Academica vs Penafiel - 2:1 (Home Win)

Portugal - LigaPro (soccer) 18. Oct 2020 12:15
FREE Soccer Prediction 2-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (46.3%)
Draw (29.4%)
Away (24.3%)

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Last games of Academica

W
L
D
W
W
D
L
L
W
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
29. Sep Lose (0-1) Academica - Feirense LigaPro 
20. Sep Win (1-0) Academica - Estoril LigaPro 
29. Feb Lose (1-0) Feirense - Academica LigaPro 
23. Feb Lose (1-0) Nacional - Academica LigaPro 
15. Feb Draw (0-0) Academica - Mafra LigaPro 
9. Feb Win (1-2) Chaves - Academica LigaPro 
30. Jan Win (2-0) Academica - Academico Viseu LigaPro 
26. Jan Draw (1-1) Leixoes - Academica LigaPro 
18. Jan Lose (1-0) Estoril - Academica LigaPro 
12. Jan Win (3-0) Academica - CD Cova da Piedade LigaPro 

Last games of Penafiel

W
D
L
D
D
D
L
D
W
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
2. Oct Win (3-1) Penafiel - Mafra LigaPro 
14. Sep Win (1-0) Penafiel - Covilha LigaPro 
29. Feb Draw (1-1) Penafiel - Nacional LigaPro 
23. Feb Lose (1-0) Mafra - Penafiel LigaPro 
17. Feb Draw (0-0) Penafiel - Chaves LigaPro 
8. Feb Draw (2-2) CD Cova da Piedade - Penafiel LigaPro 
1. Feb Draw (1-1) Penafiel - Casa Pia LigaPro 
26. Jan Lose (1-0) Academico Viseu - Penafiel LigaPro 
19. Jan Draw (1-1) Vilafranquense - Penafiel LigaPro 
12. Jan Win (3-0) Penafiel - SC Farense LigaPro 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Academica
Penafiel
40%
Wins
30%
40%
Losses
20%
20 %
Draws
50 %
0.9
Goals scored per match
1.2
0.6
Goals conceded per match
0.8
1.2
Goals scored HOME
1.5
0.2
Goals conceded HOME
0.5
0.6
Goals scored AWAY
0.75
1
Goals conceded AWAY
1.25
50%
Chance to score goal next match
70%
60%
Chance to concede goal next match
70%
50%
Failure to score matches
30%
40%
Clean sheets
30%
20%
Matches over 2.5 goals
30%
0%
Matches over 3.5 goals
20%
1.75
Average Win margin
2
1
Average Loss margin
1
20 %
Both teams score YES
50 %
80 %
Both teams score NO
50 %
70 %
Matches ODD score
40 %
30 %
Matches EVEN score
60 %
2.34
Average win odd 1X2
2.89
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
100%
Matches WON as Favorite
100%
0%
Matches LOST as Favorite
0%
20%
Matches WON as Underdog
33.33%
80%
Matches LOST as Underdog
66.67%
SIMILAR RANKING ANALYSIS
Academica (Medium Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Penafiel (Medium Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
48
Ranking Score
45
1.5
Goals Scored
0.7
1.1
Goals Conceded
1.5
60% (6)
Games WON
0% (0)
30% (3)
Games LOST
80% (8)
10% (1)
DRAWS
20% (2)
VIEW ALL GAMES
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Vizela
61
2.
Mafra
55
3.
Arouca
53
4.
Feirense
52
5.
Oliveirense
51
6.
Academica
48
7.
FC Porto B
47
8.
Estoril
47
9.
Varzim
46
10.
Benfica B
46
11.
Academico Viseu
45
12.
Penafiel
45
13.
Chaves
43
14.
Leixoes
39
15.
Vilafranquense
36
16.
Covilha
34
17.
CD Cova da Piedade
28
18.
Casa Pia
26
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BOTBET - Football Predictions

Football Tips Comparison
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Game odds suggest its going to be a game where the favorite takes what it owns. Academica has gained 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from the last 10 games. Last 5 HOME games show us 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. Their last game at HOME was on 29. September against Feirense, resulting in away win (0-1). Last 10 matches of Penafiel show us 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses. Last 4 AWAY games are: 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. The last AWAY game was on 23. February against Mafra and that ended with home win (1-0). From this data, we see a high chance of DRAW as both teams have similar past performance. Our football tip for 1X2: bet on DRAW!

This is a game between Low ranking Academica and Medium ranking Penafiel. Academica's last 9 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 6 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. Meanwhile Penafiel AWAY performance against Low ranking teams shows wins, draws and losses from last 0 AWAY games. Academica's attacking performance is 1.7 goals per game. Same stats for Penafiel shows us . On the defensive side, we have Academica with 1.1 and Penafiel with goals conceded per game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts and analysis into consideration, we see Academica being somewhat superior and probably wins the match. Our football prediction for 1X2: Academica to win! Medium confidence.

From last 10 games of Academica we see 2 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 8 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 10 games of Penafiel have seen 3 Overs and 7 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Academica it has been 4 Overs and 5 Unders in their last 9 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to Penafiel. Penafiel has seen Overs and Unders in their last 0 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Academica. Academica is scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game at home when Penafiel scores goals per game away. This makes an average of 1.2 goals per match between the teams. Academica concedes 0.2 goals on average per game and Penafiel . Taking those numbers together we get a total of 0.2 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 0.7 goals per match. History shows that 20% of games end Over 2.5 for Academica and % for Penafiel. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it is very clearly a match where we see UNDER 2.5 GOALS. Under Over 2.5 tip: bet on UNDER 2.5! High confidence.

From Academica's last 10 encounters 2 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 8 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Penafiel's last 10 games, it is 5 with both teams scoring and 5 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Academica had 5 games where both teams scored and 4 where at least one did not. For Penafiel, we have seen BTTS YES and NO's. There is a 50% chance of Academica scoring today and % for Penafiel scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 60% for Academica and % for Penafiel. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it is quite unclear if BTTS-YES or NO. Hard to predict anything. Football prediction for BTTS: no bet!