Crotone vs Lazio - 0:2 (Away Win)

Italy - Serie A - 21. Nov 2020 16:00

FREE Soccer Prediction 0-1
Both Teams Score? No
Under or Over 2.5 Under

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Draw (23.7%)
Away (55.4%)

BETTING ODDS

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Last games of Crotone

L
L
L
D
L
D
L
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
8. Nov Draw (0-0) Torino - Crotone Serie A 
31. Oct Lose (1-2) Crotone - Atalanta Serie A 
28. Oct Draw (1-1) Crotone - Spal Coppa Italia 
25. Oct Lose (4-2) Cagliari - Crotone Serie A 
17. Oct Draw (1-1) Crotone - Juventus Serie A 
3. Oct Lose (4-1) Sassuolo - Crotone Serie A 
20. Sep Lose (4-1) Genoa - Crotone Serie A 
31. Jul Lose (2-0) Trapani - Crotone Serie B 

Last games of Lazio

L
L
W
W
D
W
D
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
24. Nov Win (3-1) Lazio - Zenit Champions League 
8. Nov Draw (1-1) Lazio - Juventus Serie A 
1. Nov Win (3-4) Torino - Lazio Serie A 
28. Oct Draw (1-1) Club Brugge KV - Lazio Champions League 
24. Oct Win (2-1) Lazio - Bologna Serie A 
20. Oct Win (3-1) Lazio - Dortmund Champions League 
17. Oct Lose (3-0) Sampdoria - Lazio Serie A 
30. Sep Lose (1-4) Lazio - Atalanta Serie A 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Crotone
Lazio
0%
Wins
50%
62.5%
Losses
25%
37.5 %
Draws
25 %
0.88
Goals scored per match
1.88
2.25
Goals conceded per match
1.88
1
Goals scored HOME
2
1.33
Goals conceded HOME
1.6
0.8
Goals scored AWAY
1.67
2.8
Goals conceded AWAY
2.33
75%
Chance to score goal next match
87.5%
87.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
100%
25%
Failure to score matches
12.5%
12.5%
Clean sheets
0%
50%
Matches over 2.5 goals
75%
37.5%
Matches over 3.5 goals
50%
0
Average Win margin
1.5
2.2
Average Loss margin
3
75 %
Both teams score YES
87.5 %
25 %
Both teams score NO
12.5 %
37.5 %
Matches ODD score
50 %
62.5 %
Matches EVEN score
50 %
2.6
Average win odd 1X2
2.86
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
0%
Matches WON as Favorite
50%
0%
Matches LOST as Favorite
50%
0%
Matches WON as Underdog
100%
100%
Matches LOST as Underdog
0%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Crotone (Medium Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
VS
Lazio (Medium Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against Medium Ranking teams
1.1
Goals Scored
1.3
0.9
Goals Conceded
1.3
40% (4)
WON
40% (4)
30% (3)
LOST
40% (4)
30% (3)
DRAW
20% (2)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
AS Roma
65
2.
AC Milan
64
3.
Sassuolo
56
4.
Inter
56
5.
Napoli
54
6.
Lazio
50
7.
Atalanta
50
8.
Juventus
50
9.
Fiorentina
48
10.
Benevento
47
11.
Udinese
45
12.
Spezia
45
13.
Crotone
44
14.
Lecce
44
15.
Cagliari
43
16.
Sampdoria
42
17.
Bologna
41
18.
Genoa
37
19.
Parma
36
20.
Spal
34
21.
Verona
34
22.
Brescia
33
23.
Torino
32
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Crotone
Lazio
Home Games
W
1-0
Cremonese
W
4-0
D
1-1
Juventus
W
3-1
D
1-1
Spal
W
5-1
L
1-2
Atalanta
L
1-4
Away Games
L
4-1
Genoa
W
2-3
L
4-2
Cagliari
W
1-2
D
0-0
Torino
W
1-2


Winner: Crotone - 14%, Lazio - 86%
Score prediction: 1.21 vs 2.29
O/U 2.5: OVER (71%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (79%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
It looks like a low scoring game where the favourite takes what it owns. Lets have a look at the basic past data: Crotone has collected 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 games. Meanwhile their last 3 HOME games shown 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. Their last HOME game was on 31. October against Atalanta and it ended with away win (1-2). Looking at the last 6 games of Lazio we see 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. Last 3 AWAY games show us 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. Most recent AWAY game was on 1. November against Torino and this one ended with away win (3-4). Taking all of this into consideration, we see almost similar teams but Lazio having a small advantage to take the win. Our football tip for 1X2: bet on Lazio! Medium confidence.

This will be a match involving Medium ranking team Crotone and Medium ranking team Lazio. Crotone's last 10 HOME games against Medium ranking teams show 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. At the same time Lazio AWAY performance against Medium ranking teams shows 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Crotone's scoring ability is 1.2 goals scored per game vs Lazio's 1.1. Defensive performance shows Crotone with 0.7 and Lazio with 1.7 goals conceded per game. If I consider all of the Ranking-based data and stats, I would say Crotone being stronger and most likely winning this game. Our football prediction for 1X2: Crotone to win! High confidence.

When we look at the last 6 games of Crotone, we note 3 Overs and 3 Unders. Among the last 6 games of Lazio, there have been 4 Overs and 2 Unders. Considering the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Crotone we see 3 Overs and 7 Unders in their last 10 HOME games against teams with similar ranking and performace as Lazio. Lazio has seen 6 Overs and 4 Unders in their last 10 AWAY games against teams with similar ranking and performance as Crotone has. Crotone scores an average 1 goals each game at home stadium while Lazio has been scoring 1.67 goals away. With these facts combined, we get a total average of 2.67 goals per match between both teams. Crotone concedes 1.33 goals on average and Lazio 2.33 for a total of 3.66 goals conceded per match. From all this info, we expect about 3.2 goals per match. History shows that 50% of games end Over 2.5 for Crotone and 66.67% for Lazio. Considering the OU 2.5 numbers and stats, it probably is an OVER 2.5 match. Under Over 2.5 prediction: pick OVER 2.5! Medium confidence.

Will both teams score or not? Looking at the Crotone's last 6 games, we see 5 ´both teams scored´ and 1 ´only one team/no score´. From Lazio's last 6 games 5 have seen both teams scoring and 1 only one/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Crotone had 5 BTTS YES and 5 NO's. For Lazio, we have seen 6 BTTS YES and 4 NO's. There is a 83.33% chance of Crotone scoring in this game, the percent for Lazio is 83.33% . Probability of conceding a goal is 83.33% for Crotone and 100% for Lazio. Looking at the stats above, it is going to be a game where BOTH TEAMS have a great chance to score and thus the best BTTS football prediction would be BOTH TEAMS to Score. High stakes.