Cortulua vs Bogota - 3:2 (Home Win)

Colombia - Primera B - 22. Nov 2020 00:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-0
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (52.4%)
Draw (27.5%)

BETTING ODDS

Tipsters with correct prediction for this game:

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Last games of Cortulua

W
D
D
L
W
L
L
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
17. Oct Win (1-2) Quindio - Cortulua Primera B 
12. Oct Lose (1-2) Cortulua - U. Magdalena Primera B 
3. Oct Lose (1-2) Cortulua - Valledupar Primera B 
19. Sep Win (6-0) Cortulua - Atletico F.C. Primera B 
8. Mar Lose (1-0) Huila - Cortulua Primera B 
5. Mar Draw (1-1) Cortulua - Real San Andres Copa Colombia 
2. Mar Draw (3-3) Cortulua - Leones Primera B 
23. Feb Win (2-3) Fortaleza - Cortulua Primera B 

Last games of Bogota

W
W
D
W
W
L
L
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
31. Oct Draw (1-1) Bogota - Fortaleza Primera B 
25. Oct Lose (1-3) Bogota - Tigres Primera B 
18. Oct Lose (2-1) Real San Andres - Bogota Primera B 
13. Oct Win (1-0) Bogota - Cartagena Primera B 
3. Oct Win (3-0) Bogota - Orsomarso Primera B 
29. Sep Draw (2-2) Quindio - Bogota Primera B 
12. Mar Win (0-2) Llaneros - Bogota Primera B 
10. Mar Win (3-0) Bogota - Valledupar Primera B 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Cortulua
Bogota
37.5%
Wins
50%
37.5%
Losses
25%
25 %
Draws
25 %
2.13
Goals scored per match
1.75
1.5
Goals conceded per match
1
2.4
Goals scored HOME
1.8
1.6
Goals conceded HOME
0.8
1.67
Goals scored AWAY
1.67
1.33
Goals conceded AWAY
1.33
87.5%
Chance to score goal next match
100%
87.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
50%
12.5%
Failure to score matches
0%
12.5%
Clean sheets
50%
75%
Matches over 2.5 goals
62.5%
37.5%
Matches over 3.5 goals
25%
2.67
Average Win margin
2.25
1
Average Loss margin
1.5
75 %
Both teams score YES
50 %
25 %
Both teams score NO
50 %
62.5 %
Matches ODD score
50 %
37.5 %
Matches EVEN score
50 %
3.33
Average win odd 1X2
2.98
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
33.33%
Matches WON as Favorite
75%
66.67%
Matches LOST as Favorite
25%
66.67%
Matches WON as Underdog
50%
33.33%
Matches LOST as Underdog
50%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Cortulua (High Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Bogota (Low Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against High Ranking teams
2.7
Goals Scored
0.9
0.6
Goals Conceded
1.4
90% (9)
WON
20% (2)
10% (1)
LOST
50% (5)
0% (0)
DRAW
30% (3)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Quindio
54
2.
Cortulua
54
3.
Boca Juniors
53
4.
Llaneros
50
5.
U. Magdalena
49
6.
Real San Andres
47
7.
Leones
47
8.
Fortaleza
43
9.
Huila
42
10.
Valledupar
42
11.
Bogota
37
12.
Cartagena
36
13.
Orsomarso
36
14.
Tigres
35
15.
Atletico F.C.
35
16.
Barranquilla
26
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Cortulua
Bogota
Home Games
W
6-0
Atletico F.C.
L
1-2
L
1-2
U. Magdalena
W
3-1
L
1-2
Valledupar
W
3-0
W
2-0
Cartagena
W
1-0
Away Games
W
1-2
Quindio
D
2-2
L
2-1
Real San Andres
L
2-1


Winner: Cortulua - 50%, Bogota - 33%, Draw 17%
Score prediction: 1.67 vs 1.5
O/U 2.5: OVER (83%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (67%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Not an easy task to predict this game. Most likely it is going to be an open, attack-oriented and goal filled game where one team has clear advantage. Looking at the historical data, Cortulua has collected 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 matches. Last 5 games at their HOME stadium shown us 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. Last HOME game was on 12. October against U. Magdalena with the result away win (1-2). Last 8 matches of Bogota show us 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. Last 3 AWAY games are: 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. The last AWAY game was on 18. October against Real San Andres and that ended with home win (2-1). From this data, we see Bogota taking a close win. Our football tip for 1X2: Bogota to win! Medium confidence.

Expecting an interesting game between High ranking Cortulua and Low ranking team Bogota. Cortulua's last 10 HOME games against Low ranking teams: 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. Bogota AWAY performance against High ranking teams: 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Cortulua's scoring ability is 2.6 goals scored per game vs Bogota's 0.9. Defensive performance shows Cortulua with 0.4 and Bogota with 1.1 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say Cortulua being stronger and most likely winning this game. Our football prediction for 1X2: Cortulua to win! High confidence.

When we look at the last 8 games of Cortulua, we note 6 Overs and 2 Unders. Among the last 8 games of Bogota, there have been 5 Overs and 3 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Cortulua we see 4 Overs and 6 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Bogota. Bogota has seen 3 Overs and 7 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Cortulua has. Cortulua is averaging 2.4 goals in their home games while Bogota makes about 1.67 goals away from home. Taking both numbers together we get 4.07 goals per match between the teams. Cortulua concedes 1.6 goals on average and Bogota 1.33. Both teams´s stats combined, we get a total of 2.93 goals conceded per match. With these statistics, we guess a total score of 3.5 goals per match. History shows that 75% of games end Over 2.5 for Cortulua and 62.5% for Bogota. When trying to give a proper Over/Under 2.5 football prediction , I would say it might end with an OVER 2.5 Under Over 2.5 tip: bet on OVER 2.5!Medium confidence.

Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Cortulua's last 8 games, we see 6 ´both teams scored´ and 2 ´only one team/no score´. From Bogota's last 8 games 4 have seen both teams scoring and 4 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Cortulua had 2 BTTS YES and 8 NO's. For Bogota, we have seen 3 BTTS YES and 7 NO's. There is a 87.5% chance of Cortulua scoring in this game, the percent for Bogota is 100% . Probability of conceding a goal is 87.5% for Cortulua and 50% for Bogota. Looking at the stats above, it could be both teams scoring. Football tip for BTTS: pick BTTS-YES! Medium confidence.