Game
Ended

Fermana vs Gubbio - 0:1 (Away Win)

Italy - Lega Pro (soccer) 12. Feb 2019 17:30
FREE Score Prediction 1-0
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Under

Mathematical Probability of Result

Fermana (43.5%)
Draw (32.3%)
Gubbio (24.2%)

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Last games of Fermana

W
L
D
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
D
L
D
L
L
W
W
D
D
L
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
9. Feb Lega Pro Sudtirol - Fermana Lose (2-0) 2.33 
26. Jan Lega Pro Fermana - Renate AC Draw (1-1) 3.5 
22. Jan Lega Pro GIANA Erminio - Fermana Draw (1-1) 3 
19. Jan Lega Pro Fermana - Feralpisalo Win (1-0) 2.45 
29. Dec Lega Pro Virtus Verona - Fermana Win (0-1) 2.58 
26. Dec Lega Pro Sambenedettese - Fermana Lose (2-0) 2.55 
22. Dec Lega Pro Fermana - Monza Lose (0-1) 3.6 
15. Dec Lega Pro Imolese Calcio - Fermana Draw (0-0) 3 
8. Dec Lega Pro Ternana - Fermana Lose (2-0) 1.8 
1. Dec Lega Pro Fermana - Albinoleffe Draw (0-0) 3.3 
25. Nov Lega Pro Vis Pesaro - Fermana Lose (3-0) 2.73 
18. Nov Lega Pro Fermana - Alma Juventus Fano 1906 Win (2-1) 1.75 
11. Nov Lega Pro Rimini - Fermana Lose (2-0) 3.1 
4. Nov Lega Pro Fermana - Teramo Win (2-0) 2.02 
28. Oct Lega Pro Pordenone - Fermana Win (0-1) 5.2 
21. Oct Lega Pro Fermana - LR Vicenza Virtus Win (2-0) 3 
17. Oct Lega Pro Gubbio - Fermana Lose (2-0) 2.5 
14. Oct Lega Pro Fermana - Sudtirol Draw (0-0) 3 
7. Oct Lega Pro Fermana - Ravenna Lose (0-2) 3.4 
30. Sep Lega Pro Renate AC - Fermana Win (0-1) 3.5 

Last games of Gubbio

D
D
D
L
W
D
L
W
D
L
D
D
L
D
L
W
W
W
D
L
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
9. Feb Lega Pro Gubbio - Imolese Calcio Lose (2-3) 2.68 
26. Jan Lega Pro Gubbio - Teramo Draw (0-0) 3 
22. Jan Lega Pro Albinoleffe - Gubbio Win (1-2) 3.02 
19. Jan Lega Pro Gubbio - Vis Pesaro Win (1-0) 2.41 
29. Dec Lega Pro Ravenna - Gubbio Win (0-2) 5 
26. Dec Lega Pro Virtus Verona - Gubbio Lose (3-1) 2.82 
22. Dec Lega Pro Gubbio - Sambenedettese Draw (0-0) 2.96 
15. Dec Lega Pro Pordenone - Gubbio Lose (1-0) 1.87 
8. Dec Lega Pro Triestina - Gubbio Draw (2-2) 3.32 
1. Dec Lega Pro Gubbio - Monza Draw (0-0) 3.05 
25. Nov Lega Pro Renate AC - Gubbio Lose (1-0) 2.7 
18. Nov Lega Pro Gubbio - GIANA Erminio Draw (1-1) 3.1 
4. Nov Lega Pro Gubbio - Rimini Win (3-0) 2.35 
28. Oct Lega Pro Feralpisalo - Gubbio Lose (2-1) 1.98 
21. Oct Lega Pro Gubbio - Sudtirol Draw (0-0) 2.95 
17. Oct Lega Pro Gubbio - Fermana Win (2-0) 2.5 
14. Oct Lega Pro Imolese Calcio - Gubbio Lose (1-0) 2.8 
7. Oct Lega Pro Gubbio - Alma Juventus Fano 1906 Draw (0-0) 3.2 
30. Sep Lega Pro Teramo - Gubbio Draw (1-1) 3.2 
26. Sep Lega Pro Gubbio - Albinoleffe Draw (0-0) 3.2 

