3. Dec 2019 in the Ligue 1, Angers is hosting Marseille. Game odds suggest its going to be a goal filled draw. Angers has gained 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses from their last 20 games. Last 10 HOME games of Angers show us 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. Their last game at HOME was on 23. November against Nimes, resulting in home win (1-0). Last 20 matches of Marseille show us 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses. Last 10 AWAY games of Marseille are: 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. The last AWAY game was on 24. November against Toulouse and that ended with away win (0-2). From this data, we see Marseille having a little bit better chance to WIN.
Expecting an interesting game between Medium ranking team Angers and High ranking team Marseille. Angers's last 10 HOME games against High ranking teams: 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. Marseille AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams: 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Angers's scoring ability is 1 goals scored per game vs Marseille's 1.8. Defensive performance shows Angers with 1.2 and Marseille with 1.2 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say the victory of Marseille as they have a big advatage over Angers.
From last 20 games of Angers we see 10 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 10 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 20 games of Marseille have seen 10 Overs and 10 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Angers it has been 3 Overs and 7 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to Marseille. Marseille has seen 5 Overs and 5 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Angers. Angers is averaging 1.7 goals in their home games while Marseille makes about 1.9 goals away from home. Taking both numbers together we get 3.6 goals per match between the teams. Angers concedes 0.7 goals on average and Marseille 1.3. Both teams´s stats combined, we get a total of 2 goals conceded per match. With these statistics, we guess a total score of 2.8 goals per match. History shows that 50% of games end Over 2.5 for Angers and 50% for Marseille. When trying to give a proper Over/Under 2.5 football prediction ,I would say it might end with an OVER 2.5.
Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Angers's last 20 games, we see 8 ´both teams scored´ and 12 ´only one team/no score´. From Marseille's last 20 games 12 have seen both teams scoring and 8 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Angers had 6 BTTS YES and 4 NO's. For Marseille, we have seen 6 BTTS YES and 4 NO's. There is a 70% chance of Angers scoring in this game, the percent for Marseille is 80% . Probability of conceding a goal is 60% for Angers and 70% for Marseille. Looking at the stats above, it is going to be a game where BOTH TEAMS have a great chance to score and thus the best BTTS football prediction would be BOTH TEAMS to Score.