Chateauroux vs Sochaux - 2:1 (Home Win)

France - Ligue 2 - 21. Nov 2020 20:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (32.3%)
Draw (32%)
Away (35.6%)

BETTING ODDS

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Last games of Chateauroux

L
D
L
W
D
L
L
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
7. Nov Lose (0-3) Chateauroux - Pau FC Ligue 2 
31. Oct Lose (2-1) Nancy - Chateauroux Ligue 2 
24. Oct Lose (1-2) Chateauroux - Paris FC Ligue 2 
17. Oct Draw (1-1) Le Havre - Chateauroux Ligue 2 
3. Oct Win (2-0) Chateauroux - Niort Ligue 2 
26. Sep Lose (2-1) Chambly - Chateauroux Ligue 2 
19. Sep Draw (0-0) Chateauroux - Amiens Ligue 2 
12. Sep Lose (1-0) Valenciennes - Chateauroux Ligue 2 

Last games of Sochaux

D
D
D
W
D
L
D
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
7. Nov Lose (3-4) Sochaux - Niort Ligue 2 
31. Oct Draw (0-0) Guingamp - Sochaux Ligue 2 
26. Oct Lose (0-2) Sochaux - Amiens Ligue 2 
17. Oct Draw (0-0) Valenciennes - Sochaux Ligue 2 
3. Oct Win (3-2) Sochaux - Chambly Ligue 2 
26. Sep Draw (1-1) AC Ajaccio - Sochaux Ligue 2 
19. Sep Draw (2-2) Sochaux - Rodez Ligue 2 
14. Sep Draw (0-0) Toulouse - Sochaux Ligue 2 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Chateauroux
Sochaux
12.5%
Wins
12.5%
62.5%
Losses
25%
25 %
Draws
62.5 %
0.75
Goals scored per match
1.13
1.38
Goals conceded per match
1.38
0.75
Goals scored HOME
2
1.25
Goals conceded HOME
2.5
0.75
Goals scored AWAY
0.25
1.5
Goals conceded AWAY
0.25
62.5%
Chance to score goal next match
50%
75%
Chance to concede goal next match
62.5%
37.5%
Failure to score matches
50%
25%
Clean sheets
37.5%
50%
Matches over 2.5 goals
37.5%
0%
Matches over 3.5 goals
37.5%
2
Average Win margin
1
1.4
Average Loss margin
1.5
50 %
Both teams score YES
50 %
50 %
Both teams score NO
50 %
62.5 %
Matches ODD score
25 %
37.5 %
Matches EVEN score
75 %
2.54
Average win odd 1X2
3.02
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
50%
Matches WON as Favorite
33.33%
50%
Matches LOST as Favorite
66.67%
0%
Matches WON as Underdog
0%
100%
Matches LOST as Underdog
0%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Chateauroux (Medium Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Sochaux (Low Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
0.9
Goals Scored
1
1.6
Goals Conceded
1.1
20% (2)
WON
10% (1)
40% (4)
LOST
30% (3)
40% (4)
DRAW
60% (6)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Clermont
53
2.
Troyes
53
3.
Paris FC
52
4.
Dunkerque
50
5.
Pau FC
49
6.
Grenoble
49
7.
Auxerre
49
8.
Caen
48
9.
Le Havre
47
10.
Valenciennes
43
11.
AC Ajaccio
43
12.
Niort
42
13.
Chateauroux
42
14.
Guingamp
42
15.
Chambly
39
16.
Rodez
38
17.
Sochaux
38
18.
Amiens
37
19.
Nancy
36
20.
Toulouse
31
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Chateauroux
Sochaux
Home Games
D
1-1
Niort
L
3-4
L
0-3
Chambly
W
3-2
D
0-0
Amiens
L
0-2
L
1-2
Paris FC
D
1-1
Away Games
L
2-1
Nancy
D
1-1
W
0-1
AC Ajaccio
D
1-1
L
1-0
Valenciennes
L
3-2


Winner: Chateauroux - 43%, Sochaux - 43%, Draw 14%
Score prediction: 1.29 vs 1.43
O/U 2.5:
UNDER (57%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (64%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
This looks to be an open and one-sided game where the favorite takes the win. Chateauroux has gained 1 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from the last 8 games. Last 4 HOME games show us 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. Their last game at HOME was on 7. November against Pau FC, resulting in away win (0-3). Last 8 matches of Sochaux show us 1 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses. Last 4 AWAY games are: 0 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses. The last AWAY game was on 31. October against Guingamp and that ended with draw (0-0). From this data, we see both teams being equal and a possible DRAW here. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick DRAW!

Expecting an interesting game between Low ranking Chateauroux and Low ranking team Sochaux. Chateauroux's last 10 HOME games against Low ranking teams: 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses. Sochaux AWAY performance against Low ranking teams: 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Chateauroux's scoring ability is 1 goals scored per game vs Sochaux's 0.8. Defensive performance shows Chateauroux with 1.6 and Sochaux with 1 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say that Sochaux is a bit better and could win this match. Our football prediction for 1X2: Sochaux to win! Medium confidence.

From last 8 games of Chateauroux we see 4 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 4 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 games of Sochaux have seen 3 Overs and 5 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Chateauroux it has been 4 Overs and 6 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to Sochaux. Sochaux has seen 1 Overs and 9 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Chateauroux. Chateauroux is averaging 0.75 goals in their home games while Sochaux makes about 0.25 goals away from home. Taking both numbers together we get 1 goals per match between the teams. Chateauroux concedes 1.25 goals on average and Sochaux 0.25. Both teams´s stats combined, we get a total of 1.5 goals conceded per match. With these statistics, we guess a total score of 1.3 goals per match. History shows that 50% of games end Over 2.5 for Chateauroux and 37.5% for Sochaux. When trying to give a proper Over/Under 2.5 football prediction , I would say it is possiblyUNDER 2.5 GOALS match. Under Over 2.5 tip: bet on UNDER 2.5! Medium stakes.

Chateauroux's last 8 matches show us 4 games where both teams scored and 4 games where only one team scored or none. From Sochaux's last 8 games 4 have seen both teams scoring and 4 only one team/no score. Ranking-based BTS stats of Chateauroux show us 7 BTS YES and 3 NO's. For Sochaux, we have seen 5 BTS YES and 5 NO's. There is a 62.5% chance of Chateauroux scoring today, 50% for Sochaux. Probability of conceding a goal is 75% for Chateauroux and 62.5% for Sochaux. Considering all the numbers, it will be a game where BOTH TEAMS SCORE. Football prediction for BTTS: bet on BTTS-YES! High confidence.