Brest vs St Etienne - 4:1 (Home Win)

France - Ligue 1 - 21. Nov 2020 18:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-2
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (44.5%)
Draw (26.7%)
Away (28.8%)

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Last games of Brest

L
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
8. Nov Win (3-2) Brest - Lille Ligue 1 
31. Oct Lose (2-1) Rennes - Brest Ligue 1 
25. Oct Lose (0-3) Brest - Strasbourg Ligue 1 
18. Oct Lose (3-1) Nantes - Brest Ligue 1 
20. Sep Win (3-2) Brest - Lorient Ligue 1 
13. Sep Win (0-2) Dijon - Brest Ligue 1 
30. Aug Lose (2-3) Brest - Marseille Ligue 1 
23. Aug Lose (4-0) Nimes - Brest Ligue 1 

Last games of St Etienne

W
D
L
L
L
L
L
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
8. Nov Lose (2-1) Lyon - St Etienne Ligue 1 
1. Nov Lose (0-1) St Etienne - Montpellier Ligue 1 
25. Oct Lose (2-0) Metz - St Etienne Ligue 1 
18. Oct Lose (1-3) St Etienne - Nice Ligue 1 
3. Oct Lose (2-0) Lens - St Etienne Ligue 1 
26. Sep Lose (0-3) St Etienne - Rennes Ligue 1 
20. Sep Draw (2-2) Nantes - St Etienne Ligue 1 
17. Sep Win (0-2) Marseille - St Etienne Ligue 1 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Brest
St Etienne
37.5%
Wins
12.5%
62.5%
Losses
75%
0 %
Draws
12.5 %
1.5
Goals scored per match
0.75
2.38
Goals conceded per match
1.88
2
Goals scored HOME
0.33
2.5
Goals conceded HOME
2.33
1
Goals scored AWAY
1
2.25
Goals conceded AWAY
1.6
75%
Chance to score goal next match
50%
87.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
87.5%
25%
Failure to score matches
50%
12.5%
Clean sheets
12.5%
87.5%
Matches over 2.5 goals
50%
62.5%
Matches over 3.5 goals
25%
1.33
Average Win margin
2
2.2
Average Loss margin
1.83
62.5 %
Both teams score YES
37.5 %
37.5 %
Both teams score NO
62.5 %
62.5 %
Matches ODD score
37.5 %
37.5 %
Matches EVEN score
62.5 %
2.53
Average win odd 1X2
2.74
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
66.67%
Matches WON as Favorite
0%
33.33%
Matches LOST as Favorite
100%
20%
Matches WON as Underdog
20%
80%
Matches LOST as Underdog
80%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Brest (Low Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
St Etienne (Low Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Low Ranking teams
2.1
Goals Scored
1.3
1.3
Goals Conceded
2.1
60% (6)
WON
20% (2)
30% (3)
LOST
70% (7)
10% (1)
DRAW
10% (1)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Paris SG
64
2.
Lille
62
3.
Lens
53
4.
Montpellier
52
5.
Marseille
49
6.
Rennes
49
7.
Monaco
48
8.
Nice
47
9.
Metz
46
10.
Lyon
46
11.
Angers
43
12.
Lorient
42
13.
Bordeaux
41
14.
Brest
39
15.
Nantes
38
16.
Reims
38
17.
Strasbourg
38
18.
St Etienne
36
19.
Nimes
36
20.
Dijon
34
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Brest
St Etienne
Home Games
W
5-0
Strasbourg
W
2-0
D
0-0
Nice
W
4-1
W
2-0
Bordeaux
D
1-1
L
2-3
Marseille
L
0-2
W
3-2
Lorient
W
2-0
Away Games
L
2-1
Marseille
W
0-2
L
3-1
Lyon
L
2-0
D
0-0
Rennes
L
2-1
L
1-0
Reims
L
3-1
L
4-0
Nimes
W
1-2
L
3-1
Nantes
D
2-2


Winner: Brest - 45%, St Etienne - 45%, Draw 9%
Score prediction: 1.32 vs 1.59
O/U 2.5: OVER (55%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (50%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Not an easy task to predict this game. Most likely it is going to be a match between similar performing teams. Lets have a look at the basic past data: Brest has collected 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 games. Meanwhile their last 3 HOME games shown 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. Their last HOME game was on 8. November against Lille and it ended with home win (3-2). Looking at the last 6 games of St Etienne we see 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses. Last 3 AWAY games show us 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 8. November against Lyon and this one ended with home win (2-1). Taking all of this into consideration, we see Brest is somewhat stronger and probably gets a close win. Our football prediction for 1X2: Brest to win! Medium confidence.

Expecting an interesting game between Low ranking Brest and Low ranking team St Etienne. Brest's last 10 HOME games against Low ranking teams: 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. St Etienne AWAY performance against Low ranking teams: 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Brest's attacking performance shows us an average of 1.8 goals per game vs St Etienne's 1.4. Rank-based (against similar ranking teams) defense power shows Brest with 1.3 and St Etienne with 1.8 goals conceded per game. Looking at the the Rank-based (performace against similar ranking teams) factors, our analysts see Brest being stronger and most likely winning this game. Our football prediction for 1X2: Brest to win! High confidence.

When we look at the last 6 games of Brest, we note 5 Overs and 1 Unders. Among the last 6 games of St Etienne, there have been 3 Overs and 3 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Brest we see 6 Overs and 4 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as St Etienne. St Etienne has seen 8 Overs and 2 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Brest has. Brest scores an average 2 goals each game at home stadium while St Etienne has been scoring 0.33 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 2.33 goals per match between both teams. Brest concedes 2.33 goals on average and St Etienne 2 for a total of 4.33 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 3.3 goals per match. History shows that 83.33% of games end Over 2.5 for Brest and 50% for St Etienne. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it will be a sure OVER 2.5 game. Under Over 2.5 tip: bet on OVER 2.5! High confidence.

From Brest's last 6 encounters 4 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 2 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From St Etienne's last 6 games, it is 2 with both teams scoring and 4 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Brest had 6 games where both teams scored and 4 where at least one did not. For St Etienne, we have seen 7 BTTS YES and 3 NO's. There is a 83.33% chance of Brest scoring today and 33.33% for St Etienne scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 83.33% for Brest and 100% for St Etienne. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it is going to be a game where BOTH TEAMS have a great chance to score and thus the best BTTS football prediction would be BOTH TEAMS to Score. High stakes.