Newcastle vs Chelsea - 0:2 (Away Win)

England - Premier League - 21. Nov 2020 14:30

FREE Soccer Prediction 0-2
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Draw (21.1%)
Away (64%)

BETTING ODDS

Tipsters with correct prediction for this game:

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Last games of Newcastle

L
W
D
W
L
D
W
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
6. Nov Lose (2-0) Southampton - Newcastle Premier League 
1. Nov Win (2-1) Newcastle - Everton Premier League 
25. Oct Draw (1-1) Wolves - Newcastle Premier League 
17. Oct Lose (1-4) Newcastle - Manchester Utd Premier League 
3. Oct Win (3-1) Newcastle - Burnley Premier League 
30. Sep Draw (1-1) Newport - Newcastle EFL Cup 
23. Sep Win (0-7) Morecambe - Newcastle EFL Cup 
20. Sep Lose (0-3) Newcastle - Brighton Premier League 

Last games of Chelsea

W
D
D
D
W
W
W
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
24. Nov Win (1-2) Rennes - Chelsea Champions League 
7. Nov Win (4-1) Chelsea - Sheffield Utd Premier League 
31. Oct Win (0-3) Burnley - Chelsea Premier League 
28. Oct Win (0-4) Krasnodar - Chelsea Champions League 
24. Oct Draw (0-0) Manchester Utd - Chelsea Premier League 
20. Oct Draw (0-0) Chelsea - Sevilla Champions League 
17. Oct Draw (3-3) Chelsea - Southampton Premier League 
3. Oct Win (4-0) Chelsea - Crystal Palace Premier League 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Newcastle
Chelsea
37.5%
Wins
62.5%
37.5%
Losses
0%
25 %
Draws
37.5 %
1.88
Goals scored per match
2.5
1.63
Goals conceded per match
0.63
1.5
Goals scored HOME
2.75
2.25
Goals conceded HOME
1
2.25
Goals scored AWAY
2.25
1
Goals conceded AWAY
0.25
75%
Chance to score goal next match
75%
87.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
37.5%
25%
Failure to score matches
25%
12.5%
Clean sheets
62.5%
62.5%
Matches over 2.5 goals
75%
37.5%
Matches over 3.5 goals
50%
3.33
Average Win margin
3
2.67
Average Loss margin
0
62.5 %
Both teams score YES
37.5 %
37.5 %
Both teams score NO
62.5 %
50 %
Matches ODD score
37.5 %
50 %
Matches EVEN score
62.5 %
2.77
Average win odd 1X2
2.42
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
66.67%
Matches WON as Favorite
100%
33.33%
Matches LOST as Favorite
0%
33.33%
Matches WON as Underdog
0%
66.67%
Matches LOST as Underdog
0%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Newcastle (Low Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against High Ranking teams
VS
Chelsea (High Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Low Ranking teams
1.1
Goals Scored
2.2
2
Goals Conceded
1.4
30% (3)
WON
60% (6)
60% (6)
LOST
30% (3)
10% (1)
DRAW
10% (1)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Manchester City
63
2.
Liverpool
62
3.
Tottenham
61
4.
Leeds
59
5.
Manchester Utd
58
6.
Chelsea
57
7.
Arsenal
55
8.
Bournemouth
52
9.
Everton
50
10.
Southampton
49
11.
Leicester
47
12.
Wolves
46
13.
West Ham
45
14.
Fulham
44
15.
Watford
42
16.
Aston Villa
41
17.
Norwich
41
18.
Brighton
40
19.
West Brom
40
20.
Burnley
40
21.
Newcastle
38
22.
Crystal Palace
38
23.
Sheffield Utd
30
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Newcastle
Chelsea
Home Games
D
2-2
West Ham
L
0-1
D
1-1
Aston Villa
W
2-1
W
2-1
Southampton
L
0-2
D
0-0
Burnley
W
3-0
L
1-4
Manchester Utd
L
0-2
L
1-3
Tottenham
W
2-1
L
1-3
Liverpool
W
2-0
L
1-2
Everton
W
4-0
D
2-2
Manchester City
W
2-1
D
0-0
Norwich
W
1-0
W
1-0
Crystal Palace
W
4-0
W
3-0
Sheffield Utd
W
4-1
Away Games
D
2-2
Everton
L
3-1
L
4-0
Arsenal
W
1-2
D
0-0
Brighton
D
1-1
W
1-4
Bournemouth
D
2-2
W
0-2
West Ham
L
3-2
L
1-0
Crystal Palace
W
2-3
W
0-2
Sheffield Utd
L
3-0
L
4-1
Manchester Utd
W
1-3
W
2-3
West Brom
D
3-3
L
1-0
Burnley
W
0-3


Winner: Newcastle - 32%, Chelsea - 59%, Draw 9%
Score prediction: 1.3 vs 1.75
O/U 2.5: OVER (66%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (55%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Most likely its is going to be a goal-filled game where favourite probably takes the win. Looking at the historical data, Newcastle has collected 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 matches. Last 3 games at their HOME stadium shown us 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. Last HOME game was on 1. November against Everton with the result home win (2-1). Looking at the last 6 games of Chelsea we see 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses. Last 3 AWAY games show us 2 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 31. October against Burnley and this one ended with away win (0-3). Taking all of this into consideration, we see Chelsea having a little bit better chance to WIN. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick Chelsea! Medium confidence.

Expecting an interesting game between Medium ranking Newcastle and High ranking team Chelsea. Newcastle's last 10 HOME games against High ranking teams: 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses. Chelsea AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams: 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Newcastle's attacking performance shows us an average of 1 goals per game vs Chelsea's 2.4. Rank-based (against similar ranking teams) defense power shows Newcastle with 1.8 and Chelsea with 1.6 goals conceded per game. Looking at the the Rank-based (performace against similar ranking teams) factors, our analysts see the victory of Chelsea as they have a big advatage over Newcastle. Our football prediction for 1X2: Chelsea to win! High confidence.

When we look at the last 6 games of Newcastle, we note 3 Overs and 3 Unders. Among the last 6 games of Chelsea, there have been 4 Overs and 2 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Newcastle we see 6 Overs and 4 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Chelsea. Chelsea has seen 10 Overs and 0 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Newcastle has. Newcastle is scoring an average of 2 goals per game at home when Chelsea scores 2.33 goals per game away. This makes an average of 4.33 goals per match between the teams. Newcastle concedes 2 goals on average per game and Chelsea 0. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 2 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 3.2 goals per match. History shows that 50% of games end Over 2.5 for Newcastle and 66.67% for Chelsea. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it will end up being OVER 2.5 match. Under Over 2.5 prediction: back OVER 2.5! High stakes.

Newcastle's last 6 matches show us 5 games where both teams scored and 1 games where only one team scored or none. From Chelsea's last 6 games 2 have seen both teams scoring and 4 only one team/no score. Ranking-based BTS stats of Newcastle show us 7 BTS YES and 3 NO's. For Chelsea, we have seen 7 BTS YES and 3 NO's. There is a 83.33% chance of Newcastle scoring today, 66.67% for Chelsea. Probability of conceding a goal is 100% for Newcastle and 33.33% for Chelsea. Considering all the numbers, it is going to be a game where BOTH TEAMS have a great chance to score and thus the best BTTS football prediction would be BOTH TEAMS to Score. High stakes.