Napoli vs AC Milan - 1:3 (Away Win)

Italy - Serie A - 22. Nov 2020 21:45

FREE Soccer Prediction 2-1
Both Teams Score? Yes
Under or Over 2.5 Over

MATHEMATICAL PROBABILITY

Home (43.6%)
Draw (26.7%)
Away (29.8%)

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Tipsters with correct prediction for this game:

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Last games of Napoli

W
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
8. Nov Win (0-1) Bologna - Napoli Serie A 
5. Nov Win (1-2) Rijeka - Napoli Europa League 
1. Nov Lose (0-2) Napoli - Sassuolo Serie A 
29. Oct Win (0-1) Real Sociedad - Napoli Europa League 
25. Oct Win (1-2) Benevento - Napoli Serie A 
22. Oct Lose (0-1) Napoli - AZ Alkmaar Europa League 
17. Oct Win (4-1) Napoli - Atalanta Serie A 
27. Sep Win (6-0) Napoli - Genoa Serie A 

Last games of AC Milan

W
W
W
D
W
W
L
D
DateOutcomeHome vs AwayLeague
8. Nov Draw (2-2) AC Milan - Verona Serie A 
5. Nov Lose (0-3) AC Milan - Lille Europa League 
1. Nov Win (1-2) Udinese - AC Milan Serie A 
29. Oct Win (3-0) AC Milan - Sparta Prague Europa League 
26. Oct Draw (3-3) AC Milan - AS Roma Serie A 
22. Oct Win (1-3) Celtic - AC Milan Europa League 
17. Oct Win (1-2) Inter - AC Milan Serie A 
21. Sep Win (2-0) AC Milan - Bologna Serie A 
STATISTICAL COMPARISON
Napoli
AC Milan
75%
Wins
62.5%
25%
Losses
12.5%
0 %
Draws
25 %
2
Goals scored per match
2.13
0.75
Goals conceded per match
1.38
2.5
Goals scored HOME
2
1
Goals conceded HOME
1.6
1.5
Goals scored AWAY
2.33
0.5
Goals conceded AWAY
1
75%
Chance to score goal next match
87.5%
62.5%
Chance to concede goal next match
75%
25%
Failure to score matches
12.5%
37.5%
Clean sheets
25%
50%
Matches over 2.5 goals
87.5%
25%
Matches over 3.5 goals
37.5%
2.17
Average Win margin
1.8
1.5
Average Loss margin
3
37.5 %
Both teams score YES
62.5 %
62.5 %
Both teams score NO
37.5 %
75 %
Matches ODD score
50 %
25 %
Matches EVEN score
50 %
3.22
Average win odd 1X2
2.84
0
Average win odd BTTS
0
0
Average win odd O/U 2.5
0
75%
Matches WON as Favorite
80%
25%
Matches LOST as Favorite
20%
0%
Matches WON as Underdog
100%
0%
Matches LOST as Underdog
0%
SIMILAR RANKING STATISTICS
Napoli (High Ranking) last 10 HOME games STATS against Top Ranking teams
VS
AC Milan (Top Ranking) last 10 AWAY games STATS against High Ranking teams
1.7
Goals Scored
1.8
1.4
Goals Conceded
1.6
50% (5)
WON
50% (5)
20% (2)
LOST
20% (2)
30% (3)
DRAW
30% (3)
Ranking Table by Hintwise Algorithms
1.
AC Milan
66
2.
AS Roma
62
3.
Inter
60
4.
Napoli
53
5.
Sassuolo
52
6.
Atalanta
50
7.
Juventus
50
8.
Lazio
49
9.
Fiorentina
48
10.
Benevento
47
11.
Spezia
47
12.
Crotone
47
13.
Udinese
44
14.
Cagliari
43
15.
Sampdoria
42
16.
Lecce
40
17.
Bologna
40
18.
Genoa
37
19.
Parma
36
20.
Verona
35
21.
Spal
34
22.
Brescia
33
23.
Torino
33
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PERFORMANCE against SAME TEAMS
Napoli
AC Milan
Home Games
W
2-0
Sassuolo
D
0-0
W
3-1
Spal
W
3-0
W
2-1
Udinese
W
3-2
W
2-1
Torino
D
2-2
W
2-1
Juventus
D
1-1
W
6-0
Genoa
L
1-2
W
2-1
AS Roma
W
2-0
L
1-2
Parma
W
3-1
L
1-2
Bologna
W
5-1
W
4-1
Atalanta
D
1-1
Away Games
L
2-1
Parma
W
0-1
D
1-1
Bologna
W
2-3
L
2-0
Atalanta
L
5-0
W
0-1
Cagliari
W
0-2
W
1-2
Brescia
W
0-1
W
0-1
Inter
L
4-2
L
1-0
Lazio
W
0-3
W
1-2
Sassuolo
W
1-2
W
2-4
Sampdoria
W
1-4
D
1-1
Udinese
W
1-2


