Game
Ended

Arezzo vs Novara - 2:2 (Draw)

Italy - Lega Pro (soccer) 15. May 2019 19:30
FREE Score Prediction 1-2
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

Mathematical Probability of Result

Arezzo (44.3%)
Draw (29.5%)
Novara (26.2%)

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Last games of Arezzo

D
W
W
D
L
W
W
D
D
D
W
W
L
D
L
D
D
W
L
W
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
4. May Lega Pro Pistoiese - Arezzo Win (0-3) 2.45 
18. Apr Lega Pro Virtus Entella - Arezzo Lose (2-1) 1.7 
8. Apr Lega Pro Alessandria - Arezzo Win (2-3) 2.66 
30. Mar Lega Pro Pro Patria - Arezzo Draw (1-1) 3.05 
23. Mar Lega Pro Arezzo - Piacenza Draw (1-1) 3.02 
16. Mar Lega Pro Carrarese - Arezzo Lose (3-0) 2.42 
9. Mar Lega Pro Arezzo - Novara Draw (1-1) 3 
2. Mar Lega Pro Cuneo - Arezzo Lose (1-0) 3.1 
24. Feb Lega Pro Arezzo - Olbia Calcio Win (1-0) 1.62 
17. Feb Lega Pro ASD Albissola 2010 - Arezzo Win (1-2) 2.22 
13. Feb Lega Pro Arezzo - Juventus U23 Draw (1-1) 3.22 
9. Feb Lega Pro Pontedera - Arezzo Draw (1-1) 3.02 
3. Feb Lega Pro Arezzo - Robur Siena Draw (3-3) 3.06 
27. Jan Lega Pro Arzachena - Arezzo Win (0-1) 1.93 
23. Jan Lega Pro Arezzo - Pisa Win (1-0) 2.62 
20. Jan Lega Pro Pro Vercelli - Arezzo Lose (1-0) 1.82 
30. Dec Lega Pro Arezzo - Lucchese Draw (0-0) 3.46 
26. Dec Lega Pro Arezzo - Pistoiese Win (2-1) 1.66 
23. Dec Lega Pro ASDC Gozzano - Arezzo Win (0-1) 2.6 
16. Dec Lega Pro Arezzo - Virtus Entella Draw (2-2) 3.05 

Last games of Novara

D
W
D
D
W
L
W
D
D
L
L
D
W
D
L
D
L
W
W
L
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
4. May Lega Pro Pisa - Novara Lose (3-0) 2.1 
18. Apr Lega Pro Olbia Calcio - Novara Win (1-2) 2.7 
6. Apr Lega Pro Lucchese - Novara Win (0-1) 2.92 
1. Apr Lega Pro Novara - Virtus Entella Lose (1-2) 2.39 
23. Mar Lega Pro ASDC Gozzano - Novara Draw (0-0) 3.03 
16. Mar Lega Pro Novara - Cuneo Lose (1-3) 3.13 
9. Mar Lega Pro Arezzo - Novara Draw (1-1) 3 
2. Mar Lega Pro Novara - Pro Vercelli Win (2-1) 2.8 
17. Feb Lega Pro Novara - Pistoiese Draw (1-1) 3.8 
13. Feb Lega Pro Pro Patria - Novara Lose (1-0) 2.63 
10. Feb Lega Pro Novara - Carrarese Lose (1-2) 2.98 
3. Feb Lega Pro Novara - Piacenza Draw (0-0) 3.2 
27. Jan Lega Pro Juventus U23 - Novara Draw (1-1) 3.1 
21. Jan Lega Pro ASD Albissola 2010 - Novara Win (0-1) 2.1 
12. Jan Cup Lazio - Novara Lose (4-1) 1.23 
30. Dec Lega Pro Novara - Pontedera Win (1-0) 2.55 
26. Dec Lega Pro Novara - Pisa Draw (2-2) 3.02 
22. Dec Lega Pro Robur Siena - Novara Draw (1-1) 3.1 
16. Dec Lega Pro Novara - Olbia Calcio Win (4-0) 1.76 
12. Dec Lega Pro Alessandria - Novara Draw (1-1) 2.9 

