Nantes vs Metz - 1:1 (Draw)

France - Ligue 1 - 22. Nov 2020 14:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (42.4%)
Draw (29.8%)
Away (27.9%)

BETTING ODDS

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Last games of Nantes

L
D
L
L
W
L
W
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
25. Nov Draw (1-1) Lens - Nantes Ligue 1 
8. Nov Win (0-2) Lorient - Nantes Ligue 1 
31. Oct Lose (0-3) Nantes - Paris SG Ligue 1 
18. Oct Win (3-1) Nantes - Brest Ligue 1 
3. Oct Lose (2-1) Nice - Nantes Ligue 1 
25. Sep Lose (2-0) Lille - Nantes Ligue 1 
20. Sep Draw (2-2) Nantes - St Etienne Ligue 1 
13. Sep Lose (2-1) Monaco - Nantes Ligue 1 

Last games of Metz

L
L
L
W
D
W
W
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
8. Nov Draw (1-1) Metz - Dijon Ligue 1 
1. Nov Win (0-1) Nimes - Metz Ligue 1 
25. Oct Win (2-0) Metz - St Etienne Ligue 1 
18. Oct Draw (1-1) Angers - Metz Ligue 1 
20. Sep Win (2-1) Metz - Reims Ligue 1 
16. Sep Lose (1-0) Paris SG - Metz Ligue 1 
13. Sep Lose (1-0) Lille - Metz Ligue 1 
30. Aug Lose (0-1) Metz - Monaco Ligue 1 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Nantes
Metz
25%
Wins
37.5%
50%
Losses
37.5%
25 %
Draws
25 %
1.25
Goals scored per match
0.88
1.63
Goals conceded per match
0.75
1.67
Goals scored HOME
1.25
2
Goals conceded HOME
0.75
1
Goals scored AWAY
0.5
1.4
Goals conceded AWAY
0.75
75%
Chance to score goal next match
62.5%
87.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
75%
25%
Failure to score matches
37.5%
12.5%
Clean sheets
25%
62.5%
Matches over 2.5 goals
12.5%
25%
Matches over 3.5 goals
0%
2
Average Win margin
1.33
1.75
Average Loss margin
1
62.5 %
Both teams score YES
37.5 %
37.5 %
Both teams score NO
62.5 %
37.5 %
Matches ODD score
62.5 %
62.5 %
Matches EVEN score
37.5 %
2.44
Average win odd 1X2
2.47
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
100%
Matches WON as Favorite
100%
0%
Matches LOST as Favorite
0%
20%
Matches WON as Underdog
25%
80%
Matches LOST as Underdog
75%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Nantes (Low Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Metz (Medium Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Low Ranking teams
1.8
Goals Scored
0.9
1.2
Goals Conceded
1.1
30% (3)
WON
30% (3)
50% (5)
LOST
20% (2)
20% (2)
DRAW
50% (5)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Paris SG
63
2.
Lille
61
3.
Lens
51
4.
Montpellier
51
5.
Rennes
49
6.
Lyon
49
7.
Monaco
48
8.
Marseille
47
9.
Metz
46
10.
Nice
44
11.
Angers
42
12.
Bordeaux
41
13.
Brest
41
14.
Lorient
40
15.
Nimes
38
16.
Reims
38
17.
Strasbourg
38
18.
Nantes
36
19.
St Etienne
33
20.
Dijon
32
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Nantes
Metz
Home Games
L
0-1
Strasbourg
W
1-0
D
2-2
St Etienne
W
3-1
L
0-1
Bordeaux
L
1-2
L
3-4
Lyon
L
0-2
W
2-1
Nimes
W
2-1
W
1-0
Dijon
D
1-1
Away Games
W
0-1
Nimes
D
1-1
L
2-1
Nice
L
4-1
D
3-3
Dijon
D
2-2
L
2-0
Lille
L
1-0
L
2-0
Paris SG
L
1-0
L
2-0
Angers
D
1-1


Winner: Nantes - 33%, Metz - 42%, Draw 25%
Score prediction: 1.25 vs 1.38
O/U 2.5:
UNDER (58%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (54%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Game odds suggest its going to be a game where the favorite takes what it owns. Nantes has gained 3 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from the last 8 games. Last 4 HOME games show us 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. Their last game at HOME was on 31. October against Paris SG, resulting in away win (0-3). Looking at the last 8 games of Metz we see 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. Last 4 AWAY games show us 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 1. November against Nimes and this one ended with away win (0-1). Taking all of this into consideration, we see Nantes is somewhat stronger and probably gets a close win. Our football prediction for 1X2: Nantes to win! Medium confidence.

This is a game between Low ranking Nantes and Medium ranking Metz. Nantes's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses. Meanwhile Metz AWAY performance against Low ranking teams shows 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Nantes's scoring power is 1.7 goals per game vs Metz's 0.8. Looking at the defensive side, Nantes is performing 1 and Metz 1.3 goals conceded on average per each game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts into account, we expect both teams being equal and a possible DRAW here. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick DRAW!

Last 8 games of Nantes show us 6 Over 2.5 Goals and 2 Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 matches of Metz have seen 1 Over 2.5´s and 7 Under 2.5´s. When we look at the ranking-based O/U 2.5 stats of Nantes it shows us 4 Overs and 6 Unders in the last 10 HOME games against teams who perform in similar way and who have same ranking as Metz. Metz has had 3 Over 2.5´s and 7 Under 2.5´s in their last 10 AWAY encounters against teams with ranking nearly the same as Nantes. Nantes scores an average 1.75 goals each game at home stadium while Metz has been scoring 0.5 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 2.25 goals per match between both teams. Nantes concedes 1.75 goals on average and Metz 0.75 for a total of 2.5 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 2.4 goals per match. History shows that 75% of games end Over 2.5 for Nantes and 12.5% for Metz. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it is rather a LOW SCORING game. Our football predictions for OU 2.5 would be UNDER 2.5 Goals. Medium confidence.

From Nantes's last 8 encounters 5 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 3 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Metz's last 8 games, it is 3 with both teams scoring and 5 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Nantes had 3 games where both teams scored and 7 where at least one did not. For Metz, we have seen 4 BTTS YES and 6 NO's. There is a 75% chance of Nantes scoring today and 62.5% for Metz scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 87.5% for Nantes and 75% for Metz. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it could be both teams scoring. Football tip for BTTS: pick BTTS-YES! Medium confidence.