U.N.A.M.- Pumas vs Toluca - 1:0 (Home Win)

Mexico - Liga MX (soccer) 18. Oct 2020 19:00
FREE Soccer Prediction 2-0
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (52.3%)
Draw (25.3%)
Away (22.4%)

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Last games of U.N.A.M.- Pumas

D
D
D
D
W
W
W
W
L
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
27. Sep Draw (1-1) U.N.A.M.- Pumas - Necaxa Liga MX 
22. Sep Lose (2-0) Club Leon - U.N.A.M.- Pumas Liga MX 
13. Sep Win (3-0) U.N.A.M.- Pumas - Atl. San Luis Liga MX 
10. Sep Win (1-2) Santos Laguna - U.N.A.M.- Pumas Liga MX 
6. Sep Win (4-1) U.N.A.M.- Pumas - Puebla Liga MX 
30. Aug Win (3-0) U.N.A.M.- Pumas - Club Tijuana Liga MX 
23. Aug Draw (1-1) U.A.N.L.- Tigres - U.N.A.M.- Pumas Liga MX 
16. Aug Draw (0-0) Mazatlan FC - U.N.A.M.- Pumas Liga MX 
13. Aug Draw (1-1) U.N.A.M.- Pumas - Monterrey Liga MX 
9. Aug Draw (1-1) U.N.A.M.- Pumas - Juarez Liga MX 

Last games of Toluca

L
W
W
W
L
L
L
D
L
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
25. Sep Draw (0-0) Pachuca - Toluca Liga MX 
20. Sep Lose (1-2) Toluca - Santos Laguna Liga MX 
13. Sep Draw (1-1) Club America - Toluca Liga MX 
9. Sep Lose (0-1) Toluca - Juarez Liga MX 
4. Sep Lose (4-1) Queretaro - Toluca Liga MX 
29. Aug Lose (4-1) Puebla - Toluca Liga MX 
24. Aug Win (1-0) Toluca - Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX 
16. Aug Win (3-2) Toluca - U.A.N.L.- Tigres Liga MX 
14. Aug Win (1-2) Atlas - Toluca Liga MX 
8. Aug Lose (2-1) Mazatlan FC - Toluca Liga MX 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
U.N.A.M.- Pumas
Toluca
40%
Wins
30%
10%
Losses
50%
50 %
Draws
20 %
1.6
Goals scored per match
1.1
0.8
Goals conceded per match
1.7
2.17
Goals scored HOME
1.25
0.67
Goals conceded HOME
1.25
0.75
Goals scored AWAY
1
1
Goals conceded AWAY
2
80%
Chance to score goal next match
80%
70%
Chance to concede goal next match
80%
20%
Failure to score matches
20%
30%
Clean sheets
20%
40%
Matches over 2.5 goals
60%
10%
Matches over 3.5 goals
30%
2.5
Average Win margin
1
2
Average Loss margin
1.8
60 %
Both teams score YES
70 %
40 %
Both teams score NO
30 %
40 %
Matches ODD score
80 %
60 %
Matches EVEN score
20 %
2.92
Average win odd 1X2
3.07
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
100%
Matches WON as Favorite
20%
0%
Matches LOST as Favorite
80%
50%
Matches WON as Underdog
66.67%
50%
Matches LOST as Underdog
33.33%
SIMILAR RANKING ANALYSIS
U.N.A.M.- Pumas (High Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Toluca (Low Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against High Ranking teams
52
Ranking Score
37
2.2
Goals Scored
0.6
0.8
Goals Conceded
1.8
60% (6)
Games WON
0% (0)
10% (1)
Games LOST
60% (6)
30% (3)
DRAWS
40% (4)
VIEW ALL GAMES
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Cruz Azul
65
2.
Club Leon
57
3.
U.N.A.M.- Pumas
52
4.
Guadalajara Chivas
51
5.
Club America
50
6.
U.A.N.L.- Tigres
48
7.
Pachuca
47
8.
Santos Laguna
47
9.
Monterrey
43
10.
Juarez
42
11.
Puebla
39
12.
Queretaro
38
13.
Toluca
37
14.
Club Tijuana
36
15.
Mazatlan FC
35
16.
Necaxa
34
17.
Atlas
34
18.
Atl. San Luis
34
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Football Tips Comparison
PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
U.N.A.M.- Pumas
Toluca
Home Games
W
3-0
Atl. San Luis
W
3-2
D
1-1
Juarez
L
0-1
Away Games
D
0-0
Mazatlan FC
L
2-1
W
1-2
Atlas
W
1-2


WHO WINS: U.N.A.M.- Pumas - 75%, Toluca - 0%, Draw 25%
SCORE PREDICTION: 1.5 vs 1
Over/Under 2.5: OVER (63%)

Both Teams to Score: YES (63%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
According to the odds and stats it tends to become a one-sided game where. U.N.A.M.- Pumas has collected 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses during last 10 games. Last 6 HOME games show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses. Their last HOME game was on 27. September against Necaxa and it ended up draw (1-1). Looking at the last 10 games of Toluca we see 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses. Last 6 AWAY games show us 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 25. September against Pachuca and this one ended with draw (0-0). Taking all of this into consideration, we see U.N.A.M.- Pumas being superior and most likely takes a confident WIN. Our football tip for 1X2: U.N.A.M.- Pumas!

This will be a match involving Low ranking team U.N.A.M.- Pumas and Low ranking team Toluca. U.N.A.M.- Pumas's last 8 HOME games against Low ranking teams show 6 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses. At the same time Toluca AWAY performance against Low ranking teams shows wins, draws and losses from last 0 AWAY games. U.N.A.M.- Pumas's scoring power is 1.9 goals per game vs Toluca's . Looking at the defensive side, U.N.A.M.- Pumas is performing 0.6 and Toluca goals conceded on average per each game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts into account, we expect U.N.A.M.- Pumas being somewhat superior and probably wins the match. Our football prediction for 1X2: U.N.A.M.- Pumas to win! Medium confidence.

When we look at the last 10 games of U.N.A.M.- Pumas, we note 4 Overs and 6 Unders. Among the last 10 games of Toluca, there have been 6 Overs and 4 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of U.N.A.M.- Pumas we see 3 Overs and 5 Unders in their last 8 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Toluca. Toluca has seen Overs and Unders in their last 0 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as U.N.A.M.- Pumas has. U.N.A.M.- Pumas scores an average 2.17 goals each game at home stadium while Toluca has been scoring goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 2.17 goals per match between both teams. U.N.A.M.- Pumas concedes 0.67 goals on average and Toluca for a total of 0.67 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 1.4 goals per match. History shows that 40% of games end Over 2.5 for U.N.A.M.- Pumas and % for Toluca. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it is rather a LOW SCORING game. Our football predictions for OU 2.5 would be UNDER 2.5 Goals. Medium confidence.

From U.N.A.M.- Pumas's last 10 encounters 6 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 4 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Toluca's last 10 games, it is 7 with both teams scoring and 3 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, U.N.A.M.- Pumas had 5 games where both teams scored and 3 where at least one did not. For Toluca, we have seen BTTS YES and NO's. There is a 80% chance of U.N.A.M.- Pumas scoring today and % for Toluca scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 70% for U.N.A.M.- Pumas and % for Toluca. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it could be both teams scoring. Football tip for BTTS: pick BTTS-YES! Medium confidence.