Last games of Arezzo | Over/Under 2.5

O
U
O
U
U
U
U
O
U
U
O
U
U
U
O
U
U
O
O
O
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
4. May Lega Pro Pistoiese - Arezzo Over (0-3) 2.31 
18. Apr Lega Pro Virtus Entella - Arezzo Over (2-1) 2.21 
8. Apr Lega Pro Alessandria - Arezzo Over (2-3) 2.38 
30. Mar Lega Pro Pro Patria - Arezzo Under (1-1) 1.5 
23. Mar Lega Pro Arezzo - Piacenza Under (1-1) 1.5 
16. Mar Lega Pro Carrarese - Arezzo Over (3-0) 2.16 
9. Mar Lega Pro Arezzo - Novara Under (1-1) 1.57 
2. Mar Lega Pro Cuneo - Arezzo Under (1-0) 1.59 
24. Feb Lega Pro Arezzo - Olbia Calcio Under (1-0) 1.65 
17. Feb Lega Pro ASD Albissola 2010 - Arezzo Over (1-2) 2.35 
13. Feb Lega Pro Arezzo - Juventus U23 Under (1-1) 1.61 
9. Feb Lega Pro Pontedera - Arezzo Under (1-1) 1.54 
3. Feb Lega Pro Arezzo - Robur Siena Over (3-3) 2.35 
27. Jan Lega Pro Arzachena - Arezzo Under (0-1) 1.6 
23. Jan Lega Pro Arezzo - Pisa Under (1-0) 1.54 
20. Jan Lega Pro Pro Vercelli - Arezzo Under (1-0) 1.58 
30. Dec Lega Pro Arezzo - Lucchese Under (0-0) 1.79 
26. Dec Lega Pro Arezzo - Pistoiese Over (2-1) 2.35 
23. Dec Lega Pro ASDC Gozzano - Arezzo Under (0-1) 1.59 
16. Dec Lega Pro Arezzo - Virtus Entella Over (2-2) 2.57 

Last games of Novara | Over/Under 2.5

U
O
U
O
U
U
U
U
O
U
U
O
U
O
U
O
U
O
O
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
4. May Lega Pro Pisa - Novara Over (3-0) 2.5 
18. Apr Lega Pro Olbia Calcio - Novara Over (1-2) 2.63 
6. Apr Lega Pro Lucchese - Novara Under (0-1) 1.58 
1. Apr Lega Pro Novara - Virtus Entella Over (1-2) 2.44 
23. Mar Lega Pro ASDC Gozzano - Novara Under (0-0) 1.5 
16. Mar Lega Pro Novara - Cuneo Over (1-3) 2.66 
9. Mar Lega Pro Arezzo - Novara Under (1-1) 1.57 
2. Mar Lega Pro Novara - Pro Vercelli Over (2-1) 2.5 
17. Feb Lega Pro Novara - Pistoiese Under (1-1) 1.64 
13. Feb Lega Pro Pro Patria - Novara Under (1-0) 1.62 
10. Feb Lega Pro Novara - Carrarese Over (1-2) 2.14 
3. Feb Lega Pro Novara - Piacenza Under (0-0) 1.75 
27. Jan Lega Pro Juventus U23 - Novara Under (1-1) 1.53 
21. Jan Lega Pro ASD Albissola 2010 - Novara Under (0-1) 1.59 
30. Dec Lega Pro Novara - Pontedera Under (1-0) 1.55 
26. Dec Lega Pro Novara - Pisa Over (2-2) 2.69 
22. Dec Lega Pro Robur Siena - Novara Under (1-1) 1.57 
16. Dec Lega Pro Novara - Olbia Calcio Over (4-0) 2.38 
12. Dec Lega Pro Alessandria - Novara Under (1-1) 1.55 

