Tshakhuma vs Baroka - 1:0 (Home Win)

South Africa - Premier League - 22. Nov 2020 15:30

FREE Soccer Prediction 1-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (32.2%)
Draw (31.5%)
Away (36.3%)

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Last games of Tshakhuma

W
W
W
L
L
L
D
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
28. Oct Draw (0-0) Mamelodi Sundowns - Tshakhuma Premier League 
25. Oct Draw (1-1) Tshakhuma - TS Galaxy Premier League 
17. Oct Lose (2-3) Tshakhuma - Supersport Utd MTN 8 Cup 
12. Sep Lose (1-3) Tshakhuma - Black Leopards Premier League 
30. Aug Lose (3-0) Swallows - Tshakhuma GladAfrica Championship 
11. Aug Win (1-2) Jomo Cosmos - Tshakhuma GladAfrica Championship 
28. Feb Win (0-2) Cape Umoya United - Tshakhuma GladAfrica Championship 
15. Feb Win (1-0) Tshakhuma - Steenberg United GladAfrica Championship 

Last games of Baroka

L
D
D
L
W
L
D
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
24. Oct Win (2-1) Baroka - Maritzburg Utd Premier League 
5. Sep Draw (1-1) Baroka - Kaizer Chiefs Premier League 
2. Sep Lose (4-1) Supersport Utd - Baroka Premier League 
30. Aug Win (0-1) Mamelodi Sundowns - Baroka Premier League 
22. Aug Lose (0-1) Baroka - Chippa Utd. Premier League 
18. Aug Draw (1-1) Orlando Pirates - Baroka Premier League 
15. Aug Draw (0-0) Amazulu - Baroka Premier League 
8. Aug Lose (0-3) Baroka - Bloem Celtic Nedbank Cup 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Tshakhuma
Baroka
37.5%
Wins
25%
37.5%
Losses
37.5%
25 %
Draws
37.5 %
1.13
Goals scored per match
0.75
1.38
Goals conceded per match
1.38
1.25
Goals scored HOME
0.75
1.75
Goals conceded HOME
1.5
1
Goals scored AWAY
0.75
1
Goals conceded AWAY
1.25
75%
Chance to score goal next match
62.5%
62.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
75%
25%
Failure to score matches
37.5%
37.5%
Clean sheets
25%
50%
Matches over 2.5 goals
37.5%
25%
Matches over 3.5 goals
12.5%
1.33
Average Win margin
1
2
Average Loss margin
2.33
50 %
Both teams score YES
50 %
50 %
Both teams score NO
50 %
50 %
Matches ODD score
62.5 %
50 %
Matches EVEN score
37.5 %
2.58
Average win odd 1X2
3.27
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
66.67%
Matches WON as Favorite
50%
33.33%
Matches LOST as Favorite
50%
33.33%
Matches WON as Underdog
33.33%
66.67%
Matches LOST as Underdog
66.67%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Tshakhuma (Medium Ranking) last 9 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Baroka (Low Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
1.3
Goals Scored
0.4
1
Goals Conceded
1.2
56% (5)
WON
10% (1)
11% (1)
LOST
70% (7)
33% (3)
DRAW
20% (2)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Swallows
58
2.
Orlando Pirates
56
3.
Mamelodi Sundowns
55
4.
Ajax Cape Town
55
5.
Bloem Celtic
49
6.
Cape Town City
49
7.
Supersport Utd
48
8.
Tshakhuma
47
9.
Bidvest Wits
44
10.
Kaizer Chiefs
44
11.
Highlands
43
12.
TS Galaxy
43
13.
Stellenbosch
43
14.
Chippa Utd.
43
15.
Black Leopards
41
16.
Baroka
39
17.
Amazulu
37
18.
Maritzburg Utd
37
19.
Golden Arrows
37
20.
Polokwane
29
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Tshakhuma
Baroka
Home Games
L
1-3
Black Leopards
W
2-0
Away Games
D
0-0
Mamelodi Sundowns
W
0-1


Winner: Tshakhuma - 0%, Baroka - 100%
Score prediction: 0.25 vs 1.5
O/U 2.5:
UNDER (75%)

Both Teams Socre?: NO (75%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Not an easy task to predict this game. Most likely it is going to be a pretty even game. Looking at the historical data, Tshakhuma has collected 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 matches. Last 4 games at their HOME stadium shown us 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. Last HOME game was on 25. October against TS Galaxy with the result draw (1-1). Last 8 matches of Baroka show us 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. Last 4 AWAY games are: 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. The last AWAY game was on 2. September against Supersport Utd and that ended with home win (4-1). From this data, we see two similar-performing teams and a likely chance of DRAW. Our football tip for 1X2: bet on DRAW!

This is a game between Medium ranking Tshakhuma and Low ranking Baroka. Tshakhuma's last 8 HOME games against Low ranking teams show 4 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses. Meanwhile Baroka AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams shows 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Tshakhuma's scoring ability is 1.4 goals scored per game vs Baroka's 0.6. Defensive performance shows Tshakhuma with 1.1 and Baroka with 1.1 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say Tshakhuma being stronger and most likely winning this game. Our football prediction for 1X2: Tshakhuma to win! High confidence.

From last 8 games of Tshakhuma we see 4 games going Over 2.5 Goals and 4 with Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 games of Baroka have seen 3 Overs and 5 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Tshakhuma it has been 4 Overs and 4 Unders in their last 8 HOME games against teams with similar ranking to Baroka. Baroka has seen 2 Overs and 8 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with ranking close to Tshakhuma. Tshakhuma is scoring an average of 1.25 goals per game at home when Baroka scores 0.75 goals per game away. This makes an average of 2 goals per match between the teams. Tshakhuma concedes 1.75 goals on average per game and Baroka 1.25. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 3 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 2.5 goals per match. History shows that 50% of games end Over 2.5 for Tshakhuma and 37.5% for Baroka. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it can be 2-3 goals - OU 2.5 is a risky bet. Under Over 2.5 prediction: no prediction!

Tshakhuma's last 8 matches show us 4 games where both teams scored and 4 games where only one team scored or none. From Baroka's last 8 games 4 have seen both teams scoring and 4 only one team/no score. Ranking-based BTS stats of Tshakhuma show us 5 BTS YES and 3 NO's. For Baroka, we have seen 3 BTS YES and 7 NO's. There is a 75% chance of Tshakhuma scoring today, 62.5% for Baroka. Probability of conceding a goal is 62.5% for Tshakhuma and 75% for Baroka. Considering all the numbers, it will probably be Both Teams to Score-YES match. Football tip for BTTS: pick BTTS-YES! Medium stakes.