This is a game review for 12. Feb 2019 National League game where Oxford City is playing against Welling United. This looks to be one-sided game where we most probably see 2.5+ goals scored. Oxford City has collected 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games. Last 9 HOME games of Oxford City have shown us 4 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses. Their last HOME game was on 19. January against Gloucester City and it ended with away win (0-1). Last 20 matches of Welling United show us 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses. Last 11 AWAY games of Welling United are: 1 wins, 1 draws and 9 losses. The last AWAY game was on 9. February against Dulwich Hamlet and that ended with home win (2-1). From this data, we see both teams being equal and a possible DRAW here.
This will be a match involving Medium ranking team Oxford City and Medium ranking team Welling United (Rankings are based on hintwise.com algorithms). Oxford City's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. Welling United AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams shows 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Oxford City's scoring power is 2 goals/game vs Welling United's 1.2. Looking at the defensive side, Oxford City performing 0.9 and Welling United with 1.1 goals conceded on average per each game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts into account we expect Oxford City being stronger and most likely winning this game.
From last 20 games of Oxford City we see 12 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 8 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 20 games of Welling United have seen 9 Overs and 11 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Oxford City it has been 6 Overs and 4 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to Welling United. Welling United has seen 3 Overs and 7 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Oxford City. Oxford City is averaging 1.89 goals in their home games while Welling United makes about 0.64 goals away from home. Taking both numbers together we get 2.53 goals per match between the teams. Oxford City concedes 1.11 goals on average and Welling United 1.64. Both teams´s stats combined, we get a total of 2.75 goals conceded per match. With these statistics, we guess a total score of 2.6 goals per match. History shows that 60% of games end Over 2.5 for Oxford City and 45% for Welling United. When trying to give a proper Over/Under 2.5 football prediction ,I would say it might end with an OVER 2.5.
Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Oxford City's last 20 games, we see 11 ´both teams scored´ and 9 ´only one team/no score´. From Welling United's last 20 games 12 have seen both teams scoring and 8 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Oxford City had 4 BTTS YES and 6 NO's. For Welling United, we have seen 4 BTTS YES and 6 NO's. There is a 80% chance of Oxford City scoring in this game, the percent for Welling United is 70% . Probability of conceding a goal is 75% for Oxford City and 90% for Welling United. Looking at the stats above, it could be both teams scoring.