St. Pauli II vs Hamburger SV II - 1:1 (Draw)

Germany - Regionalliga North (soccer) 19. Oct 2020 14:00
FREE Soccer Prediction 1-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (32%)
Draw (25%)
Away (43%)

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Last games of St. Pauli II

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DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
11. Oct Win (0-3) Teutonia Ottensen - St. Pauli II Regionalliga North 
7. Oct Lose (0-3) St. Pauli II - Phonix Lubeck Regionalliga North 
23. Sep Lose (3-1) Luneburger Hansa - St. Pauli II Regionalliga North 
20. Sep Lose (0-4) St. Pauli II - SC Weiche-08 Regionalliga North 
13. Sep Lose (1-0) Holstein Kiel II - St. Pauli II Regionalliga North 
6. Sep Win (3-1) St. Pauli II - Heider SV Regionalliga North 
7. Mar Draw (0-0) Jeddeloh - St. Pauli II Regionalliga North 
1. Mar Win (3-0) St. Pauli II - Drochtersen/Assel Regionalliga North 
14. Feb Lose (1-2) St. Pauli II - Lubeck Regionalliga North 
14. Dec Draw (1-1) Hamburger SV II - St. Pauli II Regionalliga North 

Last games of Hamburger SV II

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DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
27. Sep Win (7-0) Hamburger SV II - Heider SV Regionalliga North 
23. Sep Lose (3-2) Norderstedt - Hamburger SV II Regionalliga North 
19. Sep Draw (2-2) Hamburger SV II - Teutonia Ottensen Regionalliga North 
13. Sep Win (0-1) Altona - Hamburger SV II Regionalliga North 
6. Sep Draw (1-1) Hamburger SV II - Luneburger Hansa Regionalliga North 
17. Feb Lose (2-1) Hannover II - Hamburger SV II Regionalliga North 
8. Feb Lose (2-0) Hannoverscher SC - Hamburger SV II Regionalliga North 
14. Dec Draw (1-1) Hamburger SV II - St. Pauli II Regionalliga North 
4. Dec Draw (0-0) Hamburger SV II - Luneburger Hansa Regionalliga North 
30. Nov Lose (2-4) Hamburger SV II - Wolfsburg II Regionalliga North 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
St. Pauli II
Hamburger SV II
30%
Wins
20%
50%
Losses
40%
20 %
Draws
40 %
1.2
Goals scored per match
1.7
1.5
Goals conceded per match
1.5
1.4
Goals scored HOME
2.17
2
Goals conceded HOME
1.33
1
Goals scored AWAY
1
1
Goals conceded AWAY
1.75
60%
Chance to score goal next match
80%
70%
Chance to concede goal next match
70%
40%
Failure to score matches
20%
30%
Clean sheets
30%
70%
Matches over 2.5 goals
50%
30%
Matches over 3.5 goals
40%
2.67
Average Win margin
4
2.2
Average Loss margin
1.5
40 %
Both teams score YES
60 %
60 %
Both teams score NO
40 %
50 %
Matches ODD score
40 %
50 %
Matches EVEN score
60 %
2.78
Average win odd 1X2
2.77
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
50%
Matches WON as Favorite
66.67%
50%
Matches LOST as Favorite
33.33%
33.33%
Matches WON as Underdog
0%
66.67%
Matches LOST as Underdog
100%
SIMILAR RANKING ANALYSIS
St. Pauli II (Medium Ranking) last 6 HOME games STATS against Low Ranking teams
VS
Hamburger SV II (Low Ranking) last 9 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
43
Ranking Score
39
1
Goals Scored
1.6
0.8
Goals Conceded
1.7
17% (1)
Games WON
22% (2)
33% (2)
Games LOST
56% (5)
50% (3)
DRAWS
22% (2)
VIEW ALL GAMES
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Teutonia Ottensen
62
2.
Wolfsburg II
61
3.
SC Weiche-08
60
4.
Phonix Lubeck
59
5.
Hildesheim
58
6.
Oberneuland
55
7.
BSV Rehden
53
8.
Werder Bremen II
50
9.
TSV Havelse
50
10.
Drochtersen/Assel
49
11.
Delmenhorst
49
12.
Norderstedt
49
13.
Luneburger Hansa
45
14.
Oldenburg
43
15.
St. Pauli II
43
16.
Hamburger SV II
39
17.
Hannover II
38
18.
Jeddeloh
38
19.
Holstein Kiel II
37
20.
Altona
33
21.
Hannoverscher SC
25
22.
Heider SV
22
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
St. Pauli II
Hamburger SV II
Home Games
W
3-1
Heider SV
W
7-0


WHO WINS: St. Pauli II - 0%, Hamburger SV II - 100%
SCORE PREDICTION: 1.5 vs 4
Over/Under 2.5: OVER (100%)

Both Teams to Score: YES (50%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Basic analysis suggest this game to be a pretty even game. St. Pauli II has collected 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses during last 10 games. Last 5 HOME games show 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. Their last HOME game was on 7. October against Phonix Lubeck and it ended up away win (0-3). Last 10 matches of Hamburger SV II show us 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses. Last 4 AWAY games are: 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. The last AWAY game was on 23. September against Norderstedt and that ended with home win (3-2). From this data, we see two teams with very similar stats and a possible DRAW. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick DRAW!

This will be a match involving Medium ranking team St. Pauli II and Low ranking team Hamburger SV II. St. Pauli II's last 5 HOME games against Low ranking teams show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. At the same time Hamburger SV II AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams shows 2 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses from last 8 AWAY games. St. Pauli II's attacking performance is 1 goals per game. Same stats for Hamburger SV II shows us 1.6. On the defensive side, we have St. Pauli II with 0.8 and Hamburger SV II with 1.8 goals conceded per game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts and analysis into consideration, we see St. Pauli II being somewhat superior and probably wins the match. Our football prediction for 1X2: St. Pauli II to win! Medium confidence.

When we look at the last 10 games of St. Pauli II, we note 7 Overs and 3 Unders. Among the last 10 games of Hamburger SV II, there have been 5 Overs and 5 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of St. Pauli II we see 2 Overs and 3 Unders in their last 5 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Hamburger SV II. Hamburger SV II has seen 5 Overs and 3 Unders in their last 8 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as St. Pauli II has. St. Pauli II is averaging 1.4 goals in their home games while Hamburger SV II makes about 1 goals away from home. Taking both numbers together we get 2.4 goals per match between the teams. St. Pauli II concedes 2 goals on average and Hamburger SV II 1.75. Both teams´s stats combined, we get a total of 3.75 goals conceded per match. With these statistics, we guess a total score of 3.1 goals per match. History shows that 70% of games end Over 2.5 for St. Pauli II and 50% for Hamburger SV II. When trying to give a proper Over/Under 2.5 football prediction , I would say it will be a sure OVER 2.5 game. Under Over 2.5 tip: bet on OVER 2.5! High confidence.

Will both teams score or not? Looking at the St. Pauli II's last 10 games, we see 4 ´both teams scored´ and 6 ´only one team/no score´. From Hamburger SV II's last 10 games 6 have seen both teams scoring and 4 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, St. Pauli II had 2 BTTS YES and 3 NO's. For Hamburger SV II, we have seen 6 BTTS YES and 2 NO's. There is a 60% chance of St. Pauli II scoring in this game, the percent for Hamburger SV II is 80% . Probability of conceding a goal is 70% for St. Pauli II and 70% for Hamburger SV II. Looking at the stats above, it is going to be a game where BOTH TEAMS have a great chance to score and thus the best BTTS football prediction would be BOTH TEAMS to Score. High stakes.