Last games of Fermana | Over/Under 2.5

U
U
U
U
U
U
U
U
O
O
U
U
U
U
U
U
U
U
U
U
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
9. Feb Lega Pro Sudtirol - Fermana Under (2-0) 1.43 
26. Jan Lega Pro Fermana - Renate AC Under (1-1) 1.54 
22. Jan Lega Pro GIANA Erminio - Fermana Under (1-1) 1.5 
19. Jan Lega Pro Fermana - Feralpisalo Under (1-0) 1.48 
29. Dec Lega Pro Virtus Verona - Fermana Under (0-1) 1.43 
26. Dec Lega Pro Sambenedettese - Fermana Under (2-0) 1.44 
22. Dec Lega Pro Fermana - Monza Under (0-1) 1.45 
15. Dec Lega Pro Imolese Calcio - Fermana Under (0-0) 1.44 
8. Dec Lega Pro Ternana - Fermana Under (2-0) 1.57 
1. Dec Lega Pro Fermana - Albinoleffe Under (0-0) 1.53 
25. Nov Lega Pro Vis Pesaro - Fermana Over (3-0) 2.7 
18. Nov Lega Pro Fermana - Alma Juventus Fano 1906 Over (2-1) 2.87 
11. Nov Lega Pro Rimini - Fermana Under (2-0) 1.44 
4. Nov Lega Pro Fermana - Teramo Under (2-0) 1.57 
28. Oct Lega Pro Pordenone - Fermana Under (0-1) 1.59 
21. Oct Lega Pro Fermana - LR Vicenza Virtus Under (2-0) 1.5 
17. Oct Lega Pro Gubbio - Fermana Under (2-0) 1.44 
14. Oct Lega Pro Fermana - Sudtirol Under (0-0) 1.5 
7. Oct Lega Pro Fermana - Ravenna Under (0-2) 1.6 
30. Sep Lega Pro Renate AC - Fermana Under (0-1) 1.6 

Last games of Gubbio | Over/Under 2.5

U
U
U
U
U
U
O
O
U
U
U
O
U
U
O
U
U
O
U
O
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
9. Feb Lega Pro Gubbio - Imolese Calcio Over (2-3) 2.7 
26. Jan Lega Pro Gubbio - Teramo Under (0-0) 1.54 
22. Jan Lega Pro Albinoleffe - Gubbio Over (1-2) 2.7 
19. Jan Lega Pro Gubbio - Vis Pesaro Under (1-0) 1.44 
29. Dec Lega Pro Ravenna - Gubbio Under (0-2) 1.46 
26. Dec Lega Pro Virtus Verona - Gubbio Over (3-1) 2.75 
22. Dec Lega Pro Gubbio - Sambenedettese Under (0-0) 1.5 
15. Dec Lega Pro Pordenone - Gubbio Under (1-0) 1.65 
8. Dec Lega Pro Triestina - Gubbio Over (2-2) 2.34 
1. Dec Lega Pro Gubbio - Monza Under (0-0) 1.5 
25. Nov Lega Pro Renate AC - Gubbio Under (1-0) 1.45 
18. Nov Lega Pro Gubbio - GIANA Erminio Under (1-1) 1.45 
4. Nov Lega Pro Gubbio - Rimini Over (3-0) 2.4 
28. Oct Lega Pro Feralpisalo - Gubbio Over (2-1) 2.5 
21. Oct Lega Pro Gubbio - Sudtirol Under (0-0) 1.44 
17. Oct Lega Pro Gubbio - Fermana Under (2-0) 1.44 
14. Oct Lega Pro Imolese Calcio - Gubbio Under (1-0) 1.5 
7. Oct Lega Pro Gubbio - Alma Juventus Fano 1906 Under (0-0) 1.6 
30. Sep Lega Pro Teramo - Gubbio Under (1-1) 1.57 
26. Sep Lega Pro Gubbio - Albinoleffe Under (0-0) 1.57 

