Game
Ended

Caen vs Troyes - 0:1 (Away Win)

France - Ligue 2 (soccer) 14. Feb 2020 21:00
FREE Score Prediction 1-2
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

Mathematical Probability of Result

Caen (37.4%)
Draw (33.8%)
Troyes (28.8%)

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Last games of Caen

L
L
L
D
D
W
W
D
D
D
W
L
D
W
L
L
L
W
W
D
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
7. Feb Ligue 2 Le Havre - Caen Draw (1-1) 2.98 
4. Feb Ligue 2 Caen - Niort Win (4-3) 1.89 
31. Jan Ligue 2 Chambly - Caen Win (0-1) 2.92 
24. Jan Ligue 2 Caen - AC Ajaccio Lose (0-1) 2.8 
19. Jan Coupe de France Montpellier - Caen Lose (5-0) 1.46 
13. Jan Ligue 2 Lorient - Caen Lose (2-1) 1.61 
4. Jan Coupe de France Guichen - Caen Win (1-2) 1.27 
20. Dec Ligue 2 Caen - Clermont Draw (0-0) 2.91 
13. Dec Ligue 2 Rodez - Caen Lose (2-1) 3.03 
2. Dec Ligue 2 Caen - Nancy Win (1-0) 2.79 
29. Nov Ligue 2 Guingamp - Caen Draw (1-1) 3.13 
22. Nov Ligue 2 Caen - Le Mans Draw (3-3) 3.11 
8. Nov Ligue 2 Auxerre - Caen Draw (1-1) 2.94 
1. Nov Ligue 2 Caen - Orleans Win (2-1) 2.07 
25. Oct Ligue 2 Paris FC - Caen Win (2-4) 3.47 
18. Oct Ligue 2 Caen - Valenciennes Draw (0-0) 3.05 
4. Oct Ligue 2 Caen - Chateauroux Draw (1-1) 3.03 
27. Sep Ligue 2 Grenoble - Caen Lose (1-0) 2.03 
21. Sep Ligue 2 Caen - Lens Lose (0-2) 2.17 
13. Sep Ligue 2 Troyes - Caen Lose (2-1) 1.79 

Last games of Troyes

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W
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L
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D
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W
DateLeagueHome vs AwayOutcomeWinning Odd
7. Feb Ligue 2 Troyes - Chateauroux Win (2-0) 1.81 
4. Feb Ligue 2 Lens - Troyes Lose (1-0) 1.8 
31. Jan Ligue 2 Troyes - Grenoble Lose (1-2) 4.26 
27. Jan Ligue 2 Le Havre - Troyes Lose (1-0) 2.43 
10. Jan Ligue 2 Clermont - Troyes Lose (3-2) 2.41 
21. Dec Ligue 2 Troyes - AC Ajaccio Win (2-1) 2.19 
16. Dec Ligue 2 Guingamp - Troyes Win (0-1) 3.24 
3. Dec Ligue 2 Troyes - Rodez Win (1-0) 1.73 
30. Nov Ligue 2 Sochaux - Troyes Win (0-1) 3.03 
22. Nov Ligue 2 Troyes - Chambly Lose (0-4) 6.22 
15. Nov Coupe de France Bourg Peronnas - Troyes Lose (1-0) 2.88 
8. Nov Ligue 2 Nancy - Troyes Draw (0-0) 2.98 
1. Nov Ligue 2 Troyes - Valenciennes Win (1-0) 1.58 
26. Oct Ligue 2 Lorient - Troyes Win (0-1) 3.92 
18. Oct Ligue 2 Troyes - Le Mans Win (2-1) 1.65 
4. Oct Ligue 2 Paris FC - Troyes Lose (1-0) 3.29 
27. Sep Ligue 2 Troyes - Orleans Lose (1-2) 4.81 
20. Sep Ligue 2 Auxerre - Troyes Win (1-2) 3.23 
13. Sep Ligue 2 Troyes - Caen Win (2-1) 1.79 
30. Aug Ligue 2 Chateauroux - Troyes Win (0-1) 2.27 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Caen
Achievement
Troyes
30%
% of Wins
55%
35%
% of Losses
40%
35 %
% of Draws
5 %
1.2
Goals scored per match
1
1.45
Goals conceded per match
0.95
1.22
Goals scored - HOME
1.33
1.22
Goals conceded - HOME
1.22
1.18
Goals scored - AWAY
0.73
1.64
Goals conceded - AWAY
0.73
70%
Chance to score goal next match
70%
80%
Chance to concede goal next match
60%
30%
Failure to score matches
30%
20%
Clean sheet matches
40%
45%
Matches over 2.5 goals
40%
20%
Matches over 3.5 goals
10%
1.17
Win margin
1.09
1.71
Losing margin
1.38
60 %
Both teams score - YES
35 %
40 %
Both teams score - NO
65 %
55 %
Matches with ODD score
85 %
45 %
Matches with EVEN score
15 %
2.52
Average win odd - 1X2
2.88
0
Average win odd - BTTS
0
0
Average win odd - O/U 2.5
0
80%
Matches WON being favorite
58.33%
20%
Matches LOST being favorite
41.67%
25%
Matches WON being underdog
57.14%
75%
Matches LOST being underdog
42.86%
H2H vs SIMILAR RANKING TEAMS
Caen last 10 home games against Medium rank teams
Vs
Troyes last 10 away games against Medium rank teams
Medium
Rank
Medium
41
Rank Score
48
0.5
AVG Goals Scored
1.1
1.4
AVG Goals Conceded
0.5
30% (3)
Games WON
70% (7)
50% (5)
Games LOST
20% (2)
20% (2)
DRAWS
10% (1)
VIEW ALL GAMES
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Football Tips Comparison
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Lorient
57
2.
Lens
56
3.
Troyes
48
4.
Auxerre
47
5.
Guingamp
47
6.
Nancy
46
7.
Le Havre
45
8.
Valenciennes
42
9.
Caen
41
10.
Sochaux
41
11.
Chateauroux
39
12.
Paris FC
38
13.
Chambly
34
14.
Orleans
32
15.
Niort
31
H2H vs SAME TEAMS
Caen
Troyes
Home Games
L
0-2
Lens
W
2-0
D
1-1
Chateauroux
W
2-0
D
0-0
Valenciennes
W
1-0
W
2-1
Orleans
L
1-2
D
3-3
Le Mans
W
2-1
L
0-1
AC Ajaccio
W
2-1
Away Games
W
2-4
Paris FC
L
1-0
D
1-1
Auxerre
W
1-2
D
1-1
Guingamp
W
0-1
L
2-1
Lorient
W
0-1
D
1-1
Le Havre
L
1-0


