Game
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Paris SG vs Metz - 1:0 (Home Win)

France - Ligue 1 (soccer) 16. Sep 2020 22:00
FREE Soccer Prediction 3-0
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (74.7%)

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Last games of Paris SG

W
W
W
W
D
W
W
L
L
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
13. Sep Lose (0-1) Paris SG - Marseille Ligue 1 
10. Sep Lose (1-0) Lens - Paris SG Ligue 1 
23. Aug Lose (0-1) Paris SG - Bayern Munich Champions League 
18. Aug Win (0-3) RB Leipzig - Paris SG Champions League 
12. Aug Win (1-2) Atalanta - Paris SG Champions League 
31. Jul Draw (0-0) Paris SG - Lyon Coupe de la Ligue 
24. Jul Win (1-0) Paris SG - St Etienne Coupe de France 
11. Mar Win (2-0) Paris SG - Dortmund Champions League 
4. Mar Win (1-5) Lyon - Paris SG Coupe de France 
29. Feb Win (4-0) Paris SG - Dijon Ligue 1 

Last games of Metz

W
W
D
L
D
L
W
W
L
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
13. Sep Lose (1-0) Lille - Metz Ligue 1 
30. Aug Lose (0-1) Metz - Monaco Ligue 1 
7. Mar Win (2-1) Metz - Nimes Ligue 1 
29. Feb Win (0-1) Amiens - Metz Ligue 1 
21. Feb Lose (0-2) Metz - Lyon Ligue 1 
15. Feb Draw (0-0) Nantes - Metz Ligue 1 
8. Feb Lose (1-2) Metz - Bordeaux Ligue 1 
5. Feb Draw (1-1) Montpellier - Metz Ligue 1 
2. Feb Win (3-1) Metz - St Etienne Ligue 1 
25. Jan Win (0-1) Reims - Metz Ligue 1 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Paris SG
Metz
60%
Wins
40%
30%
Losses
40%
10 %
Draws
20 %
1.7
Goals scored per match
0.9
0.5
Goals conceded per match
0.9
1.17
Goals scored HOME
1.2
0.33
Goals conceded HOME
1.4
2.5
Goals scored AWAY
0.6
0.75
Goals conceded AWAY
0.4
60%
Chance to score goal next match
60%
50%
Chance to concede goal next match
70%
40%
Failure to score matches
40%
50%
Clean sheets
30%
40%
Matches over 2.5 goals
30%
20%
Matches over 3.5 goals
10%
2.5
Average Win margin
1.25
1
Average Loss margin
1.25
20 %
Both teams score YES
40 %
80 %
Both teams score NO
60 %
60 %
Matches ODD score
60 %
40 %
Matches EVEN score
40 %
2.62
Average win odd 1X2
2.89
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
75%
Matches WON as Favorite
66.67%
25%
Matches LOST as Favorite
33.33%
0%
Matches WON as Underdog
40%
100%
Matches LOST as Underdog
60%
SIMILAR RANKING ANALYSIS
Paris SG (Top Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Metz (Low Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Top Ranking teams
64
Ranking Score
39
2.5
Goals Scored
0.6
0.7
Goals Conceded
2.2
80% (8)
Games WON
10% (1)
10% (1)
Games LOST
80% (8)
10% (1)
DRAWS
10% (1)
VIEW ALL GAMES
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Lille
56
2.
Lorient
52
3.
Rennes
53
4.
Bordeaux
43
5.
Lyon
46
6.
Paris SG
64
7.
Nice
53
8.
Brest
42
9.
Dijon
38
10.
Monaco
48
11.
Strasbourg
45
12.
Nimes
35
13.
Angers
43
14.
Montpellier
47
15.
Reims
42
16.
Nantes
41
17.
Marseille
57
18.
Metz
39
19.
Lens
54
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GAME REVIEW
Predictions and review for 16. Sep 2020 Ligue 1 game with Paris SG pitted against Metz. I am expecting this to be an open and one-sided game where the favorite takes the win. Paris SG has gained 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 games. Last 6 HOME games of Paris SG show us 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. Their last game at HOME was on 23. August against Bayern Munich, resulting in away win (0-1). Looking at the last 10 games of Metz we see 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. Last 4 AWAY games of Metz show us 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses. Most recent AWAY game they had was on 29. February against Amiens and this one ended with away win (0-1). Taking all of this into consideration, we see a high chance of DRAW as both teams have similar past performance.

This will be a match involving Top ranking team Paris SG and Medium ranking team Metz (Rankings are based on hintwise.com algorithms). Paris SG's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. Metz AWAY performance against Top ranking teams shows 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from last 5 AWAY games. Paris SG's attacking performance shows us an average of 2.7 goals per game vs Metz's 0.6. Rank-based (against similar ranking teams) defense power shows Paris SG with 1 and Metz with 3.4 goals conceded per game. Looking at the the Rank-based (performace against similar ranking teams) factors, our analysts see Paris SG being stronger and most likely winning this game.

Last 10 games of Paris SG show us 5 Over 2.5 Goals and 5 Under 2.5 Goals. Last 10 matches of Metz have seen 3 Over 2.5´s and 7 Under 2.5´s. When we look at the ranking-based O/U 2.5 stats of Paris SG it shows us 6 Overs and 4 Unders in the last 10 HOME games against teams who perform in similar way and who have same ranking as Metz. Metz has had 3 Over 2.5´s and 2 Under 2.5´s in their last 5 AWAY encounters against teams with ranking nearly the same as Paris SG. Paris SG is averaging 1.83 goals in their home games while Metz makes about 0.75 goals away from home. Taking both numbers together we get 2.58 goals per match between the teams. Paris SG concedes 0.67 goals on average and Metz 0.25. Both teams´s stats combined, we get a total of 0.92 goals conceded per match. With these statistics, we guess a total score of 1.8 goals per match. History shows that 50% of games end Over 2.5 for Paris SG and 30% for Metz. When trying to give a proper Over/Under 2.5 football prediction ,I would say it is close to 2 or 3 goals total - both are possible.

Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Paris SG's last 10 games, we see 3 ´both teams scored´ and 7 ´only one team/no score´. From Metz's last 10 games 4 have seen both teams scoring and 6 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Paris SG had 3 BTTS YES and 7 NO's. For Metz, we have seen 1 BTTS YES and 4 NO's. There is a 70% chance of Paris SG scoring in this game, the percent for Metz is 70% . Probability of conceding a goal is 50% for Paris SG and 60% for Metz. Looking at the stats above, it is quite unclear if BTTS-YES or NO. Hard to predict anything.