Last games of Arezzo | Both Teams To Score

Y
N
Y
N
N
N
N
Y
Y
Y
Y
N
N
Y
N
Y
Y
Y
Y
N
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
4. May Lega Pro Pistoiese - Arezzo No (0-3) 1.83 
18. Apr Lega Pro Virtus Entella - Arezzo Yes (2-1) 2.1 
8. Apr Lega Pro Alessandria - Arezzo Yes (2-3) 2.1 
30. Mar Lega Pro Pro Patria - Arezzo Yes (1-1) 2.2 
23. Mar Lega Pro Arezzo - Piacenza Yes (1-1) 2.1 
16. Mar Lega Pro Carrarese - Arezzo No (3-0) 1.95 
9. Mar Lega Pro Arezzo - Novara Yes (1-1) 2.05 
2. Mar Lega Pro Cuneo - Arezzo No (1-0) 1.8 
24. Feb Lega Pro Arezzo - Olbia Calcio No (1-0) 1.67 
17. Feb Lega Pro ASD Albissola 2010 - Arezzo Yes (1-2) 2 
13. Feb Lega Pro Arezzo - Juventus U23 Yes (1-1) 2 
9. Feb Lega Pro Pontedera - Arezzo Yes (1-1) 2.2 
3. Feb Lega Pro Arezzo - Robur Siena Yes (3-3) 2 
27. Jan Lega Pro Arzachena - Arezzo No (0-1) 1.73 
23. Jan Lega Pro Arezzo - Pisa No (1-0) 1.73 
20. Jan Lega Pro Pro Vercelli - Arezzo No (1-0) 1.67 
30. Dec Lega Pro Arezzo - Lucchese No (0-0) 1.83 
26. Dec Lega Pro Arezzo - Pistoiese Yes (2-1) 2.2 
23. Dec Lega Pro ASDC Gozzano - Arezzo No (0-1) 1.8 
16. Dec Lega Pro Arezzo - Virtus Entella Yes (2-2) 2.1 

Last games of Novara | Both Teams To Score

Y
N
Y
Y
N
N
Y
N
Y
N
Y
Y
Y
Y
N
Y
N
Y
N
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
4. May Lega Pro Pisa - Novara No (3-0) 1.67 
18. Apr Lega Pro Olbia Calcio - Novara Yes (1-2) 2.1 
6. Apr Lega Pro Lucchese - Novara No (0-1) 1.83 
1. Apr Lega Pro Novara - Virtus Entella Yes (1-2) 1.95 
23. Mar Lega Pro ASDC Gozzano - Novara No (0-0) 1.7 
16. Mar Lega Pro Novara - Cuneo Yes (1-3) 2.1 
9. Mar Lega Pro Arezzo - Novara Yes (1-1) 2.05 
2. Mar Lega Pro Novara - Pro Vercelli Yes (2-1) 2.1 
17. Feb Lega Pro Novara - Pistoiese Yes (1-1) 2.38 
13. Feb Lega Pro Pro Patria - Novara No (1-0) 1.83 
10. Feb Lega Pro Novara - Carrarese Yes (1-2) 1.83 
3. Feb Lega Pro Novara - Piacenza No (0-0) 1.87 
27. Jan Lega Pro Juventus U23 - Novara Yes (1-1) 2.13 
21. Jan Lega Pro ASD Albissola 2010 - Novara No (0-1) 1.8 
30. Dec Lega Pro Novara - Pontedera No (1-0) 1.73 
26. Dec Lega Pro Novara - Pisa Yes (2-2) 2.2 
22. Dec Lega Pro Robur Siena - Novara Yes (1-1) 2 
16. Dec Lega Pro Novara - Olbia Calcio No (4-0) 1.67 
12. Dec Lega Pro Alessandria - Novara Yes (1-1) 1.95 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Arezzo
Achievement
Novara
40%
% of Wins
30%
20%
% of Losses
30%
40 %
% of Draws
40 %
1.25
Goals scored per match
1.1
1.05
Goals conceded per match
1.2
1.33
Goals scored - HOME
1.44
1
Goals conceded - HOME
1.22
1.18
Goals scored - AWAY
0.82
1.09
Goals conceded - AWAY
1.18
80%
Chance to score goal next match
80%
70%
Chance to concede goal next match
70%
20%
Failure to score matches
20%
30%
Clean sheet matches
30%
40%
Matches over 2.5 goals
45%
15%
Matches over 3.5 goals
20%
1.25
Win margin
1.5
1.5
Losing margin
1.83
55 %
Both teams score - YES
60 %
45 %
Both teams score - NO
40 %
60 %
Matches with ODD score
50 %
40 %
Matches with EVEN score
50 %
2.58
Average win odd - 1X2
2.72
1.95
Average win odd - BTTS
1.94
1.89
Average win odd - O/U 2.5
1.94
88.89%
Matches WON being favorite
71.43%
11.11%
Matches LOST being favorite
28.57%
0%
Matches WON being underdog
20%
100%
Matches LOST being underdog
80%
H2H vs SIMILAR RANKING TEAMS
Arezzo last 10 home games against Medium rank teams
Vs
Novara last 10 away games against Medium rank teams
Medium
Rank
Medium
48
Rank Score
43
1.5
AVG Goals Scored
1.5
0.9
AVG Goals Conceded
1.8
40% (4)
Games WON
20% (2)
0% (0)
Games LOST
30% (3)
60% (6)
DRAWS
50% (5)
VIEW ALL GAMES
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
Italy - Lega Pro
1.
Juve Stabia
58
2.
Trapani
56
3.
Piacenza
55
4.
Pordenone
55
5.
Pisa
55
6.
Robur Siena
55
7.
Catania
54
8.
Virtus Entella
54
9.
Catanzaro
53
10.
Viterbese Castrense
49
11.
Reggina
48
12.
Sudtirol
48
13.
Arezzo
48
14.
Pro Vercelli
48
15.
Virtus Francavilla
47
16.
Lokomotiva Kosice
46
17.
Feralpisalo
45
18.
Albinoleffe
44
19.
Novara
43
20.
Teramo
43
21.
Carrarese
43
22.
Sambenedettese
43
23.
Casertana
43
24.
GIANA Erminio
41
25.
Renate AC
41
26.
Alma Juventus Fano 1906
40
27.
Gubbio
39
28.
SS Monopoli
39
29.
Alessandria
38
30.
Pontedera
37
31.
Lucchese
37
32.
Siracusa
37
33.
Pistoiese
37
34.
Vibonese Calcio
36
35.
Olbia Calcio
35
36.
Ternana
32
37.
Paganese
30
H2H vs SAME TEAMS
Arezzo
Novara
Home Games
D
2-2
Virtus Entella
L
1-2
W
2-1
Pistoiese
D
1-1
D
0-0
Lucchese
D
2-2
W
1-0
Pisa
W
3-2
W
1-0
Olbia Calcio
W
4-0
D
1-1
Piacenza
D
0-0
Away Games
W
0-1
ASDC Gozzano
D
0-0
D
1-1
Pontedera
D
0-0
W
1-2
ASD Albissola 2010
W
0-1
D
1-1
Pro Patria
L
1-0
W
2-3
Alessandria
D
1-1
L
2-1
Virtus Entella
D
1-1