WHO WINS: Caen 27%, Troyes 73%
SCORE PREDICTION: 0.95 vs 1.32
Over/Under 2.5 Prediction:
UNDER (64%)

Both Teams to Score: YES (55%)
GAME REVIEW
This is a game review for 14. Feb 2020 Ligue 2 game where Caen is playing against Troyes. Game odds suggest its going to be an open yet one-sided game. Lets make some basic conclusions from the past data: Caen has collected 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games. Last 9 HOME games of Caen have shown us 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. Their last HOME game was on 4. February against Niort and it ended with home win (4-3). Looking at the last 20 games of Troyes we see 11 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses. Last 11 AWAY games of Troyes show us 5 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses. Most recent AWAY game they had was on 4. February against Lens and this one ended with home win (1-0). Taking all of this into consideration, we see both teams being equal and a possible DRAW here.

Expecting an interesting game between Medium ranking team Caen and Medium ranking team Troyes. Caen's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams: 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. Troyes AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams: 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Caen's scoring ability is 0.6 goals scored per game vs Troyes's 1. Defensive performance shows Caen with 1.4 and Troyes with 0.5 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say the victory of Troyes as they have a big advatage over Caen.

When we look at the last 20 games of Caen, we note 9 Overs and 11 Unders. Among the last 20 games of Troyes, there have been 8 Overs and 12 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Caen we see 3 Overs and 7 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Troyes. Troyes has seen 2 Overs and 8 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Caen has. Caen scores an average 1.22 goals each game at home stadium while Troyes has been scoring 0.73 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 1.95 goals per match between both teams. Caen concedes 1.22 goals on average and Troyes 0.73 for a total of 1.95 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 2 goals per match. History shows that 45% of games end Over 2.5 for Caen and 40% for Troyes. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it is a tight and defence-oriented game where the best OU 2.5 soccer prediction would be UNDER 2.5 GOALS.

Caen's last 20 matches show us 12 games where both teams scored and 8 games where only one team scored or none. From Troyes's last 20 games 7 have seen both teams scoring and 13 only one team/no score. Ranking-based BTS stats of Caen show us 2 BTS YES and 8 NO's. For Troyes, we have seen 2 BTS YES and 8 NO's. There is a 70% chance of Caen scoring today, 70% for Troyes. Probability of conceding a goal is 80% for Caen and 60% for Troyes. Considering all the numbers, it is quite unclear if BTTS-YES or NO. Hard to predict anything.