Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa - 1:0 (Home Win)

Mexico - Liga MX - 22. Nov 2020 05:10

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (45.7%)
Draw (28.8%)
Away (25.6%)

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Last games of Guadalajara Chivas

W
L
W
D
W
L
D
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
26. Nov Win (1-0) Guadalajara Chivas - Club America Liga MX 
1. Nov Draw (2-2) U.N.A.M.- Pumas - Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX 
26. Oct Lose (0-2) Guadalajara Chivas - Cruz Azul Liga MX 
18. Oct Win (3-2) Guadalajara Chivas - Atlas Liga MX 
5. Oct Draw (0-0) Club Tijuana - Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX 
27. Sep Win (2-1) Guadalajara Chivas - Mazatlan FC Liga MX 
20. Sep Lose (1-0) Club America - Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX 
12. Sep Win (1-2) Necaxa - Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX 

Last games of Necaxa

L
L
L
L
L
D
W
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
31. Oct Win (3-2) Necaxa - Toluca Liga MX 
17. Oct Win (2-0) Necaxa - Club Tijuana Liga MX 
27. Sep Draw (1-1) U.N.A.M.- Pumas - Necaxa Liga MX 
19. Sep Lose (0-1) Necaxa - Puebla Liga MX 
12. Sep Lose (1-2) Necaxa - Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX 
9. Sep Lose (2-1) Atl. San Luis - Necaxa Liga MX 
5. Sep Lose (0-2) Necaxa - Club Leon Liga MX 
30. Aug Lose (3-0) Cruz Azul - Necaxa Liga MX 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Guadalajara Chivas
Necaxa
50%
Wins
25%
25%
Losses
62.5%
25 %
Draws
12.5 %
1.25
Goals scored per match
1
1.13
Goals conceded per match
1.63
1.5
Goals scored HOME
1.2
1.25
Goals conceded HOME
1.4
1
Goals scored AWAY
0.67
1
Goals conceded AWAY
2
62.5%
Chance to score goal next match
62.5%
75%
Chance to concede goal next match
87.5%
37.5%
Failure to score matches
37.5%
25%
Clean sheets
12.5%
50%
Matches over 2.5 goals
50%
25%
Matches over 3.5 goals
12.5%
1
Average Win margin
1.5
1.5
Average Loss margin
1.6
50 %
Both teams score YES
50 %
50 %
Both teams score NO
50 %
62.5 %
Matches ODD score
62.5 %
37.5 %
Matches EVEN score
37.5 %
2.48
Average win odd 1X2
2.52
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
100%
Matches WON as Favorite
66.67%
0%
Matches LOST as Favorite
33.33%
0%
Matches WON as Underdog
0%
100%
Matches LOST as Underdog
100%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Guadalajara Chivas (Medium Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Necaxa (Low Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
1.6
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1.4
60% (6)
WON
10% (1)
20% (2)
LOST
70% (7)
20% (2)
DRAW
20% (2)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Cruz Azul
59
2.
Club Leon
55
3.
U.A.N.L.- Tigres
54
4.
Pachuca
53
5.
U.N.A.M.- Pumas
50
6.
Guadalajara Chivas
48
7.
Santos Laguna
48
8.
Club America
48
9.
Monterrey
46
10.
Juarez
41
11.
Puebla
41
12.
Mazatlan FC
39
13.
Queretaro
36
14.
Toluca
35
15.
Club Tijuana
35
16.
Necaxa
35
17.
Atl. San Luis
32
18.
Atlas
32
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Guadalajara Chivas
Necaxa
Home Games
D
2-2
Toluca
W
3-2
W
2-0
Club Leon
L
0-2
W
4-3
Club America
D
1-1
L
0-1
Puebla
W
2-0
W
2-1
Atl. San Luis
D
1-1
D
1-1
Queretaro
L
2-3
W
2-1
Mazatlan FC
W
1-0
Away Games
D
2-2
Atl. San Luis
L
2-1
L
2-1
Cruz Azul
L
3-0
L
2-0
Santos Laguna
L
2-1
W
0-2
Juarez
L
2-1
L
1-0
Toluca
W
2-3
L
1-0
Club America
W
0-3
D
2-2
U.N.A.M.- Pumas
D
1-1


Winner: Guadalajara Chivas - 50%, Necaxa - 36%, Draw 14%
Score prediction: 1.46 vs 1.39
O/U 2.5: OVER (54%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (61%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
According to the odds and stats it tends to become an open yet one-sided game. Looking at the historical data, Guadalajara Chivas has collected 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 8 matches. Last 4 games at their HOME stadium shown us 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. Last HOME game was on 26. October against Cruz Azul with the result away win (0-2). If we look at the last 8 games of Necaxa, we note 2 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses. Last 3 AWAY games are following: 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 27. September vs U.N.A.M.- Pumas and the outcome was draw (1-1). Looking at the data above, we at hintwise.com see Guadalajara Chivas being much stronger and will most likely take the win. Our football prediction for 1X2: Guadalajara Chivas to win! High confidence.

Expecting an interesting game between Medium ranking Guadalajara Chivas and Low ranking team Necaxa. Guadalajara Chivas's last 10 HOME games against Low ranking teams: 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. Necaxa AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams: 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Guadalajara Chivas's scoring power is 1.8 goals per game vs Necaxa's 1.3. Looking at the defensive side, Guadalajara Chivas is performing 1.1 and Necaxa 1.2 goals conceded on average per each game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts into account, we expect Guadalajara Chivas being stronger and most likely winning this game. Our football prediction for 1X2: Guadalajara Chivas to win! High confidence.

Last 8 games of Guadalajara Chivas show us 4 Over 2.5 Goals and 4 Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 matches of Necaxa have seen 4 Over 2.5´s and 4 Under 2.5´s. When we look at the ranking-based O/U 2.5 stats of Guadalajara Chivas it shows us 6 Overs and 4 Unders in the last 10 HOME games against teams who perform in similar way and who have same ranking as Necaxa. Necaxa has had 6 Over 2.5´s and 4 Under 2.5´s in their last 10 AWAY encounters against teams with ranking nearly the same as Guadalajara Chivas. Guadalajara Chivas scores an average 1.5 goals each game at home stadium while Necaxa has been scoring 0.67 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 2.17 goals per match between both teams. Guadalajara Chivas concedes 1.5 goals on average and Necaxa 2 for a total of 3.5 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 2.8 goals per match. History shows that 50% of games end Over 2.5 for Guadalajara Chivas and 50% for Necaxa. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it will end up being OVER 2.5 match. Under Over 2.5 prediction: back OVER 2.5! High stakes.

From Guadalajara Chivas's last 8 encounters 5 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 3 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Necaxa's last 8 games, it is 4 with both teams scoring and 4 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Guadalajara Chivas had 7 games where both teams scored and 3 where at least one did not. For Necaxa, we have seen 7 BTTS YES and 3 NO's. There is a 62.5% chance of Guadalajara Chivas scoring today and 62.5% for Necaxa scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 87.5% for Guadalajara Chivas and 87.5% for Necaxa. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it will be a game where BOTH TEAMS SCORE. Football prediction for BTTS: bet on BTTS-YES! High confidence.