Botev Plovdiv vs Etar - 1:1 (Draw)

Bulgaria - Parva liga (soccer) 19. Oct 2020 19:15
FREE Soccer Prediction 2-0
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (54.5%)
Draw (25%)

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Last games of Botev Plovdiv

W
W
L
W
L
D
L
D
L
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
2. Oct Lose (5-0) CSKA 1948 Sofia - Botev Plovdiv Parva liga 
18. Sep Lose (3-1) Montana - Botev Plovdiv Parva liga 
11. Sep Draw (0-0) Botev Plovdiv - Tsarsko Selo Parva liga 
29. Aug Lose (3-2) Arda - Botev Plovdiv Parva liga 
23. Aug Draw (3-3) Botev Plovdiv - Beroe Parva liga 
16. Aug Lose (2-1) CSKA Sofia - Botev Plovdiv Parva liga 
9. Aug Win (2-0) Botev Plovdiv - Lok. Plovdiv Parva liga 
19. Jul Lose (2-1) Slavia Sofia - Botev Plovdiv Parva liga 
11. Jul Win (0-1) Cherno More - Botev Plovdiv Parva liga 
7. Jul Win (1-0) Botev Plovdiv - Etar Parva liga 

Last games of Etar

D
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
25. Sep Lose (5-1) CSKA 1948 Sofia - Etar Parva liga 
20. Sep Lose (1-3) Etar - Lok. Plovdiv Parva liga 
13. Sep Lose (2-1) Levski Sofia - Etar Parva liga 
29. Aug Lose (0-2) Etar - Ludogorets Parva liga 
24. Aug Lose (1-0) Montana - Etar Parva liga 
16. Aug Lose (0-4) Etar - Cherno More Parva liga 
11. Aug Lose (3-0) Tsarsko Selo - Etar Parva liga 
7. Jul Lose (1-0) Botev Plovdiv - Etar Parva liga 
2. Jul Win (1-0) Etar - Vitosha Bistritsa Parva liga 
26. Jun Draw (2-2) Cherno More - Etar Parva liga 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Botev Plovdiv
Etar
30%
Wins
10%
50%
Losses
80%
20 %
Draws
10 %
1.2
Goals scored per match
0.6
1.8
Goals conceded per match
2.3
1.5
Goals scored HOME
0.5
0.75
Goals conceded HOME
2.25
1
Goals scored AWAY
0.67
2.5
Goals conceded AWAY
2.33
80%
Chance to score goal next match
50%
60%
Chance to concede goal next match
90%
20%
Failure to score matches
50%
40%
Clean sheets
10%
60%
Matches over 2.5 goals
60%
40%
Matches over 3.5 goals
40%
1.33
Average Win margin
1
2
Average Loss margin
2.25
50 %
Both teams score YES
40 %
50 %
Both teams score NO
60 %
60 %
Matches ODD score
50 %
40 %
Matches EVEN score
50 %
2.58
Average win odd 1X2
1.82
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
50%
Matches WON as Favorite
100%
50%
Matches LOST as Favorite
0%
33.33%
Matches WON as Underdog
0%
66.67%
Matches LOST as Underdog
100%
SIMILAR RANKING ANALYSIS
Botev Plovdiv (Low Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Etar (Low Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Low Ranking teams
37
Ranking Score
29
1.8
Goals Scored
0.8
0.5
Goals Conceded
2
80% (8)
Games WON
0% (0)
10% (1)
Games LOST
70% (7)
10% (1)
DRAWS
30% (3)
VIEW ALL GAMES
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Septemvri Sofia
60
2.
CSKA 1948 Sofia
58
3.
Ludogorets
57
4.
CSKA Sofia
55
5.
Beroe
53
6.
Slavia Sofia
48
7.
Montana
47
8.
Lok. Plovdiv
46
9.
Botev Vratsa
44
10.
Cherno More
43
11.
Tsarsko Selo
43
12.
Levski Sofia
40
13.
Arda
39
14.
Botev Plovdiv
37
15.
Etar
29
16.
Dunav Ruse
25
17.
Vitosha Bistritsa
20
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Botev Plovdiv
Etar
Home Games
W
3-1
Dunav Ruse
W
5-3
W
2-0
Lok. Plovdiv
L
1-3
D
0-0
Tsarsko Selo
L
0-1
Away Games
W
0-1
Cherno More
D
2-2
L
3-1
Montana
L
1-0
L
5-0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
L
5-1


WHO WINS: Botev Plovdiv - 50%, Etar - 33%, Draw 17%
SCORE PREDICTION: 1.83 vs 1.5
Over/Under 2.5: OVER (58%)

Both Teams to Score: YES (50%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Basic analysis suggest this game to be a fight between two unmatched teams. Looking at the historical data, Botev Plovdiv has collected 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 10 matches. Last 4 games at their HOME stadium shown us 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses. Last HOME game was on 11. September against Tsarsko Selo with the result draw (0-0). If we look at the last 10 games of Etar, we note 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses. Last 6 AWAY games are following: 0 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 25. September vs CSKA 1948 Sofia and the outcome was home win (5-1). Looking at the data above, we at hintwise.com see Botev Plovdiv is somewhat stronger and probably gets a close win. Our football prediction for 1X2: Botev Plovdiv to win! Medium confidence.

This will be a match involving Low ranking team Botev Plovdiv and Low ranking team Etar. Botev Plovdiv's last 9 HOME games against Low ranking teams show 8 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. At the same time Etar AWAY performance against Low ranking teams shows 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Botev Plovdiv's attacking performance is 1.9 goals per game. Same stats for Etar shows us 0.8. On the defensive side, we have Botev Plovdiv with 0.4 and Etar with 2 goals conceded per game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts and analysis into consideration, we see Botev Plovdiv being stronger and most likely winning this game. Our football prediction for 1X2: Botev Plovdiv to win! High confidence.

From last 10 games of Botev Plovdiv we see 6 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 4 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 10 games of Etar have seen 6 Overs and 4 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Botev Plovdiv it has been 4 Overs and 5 Unders in their last 9 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to Etar. Etar has seen 7 Overs and 3 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Botev Plovdiv. Botev Plovdiv scores an average 1.5 goals each game at home stadium while Etar has been scoring 0.67 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 2.17 goals per match between both teams. Botev Plovdiv concedes 0.75 goals on average and Etar 2.33 for a total of 3.08 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 2.6 goals per match. History shows that 60% of games end Over 2.5 for Botev Plovdiv and 60% for Etar. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it will end up being OVER 2.5 match. Under Over 2.5 prediction: back OVER 2.5! High stakes.

Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Botev Plovdiv's last 10 games, we see 5 ´both teams scored´ and 5 ´only one team/no score´. From Etar's last 10 games 4 have seen both teams scoring and 6 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Botev Plovdiv had 2 BTTS YES and 7 NO's. For Etar, we have seen 6 BTTS YES and 4 NO's. There is a 80% chance of Botev Plovdiv scoring in this game, the percent for Etar is 50% . Probability of conceding a goal is 60% for Botev Plovdiv and 90% for Etar. Looking at the stats above, it is going to be a 50-50 match and betting on BTTS bets is not reccomended. Football prediction for BTTS: none!