Gabala vs Neftci Baku - 1:4 (Away Win)

Azerbaijan - Premier League - 22. Nov 2020 12:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 0-1
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (29.6%)
Draw (27.7%)
Away (42.6%)

BETTING ODDS

Tipsters with correct prediction for this game:

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Last games of Gabala

L
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
7. Nov Lose (3-1) Keshla - Gabala Premier League 
13. Sep Lose (3-0) Sabah Baku - Gabala Premier League 
7. Mar Win (5-0) Gabala - Sumqayit Premier League 
1. Mar Win (1-2) Zira - Gabala Premier League 
22. Feb Lose (0-2) Gabala - Neftci Baku Premier League 
16. Feb Lose (3-1) Sabail - Gabala Premier League 
7. Feb Lose (3-2) Sabah Baku - Gabala Premier League 
2. Feb Lose (1-2) Gabala - Keshla Premier League 

Last games of Neftci Baku

D
W
W
D
W
W
L
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
18. Oct Win (1-0) Neftci Baku - Sabah Baku Premier League 
11. Sep Lose (0-2) Neftci Baku - Sumqayit Premier League 
21. Aug Win (2-1) Neftci Baku - Sabail Premier League 
7. Mar Win (4-0) Neftci Baku - Sabah Baku Premier League 
1. Mar Draw (1-1) Neftci Baku - Sabail Premier League 
22. Feb Win (0-2) Gabala - Neftci Baku Premier League 
16. Feb Win (3-1) Neftci Baku - Keshla Premier League 
8. Feb Draw (0-0) Qarabag - Neftci Baku Premier League 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Gabala
Neftci Baku
25%
Wins
62.5%
75%
Losses
12.5%
0 %
Draws
25 %
1.5
Goals scored per match
1.63
2.13
Goals conceded per match
0.63
2
Goals scored HOME
1.83
1.33
Goals conceded HOME
0.83
1.2
Goals scored AWAY
1
2.6
Goals conceded AWAY
0
75%
Chance to score goal next match
75%
87.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
50%
25%
Failure to score matches
25%
12.5%
Clean sheets
50%
87.5%
Matches over 2.5 goals
37.5%
50%
Matches over 3.5 goals
25%
3
Average Win margin
2
1.83
Average Loss margin
2
62.5 %
Both teams score YES
37.5 %
37.5 %
Both teams score NO
62.5 %
62.5 %
Matches ODD score
25 %
37.5 %
Matches EVEN score
75 %
2.61
Average win odd 1X2
2.7
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
0%
Matches WON as Favorite
83.33%
100%
Matches LOST as Favorite
16.67%
33.33%
Matches WON as Underdog
0%
66.67%
Matches LOST as Underdog
0%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Gabala (Low Ranking) last 5 HOME games STATS against High Ranking teams
VS
Neftci Baku (High Ranking) last 7 AWAY games STATS against Low Ranking teams
1.2
Goals Scored
1.6
2.2
Goals Conceded
0.3
20% (1)
WON
57% (4)
80% (4)
LOST
14% (1)
0% (0)
DRAW
29% (2)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Neftci Baku
56
2.
Sumqayit
49
3.
Keshla
47
4.
Zira
44
5.
Qarabag
41
6.
Sabah Baku
39
7.
Gabala
37
8.
Sabail
31
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Gabala
Neftci Baku
Home Games
W
3-0
Sabah Baku
W
4-0
L
1-2
Keshla
W
3-1
W
5-0
Sumqayit
D
1-1
Away Games
D
1-1
SumQayit
D
0-0
W
2-3
Sabah Baku
W
0-2
L
3-1
Sabail
D
0-0


Winner: Gabala - 17%, Neftci Baku - 67%, Draw 17%
Score prediction: 1.33 vs 1.5
O/U 2.5: OVER (58%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (50%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Basic analysis suggest this game to be a defense-oriented game where the favourite most probably wins. Gabala has gained 2 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from the last 8 games. Last 3 HOME games show us 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses. Their last game at HOME was on 7. March against Sumqayit, resulting in home win (5-0). If we look at the last 8 games of Neftci Baku, we note 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. Last 2 AWAY games are following: 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 22. February vs Gabala and the outcome was away win (0-2). Looking at the data above, we at hintwise.com see Neftci Baku getting a win as they have shown much better performance than Gabala. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick Neftci Baku! High confidence.

This is a game between Low ranking Gabala and High ranking Neftci Baku. Gabala's last 4 HOME games against High ranking teams show 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. Meanwhile Neftci Baku AWAY performance against Low ranking teams shows 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from last 6 AWAY games. Gabala's scoring power is 1.3 goals per game vs Neftci Baku's 1.2. Looking at the defensive side, Gabala is performing 1.8 and Neftci Baku 0.2 goals conceded on average per each game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts into account, we expect the victory of Neftci Baku as they have a big advatage over Gabala. Our football prediction for 1X2: Neftci Baku to win! High confidence.

When we look at the last 8 games of Gabala, we note 7 Overs and 1 Unders. Among the last 8 games of Neftci Baku, there have been 3 Overs and 5 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Gabala we see 2 Overs and 2 Unders in their last 4 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Neftci Baku. Neftci Baku has seen 1 Overs and 5 Unders in their last 6 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Gabala has. Gabala scores an average 2 goals each game at home stadium while Neftci Baku has been scoring 1 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 3 goals per match between both teams. Gabala concedes 1.33 goals on average and Neftci Baku 0 for a total of 1.33 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 2.2 goals per match. History shows that 87.5% of games end Over 2.5 for Gabala and 37.5% for Neftci Baku. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it is close to 2 or 3 goals total - both are possible. Under Over 2.5 tip: none!

Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Gabala's last 8 games, we see 5 ´both teams scored´ and 3 ´only one team/no score´. From Neftci Baku's last 8 games 3 have seen both teams scoring and 5 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Gabala had 0 BTTS YES and 4 NO's. For Neftci Baku, we have seen 0 BTTS YES and 6 NO's. There is a 75% chance of Gabala scoring in this game, the percent for Neftci Baku is 75% . Probability of conceding a goal is 87.5% for Gabala and 50% for Neftci Baku. Looking at the stats above, it could be both teams scoring. Football tip for BTTS: pick BTTS-YES! Medium confidence.