U.A.N.L.- Tigres vs Toluca - 2:1 (Home Win)

Mexico - Liga MX - 23. Nov 2020 03:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 1-0
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (59.3%)
Draw (22.7%)

BETTING ODDS

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Last games of U.A.N.L.- Tigres

D
D
L
D
W
W
W
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
18. Oct Win (0-2) Cruz Azul - U.A.N.L.- Tigres Liga MX 
27. Sep Win (0-2) Monterrey - U.A.N.L.- Tigres Liga MX 
20. Sep Win (3-0) U.A.N.L.- Tigres - Queretaro Liga MX 
13. Sep Win (2-0) U.A.N.L.- Tigres - Santos Laguna Liga MX 
10. Sep Draw (1-1) Club Leon - U.A.N.L.- Tigres Liga MX 
6. Sep Lose (1-3) U.A.N.L.- Tigres - Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX 
29. Aug Draw (1-1) Mazatlan FC - U.A.N.L.- Tigres Liga MX 
23. Aug Draw (1-1) U.A.N.L.- Tigres - U.N.A.M.- Pumas Liga MX 

Last games of Toluca

L
D
L
D
L
W
L
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
8. Nov Draw (2-2) Toluca - Club Leon Liga MX 
31. Oct Lose (3-2) Necaxa - Toluca Liga MX 
25. Oct Win (2-0) Toluca - Club Tijuana Liga MX 
18. Oct Lose (1-0) U.N.A.M.- Pumas - Toluca Liga MX 
25. Sep Draw (0-0) Pachuca - Toluca Liga MX 
20. Sep Lose (1-2) Toluca - Santos Laguna Liga MX 
13. Sep Draw (1-1) Club America - Toluca Liga MX 
9. Sep Lose (0-1) Toluca - Juarez Liga MX 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
U.A.N.L.- Tigres
Toluca
50%
Wins
12.5%
12.5%
Losses
50%
37.5 %
Draws
37.5 %
1.63
Goals scored per match
1
0.75
Goals conceded per match
1.25
1.75
Goals scored HOME
1.25
1
Goals conceded HOME
1.25
1.5
Goals scored AWAY
0.75
0.5
Goals conceded AWAY
1.25
100%
Chance to score goal next match
62.5%
50%
Chance to concede goal next match
75%
0%
Failure to score matches
37.5%
50%
Clean sheets
25%
25%
Matches over 2.5 goals
37.5%
12.5%
Matches over 3.5 goals
25%
2.25
Average Win margin
2
2
Average Loss margin
1
50 %
Both teams score YES
50 %
50 %
Both teams score NO
50 %
12.5 %
Matches ODD score
50 %
87.5 %
Matches EVEN score
50 %
3.11
Average win odd 1X2
2.94
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
66.67%
Matches WON as Favorite
33.33%
33.33%
Matches LOST as Favorite
66.67%
100%
Matches WON as Underdog
0%
0%
Matches LOST as Underdog
100%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
U.A.N.L.- Tigres (High Ranking) last 8 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Toluca (Low Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against High Ranking teams
1.6
Goals Scored
0.7
0.6
Goals Conceded
1.8
75% (6)
WON
0% (0)
13% (1)
LOST
60% (6)
13% (1)
DRAW
40% (4)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Cruz Azul
59
2.
Club Leon
57
3.
U.A.N.L.- Tigres
51
4.
U.N.A.M.- Pumas
50
5.
Pachuca
49
6.
Guadalajara Chivas
48
7.
Santos Laguna
48
8.
Club America
47
9.
Monterrey
46
10.
Juarez
41
11.
Puebla
41
12.
Mazatlan FC
39
13.
Queretaro
36
14.
Club Tijuana
35
15.
Necaxa
35
16.
Toluca
35
17.
Atlas
32
18.
Atl. San Luis
32
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
U.A.N.L.- Tigres
Toluca
Home Games
W
2-1
Atlas
D
2-2
W
3-0
U.N.A.M.- Pumas
L
2-3
D
1-1
Pachuca
W
5-1
D
0-0
Atl. San Luis
W
3-2
W
3-0
Guadalajara Chivas
W
1-0
W
2-0
Santos Laguna
L
1-2
Away Games
D
0-0
Club Tijuana
D
1-1
L
2-0
Pachuca
D
2-2
D
0-0
Puebla
L
2-0
W
1-2
Club America
L
2-0
W
0-2
Monterrey
L
3-1
D
0-0
Mazatlan FC
L
2-1
W
0-3
Necaxa
L
3-2


Winner: U.A.N.L.- Tigres - 69%, Toluca - 23%, Draw 8%
Score prediction: 1.65 vs 1
O/U 2.5: OVER (54%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (50%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Game odds suggest its going to be a low scoring game where the favourite takes what it owns. U.A.N.L.- Tigres has gained 4 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses from the last 8 games. Last 4 HOME games show us 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. Their last game at HOME was on 20. September against Queretaro, resulting in home win (3-0). Last 8 matches of Toluca show us 1 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. Last 4 AWAY games are: 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. The last AWAY game was on 31. October against Necaxa and that ended with home win (3-2). From this data, we see U.A.N.L.- Tigres being much stronger and will most likely take the win. Our football prediction for 1X2: U.A.N.L.- Tigres to win! High confidence.

This will be a match involving High ranking team U.A.N.L.- Tigres and Low ranking team Toluca. U.A.N.L.- Tigres's last 7 HOME games against Low ranking teams show 5 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. At the same time Toluca AWAY performance against High ranking teams shows 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from last 10 AWAY games. U.A.N.L.- Tigres's scoring power is 1.6 goals per game vs Toluca's 0.7. Looking at the defensive side, U.A.N.L.- Tigres is performing 0.6 and Toluca 2.1 goals conceded on average per each game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts into account, we expect U.A.N.L.- Tigres being stronger and most likely winning this game. Our football prediction for 1X2: U.A.N.L.- Tigres to win! High confidence.

When we look at the last 8 games of U.A.N.L.- Tigres, we note 2 Overs and 6 Unders. Among the last 8 games of Toluca, there have been 3 Overs and 5 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of U.A.N.L.- Tigres we see 4 Overs and 3 Unders in their last 7 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Toluca. Toluca has seen 5 Overs and 5 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as U.A.N.L.- Tigres has. U.A.N.L.- Tigres scores an average 1.75 goals each game at home stadium while Toluca has been scoring 0.75 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 2.5 goals per match between both teams. U.A.N.L.- Tigres concedes 1 goals on average and Toluca 1.25 for a total of 2.25 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 2.4 goals per match. History shows that 25% of games end Over 2.5 for U.A.N.L.- Tigres and 37.5% for Toluca. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it is possibly a match where we see UNDER 2.5 goals scored. Under Over 2.5 prediction: pick UNDER 2.5! Medium confidence.

From U.A.N.L.- Tigres's last 8 encounters 4 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 4 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Toluca's last 8 games, it is 4 with both teams scoring and 4 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, U.A.N.L.- Tigres had 3 games where both teams scored and 4 where at least one did not. For Toluca, we have seen 5 BTTS YES and 5 NO's. There is a 100% chance of U.A.N.L.- Tigres scoring today and 62.5% for Toluca scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 50% for U.A.N.L.- Tigres and 75% for Toluca. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it could be both teams scoring. Football tip for BTTS: pick BTTS-YES! Medium confidence.