Last games of Fermana | Both Teams To Score

N
N
N
N
N
N
N
N
Y
N
N
N
N
N
N
N
N
Y
Y
N
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
9. Feb Lega Pro Sudtirol - Fermana No (2-0) 1.62 
26. Jan Lega Pro Fermana - Renate AC Yes (1-1) 2.4 
22. Jan Lega Pro GIANA Erminio - Fermana Yes (1-1) 2.29 
19. Jan Lega Pro Fermana - Feralpisalo No (1-0) 1.73 
29. Dec Lega Pro Virtus Verona - Fermana No (0-1) 1.62 
26. Dec Lega Pro Sambenedettese - Fermana No (2-0) 1.62 
22. Dec Lega Pro Fermana - Monza No (0-1) 1.62 
15. Dec Lega Pro Imolese Calcio - Fermana No (0-0) 1.67 
8. Dec Lega Pro Ternana - Fermana No (2-0) 1.67 
1. Dec Lega Pro Fermana - Albinoleffe No (0-0) 1.62 
25. Nov Lega Pro Vis Pesaro - Fermana No (3-0) 1.7 
18. Nov Lega Pro Fermana - Alma Juventus Fano 1906 Yes (2-1) 2.55 
11. Nov Lega Pro Rimini - Fermana No (2-0) 1.7 
4. Nov Lega Pro Fermana - Teramo No (2-0) 1.67 
28. Oct Lega Pro Pordenone - Fermana No (0-1) 1.5 
21. Oct Lega Pro Fermana - LR Vicenza Virtus No (2-0) 1.73 
17. Oct Lega Pro Gubbio - Fermana No (2-0) 1.57 
14. Oct Lega Pro Fermana - Sudtirol No (0-0) 1.65 
7. Oct Lega Pro Fermana - Ravenna No (0-2) 1.73 
30. Sep Lega Pro Renate AC - Fermana No (0-1) 1.73 

Last games of Gubbio | Both Teams To Score

N
Y
N
N
N
N
Y
N
Y
N
N
Y
N
N
Y
N
N
Y
N
Y
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
9. Feb Lega Pro Gubbio - Imolese Calcio Yes (2-3) 2.2 
26. Jan Lega Pro Gubbio - Teramo No (0-0) 1.73 
22. Jan Lega Pro Albinoleffe - Gubbio Yes (1-2) 2.24 
19. Jan Lega Pro Gubbio - Vis Pesaro No (1-0) 1.67 
29. Dec Lega Pro Ravenna - Gubbio No (0-2) 1.6 
26. Dec Lega Pro Virtus Verona - Gubbio Yes (3-1) 2.25 
22. Dec Lega Pro Gubbio - Sambenedettese No (0-0) 1.73 
15. Dec Lega Pro Pordenone - Gubbio No (1-0) 1.7 
8. Dec Lega Pro Triestina - Gubbio Yes (2-2) 2.17 
1. Dec Lega Pro Gubbio - Monza No (0-0) 1.75 
25. Nov Lega Pro Renate AC - Gubbio No (1-0) 1.7 
18. Nov Lega Pro Gubbio - GIANA Erminio Yes (1-1) 2.25 
4. Nov Lega Pro Gubbio - Rimini No (3-0) 1.85 
28. Oct Lega Pro Feralpisalo - Gubbio Yes (2-1) 2.25 
21. Oct Lega Pro Gubbio - Sudtirol No (0-0) 1.61 
17. Oct Lega Pro Gubbio - Fermana No (2-0) 1.57 
14. Oct Lega Pro Imolese Calcio - Gubbio No (1-0) 1.7 
7. Oct Lega Pro Gubbio - Alma Juventus Fano 1906 No (0-0) 1.75 
30. Sep Lega Pro Teramo - Gubbio Yes (1-1) 2 
26. Sep Lega Pro Gubbio - Albinoleffe No (0-0) 1.87 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Fermana
Achievement
Gubbio
35%
% of Wins
25%
40%
% of Losses
30%
25 %
% of Draws
45 %
0.6
Goals scored per match
0.9
0.95
Goals conceded per match
0.8
0.89
Goals scored - HOME
0.82
0.56
Goals conceded - HOME
0.36
0.36
Goals scored - AWAY
1
1.27
Goals conceded - AWAY
1.33
45%
Chance to score goal next match
55%
55%
Chance to concede goal next match
50%
55%
Failure to score matches
45%
45%
Clean sheet matches
50%
10%
Matches over 2.5 goals
30%
0%
Matches over 3.5 goals
15%
1.29
Win margin
1.8
2
Losing margin
1.17
15 %
Both teams score - YES
35 %
85 %
Both teams score - NO
65 %
35 %
Matches with ODD score
40 %
65 %
Matches with EVEN score
60 %
2.92
Average win odd - 1X2
2.91
1.77
Average win odd - BTTS
1.88
1.63
Average win odd - O/U 2.5
1.83
57.14%
Matches WON being favorite
100%
42.86%
Matches LOST being favorite
0%
37.5%
Matches WON being underdog
25%
62.5%
Matches LOST being underdog
75%
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
Italy - Lega Pro
1.
Juve Stabia
62
2.
Catanzaro
58
3.
Trapani
56
4.
Virtus Entella
56
5.
Catania
53
6.
Piacenza
52
7.
Pordenone
52
8.
Robur Siena
51
9.
Feralpisalo
50
10.
Pro Vercelli
50
11.
SS Monopoli
50
12.
Arezzo
50
13.
Casertana
49
14.
Vibonese Calcio
48
15.
Reggina
47
16.
Sambenedettese
47
17.
Carrarese
47
18.
Pisa
46
19.
Novara
45
20.
Viterbese Castrense
45
21.
Gubbio
44
22.
Teramo
44
23.
Pontedera
43
24.
Sudtirol
43
25.
Ternana
42
26.
Lucchese
41
27.
Virtus Francavilla
40
28.
Renate AC
39
29.
Albinoleffe
38
30.
Alma Juventus Fano 1906
38
31.
Pistoiese
37
32.
Alessandria
37
33.
Matera
36
34.
GIANA Erminio
36
35.
Siracusa
36
36.
Olbia Calcio
34
37.
Paganese
24
H2H vs SAME TEAMS
Fermana
Gubbio
Home Games
W
1-0
GIANA Erminio
D
1-1
L
0-2
Ravenna
D
1-1
D
0-0
Sudtirol
D
0-0
W
2-0
Teramo
D
0-0
W
2-1
Alma Juventus Fano 1906
D
0-0
D
0-0
Albinoleffe
D
0-0
L
0-1
Monza
D
0-0
Away Games
D
0-0
Feralpisalo
L
2-1
W
0-1
Renate AC
L
1-0
W
0-1
Pordenone
L
1-0
L
3-0
Vis Pesaro
L
2-1
D
0-0
Imolese Calcio
L
1-0
W
0-1
Virtus Verona
L
3-1


