Hercules vs Orihuela - 2:0 (Home Win)

Spain - Segunda Division B - Group 3 - 22. Nov 2020 13:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-0
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (54.1%)
Draw (28%)

BETTING ODDS

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Last games of Hercules

L
L
W
W
W
D
D
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
7. Nov Win (2-1) Hercules - Kiisto Kakkonen Group C 
1. Nov Draw (0-0) Valencia B - Hercules Segunda Division B - Group 3 
25. Oct Draw (0-0) OLS Oulu - Hercules Kakkonen Group C 
25. Oct Win (2-1) Hercules - Atzeneta Segunda Division B - Group 3 
18. Oct Win (0-2) KuFu-98 - Hercules Kakkonen Group C 
12. Sep Win (2-1) Hercules - OLS Oulu Kakkonen Group C 
27. Aug Lose (4-1) Kemi City - Hercules Kakkonen Group C 
15. Aug Lose (0-2) Hercules - Rovaniemi 2 Kakkonen Group C 

Last games of Orihuela

W
L
D
D
L
D
W
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
8. Nov Win (2-1) Orihuela - Valencia B Segunda Division B - Group 3 
31. Oct Win (0-1) Atzeneta - Orihuela Segunda Division B - Group 3 
25. Oct Draw (0-0) Orihuela - Alcoyano Segunda Division B - Group 3 
8. Mar Lose (2-1) Andorra - Orihuela Segunda Division B - Group 3 
1. Mar Draw (0-0) Orihuela - Barcelona B Segunda Division B - Group 3 
23. Feb Draw (1-1) Llagostera - Orihuela Segunda Division B - Group 3 
16. Feb Lose (2-1) Sabadell - Orihuela Segunda Division B - Group 3 
9. Feb Win (1-0) Orihuela - Hercules Segunda Division B - Group 3 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Hercules
Orihuela
50%
Wins
37.5%
25%
Losses
25%
25 %
Draws
37.5 %
1.13
Goals scored per match
0.88
1.13
Goals conceded per match
0.75
1.5
Goals scored HOME
0.75
1.25
Goals conceded HOME
0.25
0.75
Goals scored AWAY
1
1
Goals conceded AWAY
1.25
62.5%
Chance to score goal next match
75%
62.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
50%
37.5%
Failure to score matches
25%
37.5%
Clean sheets
50%
50%
Matches over 2.5 goals
37.5%
12.5%
Matches over 3.5 goals
0%
1.25
Average Win margin
1
2.5
Average Loss margin
1
50 %
Both teams score YES
50 %
50 %
Both teams score NO
50 %
50 %
Matches ODD score
62.5 %
50 %
Matches EVEN score
37.5 %
2.73
Average win odd 1X2
2.68
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
66.67%
Matches WON as Favorite
100%
33.33%
Matches LOST as Favorite
0%
0%
Matches WON as Underdog
50%
0%
Matches LOST as Underdog
50%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Hercules (High Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Orihuela (Medium Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against High Ranking teams
1
Goals Scored
0.8
1.1
Goals Conceded
1.2
20% (2)
WON
40% (4)
30% (3)
LOST
50% (5)
50% (5)
DRAW
10% (1)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
Atzeneta
60
2.
L Hospitalet
57
3.
Ibiza
56
4.
Alcoyano
53
5.
Cornella
53
6.
Hercules
52
7.
Olot
51
8.
Barcelona B
50
9.
Espanyol B
50
10.
Villarreal B
49
11.
Lleida
46
12.
Pena Deportiva
45
13.
Gimnastic
42
14.
Levante B
42
15.
Orihuela
41
16.
Prat
40
17.
La Nucia
40
18.
Badalona
40
19.
Llagostera
39
20.
Valencia B
35
21.
Andorra
34
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Hercules
Orihuela
Home Games
D
2-2
Ejea
W
2-0
Away Games
W
1-2
Sabadell
L
2-1


Winner: Hercules - 50%, Orihuela - 50%
Score prediction: 1.5 vs 1.5
O/U 2.5: OVER (75%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (75%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Game odds suggest its going to be a goal-filled game where favourite probably takes the win. Hercules has collected 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses during last 8 games. Last 4 HOME games show 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. Their last HOME game was on 7. November against Kiisto and it ended up home win (2-1). Last 8 matches of Orihuela show us 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. Last 4 AWAY games are: 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. The last AWAY game was on 31. October against Atzeneta and that ended with away win (0-1). From this data, we see Hercules being somewhat superior and probably wins the match. Our football prediction for 1X2: Hercules to win! Medium confidence.

Expecting an interesting game between High ranking Hercules and Medium ranking team Orihuela. Hercules's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams: 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses. Orihuela AWAY performance against High ranking teams: 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Hercules's scoring ability is 1.1 goals scored per game vs Orihuela's 0.9. Defensive performance shows Hercules with 1.1 and Orihuela with 1.1 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say Hercules being somewhat superior and probably wins the match. Our football prediction for 1X2: Hercules to win! Medium confidence.

When we look at the last 8 games of Hercules, we note 4 Overs and 4 Unders. Among the last 8 games of Orihuela, there have been 3 Overs and 5 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Hercules we see 5 Overs and 5 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Orihuela. Orihuela has seen 3 Overs and 7 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Hercules has. Hercules is averaging 1.5 goals in their home games while Orihuela makes about 1 goals away from home. Taking both numbers together we get 2.5 goals per match between the teams. Hercules concedes 1.25 goals on average and Orihuela 1.25. Both teams´s stats combined, we get a total of 2.5 goals conceded per match. With these statistics, we guess a total score of 2.5 goals per match. History shows that 50% of games end Over 2.5 for Hercules and 37.5% for Orihuela. When trying to give a proper Over/Under 2.5 football prediction , I would say it is close to 2 or 3 goals total - both are possible. Under Over 2.5 tip: none!

From Hercules's last 8 encounters 4 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 4 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From Orihuela's last 8 games, it is 4 with both teams scoring and 4 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Hercules had 6 games where both teams scored and 4 where at least one did not. For Orihuela, we have seen 3 BTTS YES and 7 NO's. There is a 62.5% chance of Hercules scoring today and 75% for Orihuela scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 62.5% for Hercules and 50% for Orihuela. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it will probably be Both Teams to Score-YES match. Football tip for BTTS: pick BTTS-YES! Medium stakes.