %
Both teams score NO
60 %
40 %
Matches ODD score
60 %
60 %
Matches EVEN score
40 %
2.51
Average win odd 1X2
2.76
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
80%
Matches WON as Favorite
60%
20%
Matches LOST as Favorite
40%
33.33%
Matches WON as Underdog
25%
66.67%
Matches LOST as Underdog
75%
SIMILAR RANKING ANALYSIS
Villarreal (High Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Valencia (Low Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against High Ranking teams
51
Ranking Score
37
2.1
Goals Scored
0.5
0.9
Goals Conceded
1.6
80% (8)
Games WON
10% (1)
20% (2)
Games LOST
70% (7)
0% (0)
DRAWS
20% (2)
VIEW ALL GAMES
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Sevilla
59
2.
Atl. Madrid
57
3.
Barcelona
57
4.
Real Madrid
56
5.
Granada CF
55
6.
Villarreal
51
7.
Elche
49
8.
Huesca
46
9.
Real Sociedad
45
10.
Cadiz CF
45
11.
Levante
43
12.
Leganes
43
13.
Ath Bilbao
42
14.
Celta Vigo
41
15.
Osasuna
40
16.
Mallorca
40
17.
Eibar
38
18.
Betis
38
19.
Valencia
37
20.
Getafe
35
21.
Valladolid
35
22.
Alaves
32
23.
Espanyol
31
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Football Tips Comparison
PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Villarreal
Valencia
Away Games
L
2-1
Real Madrid
L
3-0
W
0-1
Granada CF
D
2-2


WHO WINS: Villarreal - 100%, Valencia - 0%
SCORE PREDICTION: 1.75 vs 1
Over/Under 2.5: OVER (75%)

Both Teams to Score: YES (50%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
It looks like a goal-filled game where favourite probably takes the win. Villarreal has gained 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from the last 10 games. Last 6 HOME games show us 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. Their last game at HOME was on 30. September against Alaves, resulting in home win (3-1). Last 10 matches of Valencia show us 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses. Last 5 AWAY games are: 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. The last AWAY game was on 29. September against Real Sociedad and that ended with away win (0-1). From this data, we see Villarreal taking an easy WIN as they have much better historical records. Our football tip for 1X2: Villarreal to win! High confidence.

This will be a match involving Medium ranking team Villarreal and Low ranking team Valencia. Villarreal's last 10 HOME games against Low ranking teams show 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. At the same time Valencia AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams shows 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Villarreal's attacking performance shows us an average of 1.8 goals per game vs Valencia's 1.6. Rank-based (against similar ranking teams) defense power shows Villarreal with 0.9 and Valencia with 1.4 goals conceded per game. Looking at the the Rank-based (performace against similar ranking teams) factors, our analysts see Villarreal being somewhat superior and probably wins the match. Our football prediction for 1X2: Villarreal to win! Medium confidence.

From last 10 games of Villarreal we see 7 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 3 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 10 games of Valencia have seen 4 Overs and 6 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Villarreal it has been 7 Overs and 3 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to Valencia. Valencia has seen 4 Overs and 6 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Villarreal. Villarreal is scoring an average of 2 goals per game at home when Valencia scores 0.8 goals per game away. This makes an average of 2.8 goals per match between the teams. Villarreal concedes 1.5 goals on average per game and Valencia 1.2. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 2.7 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 2.8 goals per match. History shows that 70% of games end Over 2.5 for Villarreal and 40% for Valencia. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it will end up being OVER 2.5 match. Under Over 2.5 prediction: back OVER 2.5! High stakes.

From Villarreal's last 10 encounters 7 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 3 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Valencia's last 10 games, it is 4 with both teams scoring and 6 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Villarreal had 6 games where both teams scored and 4 where at least one did not. For Valencia, we have seen 4 BTTS YES and 6 NO's. There is a 90% chance of Villarreal scoring today and 60% for Valencia scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 70% for Villarreal and 80% for Valencia. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it is going to be a game where BOTH TEAMS have a great chance to score and thus the best BTTS football prediction would be BOTH TEAMS to Score. High stakes.