WHO WINS: Fermana 62%, Gubbio 23%, Draw 15%
SCORE PREDICTION: 0.77 vs 0.46
Over/Under 2.5 Prediction:
UNDER (81%)

Both Teams Socre: NO (77%)
GAME REVIEW
12. Feb 2019 game on Lega Pro with Fermana facing Gubbio. Most likely its is going to be a one-sided game with only a few goals scored. Fermana has collected 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games. Last 9 HOME games of Fermana have shown us 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. Their last HOME game was on 26. January against Renate AC and it ended with draw (1-1). Looking at the last 20 games of Gubbio we see 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses. Last 9 AWAY games of Gubbio show us 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses. Most recent AWAY game they had was on 22. January against Albinoleffe and this one ended with away win (1-2). Taking all of this into consideration, we see Fermana being a little bit stronger and has a bit more chances to win than their opponent.

Expecting an interesting game between Low ranking team Fermana and Medium ranking team Gubbio. Fermana's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams: 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses. Gubbio AWAY performance against Low ranking teams: wins, draws and losses from last 0 AWAY games. Fermana's scoring ability is 0.9 goals scored per game vs Gubbio's . Defensive performance shows Fermana with 0.4 and Gubbio with goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say Fermana being somewhat superior and probably wins the match.

Last 20 games of Fermana show us 2 Over 2.5 Goals and 18 Under 2.5 Goals. Last 20 matches of Gubbio have seen 6 Over 2.5´s and 14 Under 2.5´s. When we look at the ranking-based O/U 2.5 stats of Fermana it shows us 1 Overs and 9 Unders in the last 10 HOME games against teams who perform in similar way and who have same ranking as Gubbio. Gubbio has had Over 2.5´s and Under 2.5´s in their last 0 AWAY encounters against teams with ranking nearly the same as Fermana. Fermana is scoring an average of 0.89 goals per game at home when Gubbio scores 1 goals per game away. This makes an average of 1.89 goals per match between the teams. Fermana concedes 0.56 goals on average per game and Gubbio 1.33. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 1.89 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 1.9 goals per match. History shows that 10% of games end Over 2.5 for Fermana and 30% for Gubbio. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it is very clearly a match where we see UNDER 2.5 GOALS.

From Fermana's last 20 encounters 3 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 17 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Gubbio's last 20 games, it is 7 with both teams scoring and 13 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Fermana had 3 games where both teams scored and 7 where at least one did not. For Gubbio, we have seen BTTS YES and NO's. There is a 45% chance of Fermana scoring today and 55% for Gubbio scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 55% for Fermana and 50% for Gubbio. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it is going to be a 50-50 match and betting on BTTS bets is not reccomended.