WHO WINS: Arezzo 42%, Novara 17%, Draw 42%
SCORE PREDICTION: 1.08 vs 1.04
Over/Under 2.5 Prediction:
UNDER (63%)

Both Teams to Score: YES (58%)
GAME REVIEW
This is a game review for 15. May 2019 Lega Pro game where Arezzo is playing against Novara. Not an easy task to predict this game. Most likely it is going to be a fight between two unmatched teams. Lets make some basic conclusions from the past data: Arezzo has collected 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games. Last 9 HOME games of Arezzo have shown us 3 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses. Their last HOME game was on 23. March against Piacenza and it ended with draw (1-1). Last 20 matches of Novara show us 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. Last 11 AWAY games of Novara are: 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses. The last AWAY game was on 4. May against Pisa and that ended with home win (3-0). From this data, we see Arezzo taking an easy WIN as they have much better historical records.

This will be a match involving Medium ranking team Arezzo and Medium ranking team Novara (Rankings are based on hintwise.com algorithms). Arezzo's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses. Novara AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams shows 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Arezzo's scoring ability is 1.4 goals scored per game vs Novara's 1.4. Defensive performance shows Arezzo with 0.6 and Novara with 1.7 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say Arezzo being stronger and most likely winning this game.

From last 20 games of Arezzo we see 8 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 12 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 20 games of Novara have seen 9 Overs and 11 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Arezzo it has been 3 Overs and 7 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to Novara. Novara has seen 5 Overs and 5 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Arezzo. Arezzo is averaging 1.33 goals in their home games while Novara makes about 0.82 goals away from home. Taking both numbers together we get 2.15 goals per match between the teams. Arezzo concedes 1 goals on average and Novara 1.18. Both teams´s stats combined, we get a total of 2.18 goals conceded per match. With these statistics, we guess a total score of 2.2 goals per match. History shows that 40% of games end Over 2.5 for Arezzo and 45% for Novara. When trying to give a proper Over/Under 2.5 football prediction ,I would say it is obviously UNDER 2.5 GOALS goals match.

From Arezzo's last 20 encounters 11 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 9 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Novara's last 20 games, it is 12 with both teams scoring and 8 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Arezzo had 5 games where both teams scored and 5 where at least one did not. For Novara, we have seen 8 BTTS YES and 2 NO's. There is a 80% chance of Arezzo scoring today and 80% for Novara scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 70% for Arezzo and 70% for Novara. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it is going to be a game where BOTH TEAMS have a great chance to score and thus the best BTTS football prediction would be BOTH TEAMS to Score.