Winner: Napoli - 35%, AC Milan - 50%, Draw 15%
Score prediction: 1.55 vs 1.55
O/U 2.5: OVER (65%)

Both Teams Score?: YES (65%)
REVIEW & PREDICTIONS
Looking at the odds provided by major bookmakers, this game tends to be an open yet one-sided game. Napoli has collected 6 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses during last 8 games. Last 4 HOME games show 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses. Their last HOME game was on 1. November against Sassuolo and it ended up away win (0-2). Last 8 matches of AC Milan show us 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. Last 3 AWAY games are: 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. The last AWAY game was on 1. November against Udinese and that ended with away win (1-2). From this data, we see AC Milan taking a close win. Our football tip for 1X2: AC Milan to win! Medium confidence.

Expecting an interesting game between High ranking Napoli and Top ranking team AC Milan. Napoli's last 10 HOME games against Top ranking teams: 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses. AC Milan AWAY performance against High ranking teams: 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from last 10 AWAY games. Napoli's attacking performance is 1.7 goals per game. Same stats for AC Milan shows us 1.5. On the defensive side, we have Napoli with 1.2 and AC Milan with 1.6 goals conceded per game. Taking all the Ranking-based facts and analysis into consideration, we see both teams being equal and a possible DRAW here. Our football prediction for 1X2: pick DRAW!

Last 8 games of Napoli show us 4 Over 2.5 Goals and 4 Under 2.5 Goals. Last 8 matches of AC Milan have seen 7 Over 2.5´s and 1 Under 2.5´s. When we look at the ranking-based O/U 2.5 stats of Napoli it shows us 5 Overs and 5 Unders in the last 10 HOME games against teams who perform in similar way and who have same ranking as AC Milan. AC Milan has had 7 Over 2.5´s and 3 Under 2.5´s in their last 10 AWAY encounters against teams with ranking nearly the same as Napoli. Napoli is scoring an average of 2.5 goals per game at home when AC Milan scores 2.33 goals per game away. This makes an average of 4.83 goals per match between the teams. Napoli concedes 1 goals on average per game and AC Milan 1. Taking those numbers together we get a total of 2 goals conceded per match. From these averages, we expect to see 3.4 goals per match. History shows that 50% of games end Over 2.5 for Napoli and 87.5% for AC Milan. Taking all of the Over/Under 2.5 facts into consideration, it will clearly be OVER 2.5 match. Under Over 2.5 prediction: pick OVER 2.5!. High confidence.

From Napoli's last 8 encounters 3 have been with both teams scoring a goal and 5 only one team scoring or no goals at all. From AC Milan's last 8 games, it is 5 with both teams scoring and 3 with only one team/no score. Considering the rank-based BTTS stats, Napoli had 8 games where both teams scored and 2 where at least one did not. For AC Milan, we have seen 6 BTTS YES and 4 NO's. There is a 75% chance of Napoli scoring today and 87.5% for AC Milan scoring today. Probability of conceding a goal is 62.5% for Napoli and 75% for AC Milan. Looking at the numbers, we predict that it will be a game where BOTH TEAMS SCORE. Football prediction for BTTS: bet on BTTS-YES! High confidence.