Cherno More vs Montana - 3:0 (Home Win)

Bulgaria - Parva liga (soccer) 18. Oct 2020 16:45
FREE Soccer Prediction 2-0
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (55.5%)
Draw (24.6%)

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Last games of Cherno More

W
L
D
W
L
L
D
L
W
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
2. Oct Lose (1-0) Tsarsko Selo - Cherno More Parva liga 
27. Sep Win (2-0) Cherno More - Arda Parva liga 
19. Sep Lose (4-0) Beroe - Cherno More Parva liga 
12. Sep Draw (1-1) Cherno More - CSKA Sofia Parva liga 
30. Aug Lose (2-1) Lok. Plovdiv - Cherno More Parva liga 
22. Aug Lose (1-4) Cherno More - Ludogorets Parva liga 
16. Aug Win (0-4) Etar - Cherno More Parva liga 
9. Aug Draw (1-1) Slavia Sofia - Cherno More Parva liga 
11. Jul Lose (0-1) Cherno More - Botev Plovdiv Parva liga 
2. Jul Win (1-4) Tsarsko Selo - Cherno More Parva liga 

Last games of Montana

L
W
D
D
W
L
L
W
L
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
3. Oct Win (2-1) Montana - Slavia Sofia Parva liga 
25. Sep Lose (2-0) Botev Vratsa - Montana Parva liga 
18. Sep Win (3-1) Montana - Botev Plovdiv Parva liga 
13. Sep Lose (2-0) CSKA 1948 Sofia - Montana Parva liga 
29. Aug Lose (0-4) Montana - Levski Sofia Parva liga 
24. Aug Win (1-0) Montana - Etar Parva liga 
17. Aug Draw (0-0) Tsarsko Selo - Montana Parva liga 
8. Aug Draw (3-3) Montana - Arda Parva liga 
17. Jul Win (1-4) Dunav Ruse - Montana Parva liga 
27. Feb Lose (2-0) CSKA 1948 Sofia - Montana Vtora liga 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Cherno More
Montana
30%
Wins
40%
50%
Losses
40%
20 %
Draws
20 %
1.4
Goals scored per match
1.3
1.5
Goals conceded per match
1.6
1
Goals scored HOME
1.8
1.5
Goals conceded HOME
1.8
1.67
Goals scored AWAY
0.8
1.5
Goals conceded AWAY
1.4
70%
Chance to score goal next match
50%
80%
Chance to concede goal next match
80%
30%
Failure to score matches
50%
20%
Clean sheets
20%
50%
Matches over 2.5 goals
50%
40%
Matches over 3.5 goals
40%
3
Average Win margin
1.75
2
Average Loss margin
2.5
50 %
Both teams score YES
40 %
50 %
Both teams score NO
60 %
50 %
Matches ODD score
30 %
50 %
Matches EVEN score
70 %
2.57
Average win odd 1X2
2.38
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
60%
Matches WON as Favorite
100%
40%
Matches LOST as Favorite
0%
0%
Matches WON as Underdog
20%
100%
Matches LOST as Underdog
80%
SIMILAR RANKING ANALYSIS
Cherno More (Medium Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Montana (Medium Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
46
Ranking Score
46
1.9
Goals Scored
0.5
0.8
Goals Conceded
1.3
60% (6)
Games WON
10% (1)
10% (1)
Games LOST
50% (5)
30% (3)
DRAWS
40% (4)
VIEW ALL GAMES
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Septemvri Sofia
60
2.
Ludogorets
57
3.
CSKA 1948 Sofia
56
4.
CSKA Sofia
54
5.
Beroe
54
6.
Slavia Sofia
49
7.
Lok. Plovdiv
48
8.
Montana
46
9.
Cherno More
46
10.
Botev Vratsa
46
11.
Tsarsko Selo
43
12.
Arda
39
13.
Levski Sofia
39
14.
Botev Plovdiv
37
15.
Etar
31
16.
Dunav Ruse
25
17.
Vitosha Bistritsa
20
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Cherno More
Montana
Home Games
D
2-2
Etar
W
1-0
L
0-1
Botev Plovdiv
W
3-1
W
2-0
Arda
D
3-3
Away Games
W
1-4
Tsarsko Selo
D
0-0


WHO WINS: Cherno More - 50%, Montana - 50%
SCORE PREDICTION: 1.5 vs 1.38
Over/Under 2.5: OVER (50%)

Both Teams to Score: YES (50%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Not an easy task to predict this game. Most likely it is going to be a close match with both teams having good opportunities. Lets have a look at the basic past data: Cherno More has collected 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 10 games. Meanwhile their last 4 HOME games shown 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. Their last HOME game was on 27. September against Arda and it ended with home win (2-0). Last 10 matches of Montana show us 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. Last 5 AWAY games are: 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. The last AWAY game was on 25. September against Botev Vratsa and that ended with home win (2-0). From this data, we see two similar-performing teams and a likely chance of DRAW. Our football tip for 1X2: bet on DRAW!

This will be a match involving Medium ranking team Cherno More and Medium ranking team Montana. Cherno More's last 7 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 5 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses. At the same time Montana AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams shows 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Cherno More's attacking performance shows us an average of 2.1 goals per game vs Montana's 0.5. Rank-based (against similar ranking teams) defense power shows Cherno More with 0.7 and Montana with 1 goals conceded per game. Looking at the the Rank-based (performace against similar ranking teams) factors, our analysts see Cherno More being somewhat superior and probably wins the match. Our football prediction for 1X2: Cherno More to win! Medium confidence.

From last 10 games of Cherno More we see 5 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 5 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 10 games of Montana have seen 5 Overs and 5 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Cherno More it has been 3 Overs and 4 Unders in their last 7 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to Montana. Montana has seen 2 Overs and 8 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Cherno More. Cherno More is scoring an average of 1 goals per game at home when Montana scores 0.8 goals per game away. This makes an average of 1.8 goals per match between the teams. Cherno More concedes 1.5 goals on average per game and Montana 1.4. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 2.9 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 2.4 goals per match. History shows that 50% of games end Over 2.5 for Cherno More and 50% for Montana. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it is close to 2 or 3 goals total - both are possible. Under Over 2.5 tip: none!

Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Cherno More's last 10 games, we see 5 ´both teams scored´ and 5 ´only one team/no score´. From Montana's last 10 games 4 have seen both teams scoring and 6 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Cherno More had 4 BTTS YES and 3 NO's. For Montana, we have seen 4 BTTS YES and 6 NO's. There is a 70% chance of Cherno More scoring in this game, the percent for Montana is 50% . Probability of conceding a goal is 80% for Cherno More and 80% for Montana. Looking at the stats above, it is going to be a 50-50 match and betting on BTTS bets is not reccomended. Football prediction for BTTS: none!