Aston Villa vs Brighton - 1:2 (Away Win)

England - Premier League - 21. Nov 2020 17:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 1-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (43.3%)
Draw (26.7%)
Away (30%)

BETTING ODDS

Tipsters with correct prediction for this game:

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Last games of Aston Villa

W
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
8. Nov Win (0-3) Arsenal - Aston Villa Premier League 
1. Nov Lose (3-4) Aston Villa - Southampton Premier League 
23. Oct Lose (0-3) Aston Villa - Leeds Premier League 
18. Oct Win (0-1) Leicester - Aston Villa Premier League 
1. Oct Lose (0-1) Aston Villa - Stoke EFL Cup 
28. Sep Win (0-3) Fulham - Aston Villa Premier League 
21. Sep Win (1-0) Aston Villa - Sheffield Utd Premier League 
15. Sep Win (1-3) Burton - Aston Villa EFL Cup 

Last games of Brighton

W
L
L
L
D
D
L
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
6. Nov Draw (0-0) Brighton - Burnley Premier League 
1. Nov Lose (2-1) Tottenham - Brighton Premier League 
26. Oct Draw (1-1) Brighton - West Brom Premier League 
18. Oct Draw (1-1) Crystal Palace - Brighton Premier League 
3. Oct Lose (4-2) Everton - Brighton Premier League 
30. Sep Lose (0-3) Brighton - Manchester Utd EFL Cup 
26. Sep Lose (2-3) Brighton - Manchester Utd Premier League 
23. Sep Win (0-2) Preston - Brighton EFL Cup 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Aston Villa
Brighton
62.5%
Wins
12.5%
37.5%
Losses
50%
0 %
Draws
37.5 %
1.75
Goals scored per match
1.13
1.13
Goals conceded per match
1.75
1
Goals scored HOME
0.75
2
Goals conceded HOME
1.75
2.5
Goals scored AWAY
1.5
0.25
Goals conceded AWAY
1.75
75%
Chance to score goal next match
75%
50%
Chance to concede goal next match
75%
25%
Failure to score matches
25%
50%
Clean sheets
25%
62.5%
Matches over 2.5 goals
50%
25%
Matches over 3.5 goals
25%
2
Average Win margin
2
1.67
Average Loss margin
1.75
25 %
Both teams score YES
62.5 %
75 %
Both teams score NO
37.5 %
87.5 %
Matches ODD score
37.5 %
12.5 %
Matches EVEN score
62.5 %
3.25
Average win odd 1X2
2.55
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
50%
Matches WON as Favorite
100%
50%
Matches LOST as Favorite
0%
100%
Matches WON as Underdog
0%
0%
Matches LOST as Underdog
100%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Aston Villa (Medium Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Brighton (Low Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
1.3
Goals Scored
1.4
1.2
Goals Conceded
0.8
50% (5)
WON
50% (5)
40% (4)
LOST
10% (1)
10% (1)
DRAW
40% (4)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Liverpool
62
2.
Manchester City
61
3.
Leeds
60
4.
Tottenham
58
5.
Manchester Utd
58
6.
Chelsea
54
7.
Arsenal
52
8.
Bournemouth
48
9.
Southampton
48
10.
Leicester
47
11.
Wolves
46
12.
Everton
46
13.
West Ham
45
14.
Fulham
44
15.
Newcastle
42
16.
Aston Villa
41
17.
Watford
40
18.
Crystal Palace
40
19.
Brighton
40
20.
West Brom
40
21.
Burnley
39
22.
Norwich
37
23.
Sheffield Utd
32
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Aston Villa
Brighton
Home Games
W
5-0
Liverpool
L
1-3
L
1-6
Manchester City
L
0-5
W
2-1
Watford
D
1-1
D
0-0
Sheffield Utd
L
0-1
L
1-2
Chelsea
D
1-1
L
0-1
Wolves
D
2-2
L
0-3
Manchester Utd
L
0-3
W
2-0
Crystal Palace
L
0-1
W
1-0
Arsenal
W
2-1
Away Games
L
2-0
Sheffield Utd
D
1-1
W
1-2
Burnley
W
1-2
D
1-1
Leicester
D
0-0
L
2-1
Bournemouth
L
3-1
L
2-0
Southampton
D
1-1
D
1-1
Newcastle
W
0-3
L
2-0
Liverpool
L
2-1
D
1-1
Everton
L
1-0
D
1-1
West Ham
D
3-3
W
0-3
Arsenal
W
1-2


Winner: Aston Villa - 37%, Brighton - 32%, Draw 32%
Score prediction: 1.39 vs 1.24
O/U 2.5: OVER (50%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (55%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
According to the odds and stats it tends to become a pretty even game. Aston Villa has collected 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses during last 6 games. Last 3 HOME games show 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. Their last HOME game was on 1. November against Southampton and it ended up away win (3-4). Looking at the last 6 games of Brighton we see 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. Last 3 AWAY games show us 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 1. November against Tottenham and this one ended with home win (2-1). Taking all of this into consideration, we see two similar-performing teams and a likely chance of DRAW. Our football tip for 1X2: bet on DRAW!

This is a game between Medium ranking Aston Villa and Low ranking Brighton. Aston Villa's last 10 HOME games against Low ranking teams show 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. Meanwhile Brighton AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams shows 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Aston Villa's scoring power is 1.4 goals per game vs Brighton's 1.6. Looking at the defensive side, Aston Villa is performing 1 and Brighton 1.1 goals conceded on average per each game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts into account, we expect both teams being equal and a possible DRAW here. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick DRAW!

Last 6 games of Aston Villa show us 4 Over 2.5 Goals and 2 Under 2.5 Goals. Last 6 matches of Brighton have seen 3 Over 2.5´s and 3 Under 2.5´s. When we look at the ranking-based O/U 2.5 stats of Aston Villa it shows us 4 Overs and 6 Unders in the last 10 HOME games against teams who perform in similar way and who have same ranking as Brighton. Brighton has had 4 Over 2.5´s and 6 Under 2.5´s in their last 10 AWAY encounters against teams with ranking nearly the same as Aston Villa. Aston Villa is scoring an average of 1 goals per game at home when Brighton scores 1.33 goals per game away. This makes an average of 2.33 goals per match between the teams. Aston Villa concedes 2.67 goals on average per game and Brighton 2.33. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 5 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 3.7 goals per match. History shows that 66.67% of games end Over 2.5 for Aston Villa and 50% for Brighton. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it probably is an OVER 2.5 match. Under Over 2.5 prediction: pick OVER 2.5! Medium confidence.

Aston Villa's last 6 matches show us 1 games where both teams scored and 5 games where only one team scored or none. From Brighton's last 6 games 4 have seen both teams scoring and 2 only one team/no score. Ranking-based BTS stats of Aston Villa show us 4 BTS YES and 6 NO's. For Brighton, we have seen 6 BTS YES and 4 NO's. There is a 66.67% chance of Aston Villa scoring today, 66.67% for Brighton. Probability of conceding a goal is 50% for Aston Villa and 83.33% for Brighton. Considering all the numbers, it could be both teams scoring. Football tip for BTTS: pick BTTS-YES! Medium confidence.