Ferreira vs Santa Clara - 2:1 (Home Win)

Portugal - Primeira Liga (soccer) 18. Oct 2020 16:00
FREE Soccer Prediction 1-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (37.8%)
Draw (30.4%)
Away (31.7%)

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Last games of Ferreira

W
W
L
W
L
D
W
D
D
L
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
2. Oct Lose (1-0) Vitoria Guimaraes - Ferreira Primeira Liga 
21. Sep Draw (1-1) Portimonense - Ferreira Primeira Liga 
24. Jul Draw (3-3) Gil Vicente - Ferreira Primeira Liga 
20. Jul Win (2-1) Ferreira - Portimonense Primeira Liga 
15. Jul Draw (1-1) Moreirense - Ferreira Primeira Liga 
10. Jul Lose (1-5) Ferreira - Braga Primeira Liga 
4. Jul Win (2-3) Vitoria Setubal - Ferreira Primeira Liga 
29. Jun Lose (0-1) Ferreira - FC Porto Primeira Liga 
24. Jun Win (1-3) Tondela - Ferreira Primeira Liga 
17. Jun Win (2-1) Ferreira - Belenenses Primeira Liga 

Last games of Santa Clara

W
L
L
L
W
D
D
W
W
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
3. Oct Draw (0-0) Santa Clara - Gil Vicente Primeira Liga 
25. Sep Win (0-1) Braga - Santa Clara Primeira Liga 
20. Sep Win (2-0) Santa Clara - Maritimo Primeira Liga 
24. Jul Draw (2-2) Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimaraes Primeira Liga 
18. Jul Draw (2-2) Rio Ave - Santa Clara Primeira Liga 
14. Jul Win (3-0) Santa Clara - Aves Primeira Liga 
10. Jul Lose (1-0) Sporting - Santa Clara Primeira Liga 
3. Jul Lose (0-1) Santa Clara - Maritimo Primeira Liga 
28. Jun Lose (1-0) Boavista - Santa Clara Primeira Liga 
23. Jun Win (3-4) Benfica - Santa Clara Primeira Liga 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Ferreira
Santa Clara
40%
Wins
40%
30%
Losses
30%
30 %
Draws
30 %
1.6
Goals scored per match
1.4
1.7
Goals conceded per match
1
1.25
Goals scored HOME
1.4
2
Goals conceded HOME
0.6
1.83
Goals scored AWAY
1.4
1.5
Goals conceded AWAY
1.4
80%
Chance to score goal next match
60%
100%
Chance to concede goal next match
60%
20%
Failure to score matches
40%
0%
Clean sheets
40%
60%
Matches over 2.5 goals
40%
40%
Matches over 3.5 goals
30%
1.25
Average Win margin
1.75
2
Average Loss margin
1
80 %
Both teams score YES
30 %
20 %
Both teams score NO
70 %
50 %
Matches ODD score
60 %
50 %
Matches EVEN score
40 %
2.5
Average win odd 1X2
4.32
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
100%
Matches WON as Favorite
66.67%
0%
Matches LOST as Favorite
33.33%
40%
Matches WON as Underdog
50%
60%
Matches LOST as Underdog
50%
SIMILAR RANKING ANALYSIS
Ferreira (Medium Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Santa Clara (Medium Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
42
Ranking Score
47
1.1
Goals Scored
1.7
1.3
Goals Conceded
1.3
50% (5)
Games WON
30% (3)
40% (4)
Games LOST
20% (2)
10% (1)
DRAWS
50% (5)
VIEW ALL GAMES
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Benfica
56
2.
Nacional
55
3.
FC Porto
55
4.
Sporting
53
5.
Braga
52
6.
Guimaraes
51
7.
Vitoria Guimaraes
50
8.
Rio Ave
50
9.
SC Farense
48
10.
Moreirense
47
11.
Santa Clara
47
12.
Famalicao
43
13.
Ferreira
42
14.
Gil Vicente
40
15.
Portimonense
40
16.
Maritimo
39
17.
Belenenses
39
18.
Vitoria Setubal
35
19.
Setubal
34
20.
Tondela
33
21.
Boavista
30
22.
Aves
23
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Ferreira
Santa Clara
Home Games
L
1-5
Braga
W
3-2
W
2-1
Portimonense
D
1-1
Away Games
W
2-3
Rio Ave
D
2-2
L
1-0
Sporting
L
1-0


WHO WINS: Ferreira - 50%, Santa Clara - 25%, Draw 25%
SCORE PREDICTION: 1.5 vs 1.88
Over/Under 2.5: OVER (63%)

Both Teams to Score: YES (75%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
I am expecting this to be a close match with both teams having good opportunities. Ferreira has collected 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses during last 10 games. Last 4 HOME games show 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses. Their last HOME game was on 20. July against Portimonense and it ended up home win (2-1). Last 10 matches of Santa Clara show us 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. Last 5 AWAY games are: 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. The last AWAY game was on 25. September against Braga and that ended with away win (0-1). From this data, we see a high chance of DRAW as both teams have similar past performance. Our football tip for 1X2: bet on DRAW!

This is a game between Low ranking Ferreira and Medium ranking Santa Clara. Ferreira's last 8 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. Meanwhile Santa Clara AWAY performance against Low ranking teams shows wins, draws and losses from last 0 AWAY games. Ferreira's scoring ability is 0.5 goals scored per game vs Santa Clara's . Defensive performance shows Ferreira with 0.8 and Santa Clara with goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say that Santa Clara is a bit better and could win this match. Our football prediction for 1X2: Santa Clara to win! Medium confidence.

Last 10 games of Ferreira show us 6 Over 2.5 Goals and 4 Under 2.5 Goals. Last 10 matches of Santa Clara have seen 4 Over 2.5´s and 6 Under 2.5´s. When we look at the ranking-based O/U 2.5 stats of Ferreira it shows us 1 Overs and 7 Unders in the last 8 HOME games against teams who perform in similar way and who have same ranking as Santa Clara. Santa Clara has had Over 2.5´s and Under 2.5´s in their last 0 AWAY encounters against teams with ranking nearly the same as Ferreira. Ferreira is scoring an average of 1.25 goals per game at home when Santa Clara scores goals per game away. This makes an average of 1.25 goals per match between the teams. Ferreira concedes 2 goals on average per game and Santa Clara . Taking those numbers together we get a total of 2 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 1.6 goals per match. History shows that 60% of games end Over 2.5 for Ferreira and % for Santa Clara. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it is a match with 2-3 goals - very difficult to give proper OU 2.5 football predictions. Under Over 2.5 prediction: NO BET!

From Ferreira's last 10 encounters 8 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 2 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Santa Clara's last 10 games, it is 3 with both teams scoring and 7 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Ferreira had 2 games where both teams scored and 6 where at least one did not. For Santa Clara, we have seen BTTS YES and NO's. There is a 80% chance of Ferreira scoring today and % for Santa Clara scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 100% for Ferreira and % for Santa Clara. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it is going to be a 50-50 match and betting on BTTS bets is not reccomended. Football prediction for BTTS: none!